AGD: What's That Coming Over The Hill?

Kent Wilson
November 13 2012 03:54PM

Time: 8:00 pm MST

Location: Abbotsford AESC

Broadcast: abbotsforheat.com, teamradio.ca

It's time for another B2B series against the Lake Erie Monsters, this time in the warm confines of the AESC. Abbotsford split their series with the Barons last weekend and remain the only team in the Western Conference with just a single loss in regulation so far.

Roman Horak has gone two games without a goal for the first time this season, but is still averaging more than four shots on net per game. Sven Baertschi had himself a very up-and-down night in the 2-1 OTL to OKC, at times looking very much like a rookie still finding his legs at the pro level. He went pointless despite managing to generate some quality chances, but it was his play in the defensive zone that was really suspect. Every kid has his bumps in the road and Baertschi still seems to be testing to see what he can and can't get away with at this level. As a guy who had his way with the WHL last year, Baertschi is probably used to being able to freestyle a bit all over the ice. Here's hoping he learns how to reel things in, particularly south of center ice.

Interestingly, Danny Taylor continues to be the Heat's go-to guy in net. He played both games vs the baby Oilers and was excellent both nights. Taylor now boasts a .938 save percentage which is good for 6th best in the league through the early going. At this rate, Leland Irving won't be getting back in net any time soon.

If Taylor manages to hang on to the starters job all year, the Flames may have to consider signing him to a two-way deal next summer (assuming the NHL is actually playing by then).

On the Lake Erie side of the ledger, the Monsters are actually second in the Western Conference, one of the few teams with more points than the Heat. The Avalanche's farm team is 7-3-0 in their last 10 and boast six 10+ point getters already (the Heat have three). There isn't a lot of star power in their line-up, but they apparently have a pretty balanced attack.

The Line-up

As usual, we can't really be sure what Ward's lines are going to look like until the game starts. Here's a guess:

  • Baertschi - Walter - Horak
  • Street - Byron - Sylvester
  • Ferland - Reinhart - Estoclet
  • Olson - Laing - Bancks

  • Brodie - Piskula
  • Breen - McCarthy
  • Callahan - Lamb

  • Taylor

A guy who really caught my eye Saturday night was Ben Street. He has good acceleration and makes smart decisions in the offensive zone. He deserved more than the one assist he managed in the game for sure.

In contrast, Brady Lamb continues to underwhelm me on the back-end. At 24 years old, I expected the free agent signing to leap more or less fully formed into the league, but his tools - particularly his skating which seems especially subpar - left me wanting. He scored 9 goals and 31 points in his final season for Minnesota-Duluth so there should be some offense there, but he'll have to climb beyond the third pairing to show it off. 

I assume Taylor will be back in again, but anything is possible. I expect at least one of Brust or Irving to see some time in the net during this two-fer.

The Opponent

Not sure how the Monsters are lining up these days, so I will re-post some lines from their previous games versus Abby.

  • Van Der Gulik - Agozzino - Walker
  • Malone - Olver - Thomas
  • Lerg - Sgarbossa - Heard
  • Bordeleau - Carey - Thomas

  • Pock - Barrie
  • Elliot - Stollery
  • Gaunce - Goers

  • Pickard

Undrafted, free agent signing Michael Sgarbossa actually leads the Monsters in scoring with 13 points in 13 games. That's due in no small part to his six goals on just 19 shots (32% SH%), but it's a nice story all the same. The other guys to worry about on the Monsters are Bryan Lerg (11 points), Andrew Aggozino (10 points) and defenders Thomas Pock (11 points) and Tyson Barrie (10 points).

Calvin Pickard has been by far the superior netminder so far with a .925 SV%, so expect him in net.

Sum It Up

The Heat are chasing the Monsters in the WC standings, but have two games in on hand on them. They can make it less of a race tonight and tomorrow by taking as many points in regulation as possible.

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Former Nations Overlord. Current FN contributor and curmudgeon For questions, complaints, criticisms, etc contact Kent @ kent.wilson@gmail. Follow him on Twitter here.
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#1 Baalzamon
November 13 2012, 04:25PM
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"If Taylor manages to hang on to the starters job all year, the Flames may have to consider signing him to a two-way deal next summer"

I'm not so sure. By all accounts, Karri Ramo will be crossing the pond soon. That's 1 contract. Joni Ortio will probably return to Abbotsford, and his contract is ending (and, since he's had a pretty good start to this season, he should probably be re-signed). 2 contracts. Laurent Brossoit needs to be signed to an ELC at the end of the season, and he'll probably be going to Abbotsford next year. 3 contracts. Kiprusoff will probably be re-signed, as well, with the Flames' goaltending situation so uncertain.

I'm not sure Taylor would want to stick around with such a crowded crease.

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#4 jeremywilhelm
November 13 2012, 08:29PM
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Reinhart has been ok but not overly impressive. Surprised this is his first night off actually.

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#6 SmellOfVictory
November 13 2012, 09:07PM
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Ferland has looked really good so far. Given slightly better bounces, he could easily have a point or two.

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#7 jeremywilhelm
November 13 2012, 09:19PM
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Reinhart and Ferland are both kids that are probably gonna take at least a year if not two in the A before they are ready for the NHL. You can really tell that Reinhart's timing in the AHL is just a bit off. He is just a bit behind each play offensively. Not because of skating, but because of inexperience.

Ferland looks just right out intimidated by the speed and strength.

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#8 jeremywilhelm
November 13 2012, 09:21PM
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Nice to see Sven is putting the pucks on net as well as trying to make plays, I was starting to get worried about his lack of shot production the last week or so.

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#10 jeremywilhelm
November 13 2012, 09:25PM
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Two guys who are intriguing me immensely so far this season, Brett Olsen and Dustin Sylvester.

Two guys who no one talks about, two guys who are at least as impressive as any besides Sven this season (I really liked Sylvester last year as well).

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#11 jeremywilhelm
November 13 2012, 09:28PM
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Kent Wilson wrote:

I assume Reinhart will take the full 3 years of his ELC to ripen.

You're probably right and I really hope the Flames do not rush the kid.

Heat are absolutely dominating the Monsters, this period is complete domination.

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#12 jeremywilhelm
November 13 2012, 09:37PM
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Heat are feeling some regression tonight, a ton of scoring chances, nothing going in, unlike the first 10 games.

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#13 Baalzamon
November 13 2012, 09:38PM
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@jeremywilhelm

the caveat is Sylvester is Backlund's age, and Olson is already 25 (as is Street).

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#14 SmellOfVictory
November 13 2012, 09:39PM
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I friggin' love watching Barry Brust play. He does so many things that he has no business doing. Also imagining him as the guy from BoL's 'legit' interview fits his playstyle perfectly.

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#15 Johny Bones
November 13 2012, 09:43PM
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With the way Danny Taylor has played as a member of the Heat, the Flames should make him the back up after his AHL deal expires.

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#17 jeremywilhelm
November 13 2012, 09:45PM
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Baalzamon wrote:

the caveat is Sylvester is Backlund's age, and Olson is already 25 (as is Street).

Still an AHL rookie (Olsen is). I am not saying they are NHLers, just saying, I am impressed.

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#19 SmellOfVictory
November 13 2012, 10:09PM
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Baertschi looks fantastic this game as well.

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#22 CFan in Vic
November 13 2012, 10:43PM
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Brust was gunning for an empty netter. Love that guy.

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