Looking at Goals per Game...

Jason Gregor
May 25 2009 11:07AM

One of our readers, Homie, thought that PPG wasn’t an accurate enough assessment on a player’s offensive value, so I decided to do one on Goals Per Game. Homie felt that Rick Nash was more valuable than I stated, and that he would be a top five GPG guy. Since Nash has been in the league for six years, I used those years to determine who has been the best sniper during that time.

Keep in mind that players like Oveckin and Crosby haven’t been in the league for six year, while other like Sundin, Jagr and Sakic were in the twilight of their careers.

Sorry Homie, but Nash is still not a top-five goal scorer, in fact he isn’t even in the top ten. Goals are one dimension of offence, and while I deem them more important than assists, to be considered great you have to be efficient scoring and passing.

Nash averages 0.44 GPG, 0.36 APG and is a 0.80 PGP player. He isn’t a point-a-game player in this league, so he isn’t great. He is good, but not great.

Here is the Goals Per Game in the last six years:

gpg_table1

I also decided to look at the all-time top goal scorers in the history of the game and see what their GPG was. These are the guys who averaged over a goal every second game, excluding active players.

gpg_table2

Here are the rest of the players who have scored 500 or more career goals. Only 41 players have lit the lamp 500 times.

gpg_table3

The active players that are on the list include: Brendan Shanahan (656), Teemu Selanne (579), Mats Sundin (564), Mark Recchi (545), Mike Modano (543), Keith Tkachuk (525) and Jeremy Roenick (513).

It’s too bad that Bossy’s career ended so early. You wonder how many more goals he could have scored. For the record in Gretzky’s first ten years (774 GP) he scored 637 goals for a 0.82 GPG, and in Lemieux’s first ten he played 494 games, tallied 599 goals for a 0.82 GPG.

Right now only Ovechkin, Heatley, and Kovalchuk are on pace to be considered amongst the ELITE goal scorers. Time will tell if they can keep up their torrid GPG pace.

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One of Canada's most versatile sports personalities. Jason hosts The Jason Gregor Show, weekdays from 2 to 6 p.m., on TSN 1260, and he writes a column every Monday in the Edmonton Journal. You can follow him on Twitter at twitter.com/JasonGregor
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#51 RossCreek
May 26 2009, 07:28AM
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I'll just point something out about the Av's. They fired their GM. That means no decision will be made about Granato until a new GM is hired. Why is it that that is normal for everyone unless Patrick Roy is involved? If they hired Joe Blow as their new GM then it would be up to him to decide if he fires the old coach. I guess the question is, if Roy doesn't take the job, would the Av's keep Granbum. If not, then yes, they should've just fired him. But if their plan was to keep him unless Roy took the job, then they have done nothing wrong. Hire a new GM and then let him decide Granato's fate. That would seem normal in most circumstances, no?

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#52 The Menace
May 26 2009, 10:44AM
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If Greztky is "The Great One", who is "The Elite One"?

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#53 Jason Gregor
May 27 2009, 10:26AM
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The Menace wrote:

If Greztky is “The Great One”, who is “The Elite One”?

Great and Gretzky...just like Mario the Magnificent. It is Alex the Great right now, so does that mean he is equal to Gretzky? I don't think so.

Elite: The best of choice part of a larger group. Great: Remarkable in ability, character, achievement.

By definition Elite is ranked higher and it should be.

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#54 What would you do for a Klondike Bar? - OilersNation.com
June 11 2009, 09:54PM
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[...] can argue that Heatley is a one-trick pony, but he is damn good at his one trick. He scores goals and he does it well. The Oilers sign him and you can mark him down for 40 goals. [...]

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