Prospect Profiles - Markus Granlund

Kent Wilson
May 17 2012 10:08PM

 

A lot of time and energy has been devoted here and elsewhere to following Sven Baertschi. And for good reason - the Swiss phenom had the best season the Calgary organization has seen out of a forward prospect since Jarome Iginla ate up the WHL as an 18/19 year old (63 goals, 136 points in 63 games).

Sven's big season has overshadowed other good efforts in the organization's prospect pool however. A guy who has slipped through the cracks a bit is former second rounder Markus Granlund, recently ranked 9th amongst Calgary prospects by the crew here at FN.

I recently took a closer look at Granlund's results this year in context of his peers and was pleasantly surprised by what I found. Aside from Baertschi's 5 game cup of coffee with the Flames, Granlund was the only Flames teenage who played in a pro league this season and he managed to do more than hold his head above water.

Top of The Class

Granlund played on HIFK in the SM-liiga (Finnish elite league) with older brother Mikael and placed 6th on the team in scoring with 15 goals and 34 points in 47 games. That doesn't seem overly impressive, but keep in mind the SM-liiga is a highly competitive league - one of the best in the world in fact. Like the NHL, Teens don't often make the active roster, let alone make much of an impact. 

To determine just how rare Granlund's performance was this season, I looked over every SM-liiga team's roster and collected every player younger than 20 who played in at least one game this season. Here is the complete list, ranked by point-per-game pace:

Player Age Position GP G A Points PPG
Mikael Granlund 19 F 45 20 31 51 1.13
Markus Granlund 18 F 47 15 19 34 0.72
Joel Armia 18 F 54 18 20 38 0.70
Teemu Pulkkinen 19 F 56 16 21 37 0.66
Aleksandr Barkov 15 F 32 7 9 16 0.50
Joonas Donskoi 19 F 52 8 17 25 0.48
Teuvo Teravainen 16 F 40 11 7 18 0.45
Johannes Lehto 19 F 3 1 0 1 0.33
Teemu Rautiainen 19 F 41 4 8 12 0.29
Jani Hakanpaa 19 D 41 5 7 12 0.29
Simo-Petteri Riikola 19 D 23 1 5 6 0.26
Otto Raty 19 D 21 0 5 5 0.24
Rasmus Ristolainen 16 D 40 3 5 8 0.20
John Klingberg 19 D 20 1 2 3 0.15
Otto Paajanen 18 F 34 4 1 5 0.15
Toni Kallela 18 F 7 0 1 1 0.14
Toni Leinonen 19 F 7 1 0 1 0.14
Henri Tuominen 19 F 52 2 5 7 0.13
Henri Ikonen 17 F 8 0 1 1 0.13
Teemu Henritius 18 F 9 0 1 1 0.11
Mikael Kuronen 19 F 23 1 1 2 0.09
Micke Asten 19 F 23 1 1 2 0.09
Ville Pokka 17 D 35 0 3 3 0.09
Rasmus Kulmala 17 F 25 1 1 2 0.08
Miro Aaltonen 18 F 26 1 1 2 0.08
Alexander Ruuttu 18 F 13 1 0 1 0.08
Borna Rendulic 19 F 3 0 0 0 0.00
Santtu Huhtala 19 F 20 0 0 0 0.00
Mikko Lehtonen 17 F 12 0 0 0 0.00
Joni Seinela 18 F 1 0 0 0 0.00
Niklas Friman 18 D 1 0 0 0 0.00
Atte Makinen 16 D 3 0 0 0 0.00
Kimi Koivisto 18 F 1 0 0 0 0.00
Joni Nikko 17 F 1 0 0 0 0.00
Simon Suoranta 19 F 2 0 0 0 0.00
Miika Roine 19 F 4 0 0 0 0.00
Samuli Kankaanpera 19 D 1 0 0 0 0.00
Markus Hannikainen 18 F 15 0 0 0 0.00
Miiko Hintz 18 F 8 0 0 0 0.00
Jesper Kokkonen 18 F 1 0 0 0 0.00
Henri Tuominen 19 F 2 0 0 0 0.00
Mikko Vainonen 17 D 8 0 0 0 0.00
Robert Rooba 17 F 1 0 0 0 0.00
total     861     294 0.34
mean     20.0     6.8  

43 teenagers dressed in various capacities for clubs in Finland this year, although only a few of them played regularly. Granlund placed second in the league amongst teens in terms point-per-game pace, behind only his older brother (a former 9th overall pick). Right behind Markus is Joel Armia, a first round pick from the last June.

Some other names of note are Teuvo Teravainen (who will likely go in the first round this year) and 15 year old (!) Aleksandr Barkov.

To whittle things down to a more meaningful list, I compared Granlund to his primary peers - other 18 year old forwards:

Player Age Position GP G A Points PPG
Markus Granlund 18 F 47 15 19 34 0.72
Joel Armia 18 F 54 18 20 38 0.70
Otto Paajanen 18 F 34 4 1 5 0.15
Toni Kallela 18 F 7 0 1 1 0.14
Teemu Henritius 18 F 9 0 1 1 0.11
Miro Aaltonen 18 F 26 1 1 2 0.08
Alexander Ruuttu 18 F 13 1 0 1 0.08
Joni Seinela 18 F 1 0 0 0 0.00
Kimi Koivisto 18 F 1 0 0 0 0.00
Markus Hannikainen 18 F 15 0 0 0 0.00
Miiko Hintz 18 F 8 0 0 0 0.00
Total     215     82 0.38
mean     19.5     7.45 0.38

Only eleven 18-year old forwards skated during the regular season and only Armia and Granlund played meaningful roles for their respective clubs.

Of course, maybe it was just a really weak year for 18 year-olds in the Sm-liiga? To add some flesh to the bones, I looked at some high profile NHLers that spent their formative years in that very same league to see how Granlund compared:

Player GP G A Points PPG
Teemu Selanne 35 36 33 69 1.97
Olli Jokinen 50 14 27 41 0.82
Valtteri Filppula* 49 5 13 18 0.37
Saku Koivu 46 3 7 10 0.22
Mikko Koivu 48 4 3 7 0.15
Nik Hagman 8 1 0 1 0.13
Ville Leino* 23 1 1 2 0.09
Antti Miettinen* 39 2 1 3 0.08

Eight modern NHLers made the cut. Most of of them had 18/19 year old seasons to look at, except Filppula, Leino and Miettinen who began life as a pro in their 19-20 year old seasons. I included their results in those years.

Future hall-of-famer Teemu Selanne is out on an island all by himself, while Olli Jokinen is the only guy close to Granlund in terms of point-per-game pace at 18. Neither of the Koivu brothers put comparably good years at the same age (although Saku went on to dominate proceedings at 19/20) and even Filppula, Leino and Meittinen weren't within spitting distance of Markus despite being a year older.  

 So Far So Good

The kid is keeping pretty good company, both in terms of his contemporaries and countrymen that have trod a similar path in the past. In terms of NHL equivalency, Granlund finished the year at 32, a small step behind John Gaudreau (34) and Michael Ferland (35), both of whom played in lesser leagues and were therefore more likely to play bigger roles on their respective teams.

A couple of caveats apply to Granlund's fine season: while a quality pro league, the play in the SM-liiga is qualitatively different than that of North American hockey, especially the NHL. Sometimes guys who have played their entire lives over seas have issues translating their game on this side of the pond. 

In addition, Granlund was no doubt helped along by the presence of older bro Mikael, who was one of the top scorers in the entire league (Mikael scored at a 0.92 PPG pace at the same age by the way). It remains to be seen to what degree Markus benefitted from playing with Mikael in 2011-12. Of course, Granlund the elder will no doubt make the Minnesota Wild out of camp this coming October, leaving Granlund the younger in Finland to fend for himself.

If Markus can take a step forward without the help of Mikael in 2012-13, then he'll certainly finish higher than 9th in Calgary's prospects rankings next year.

39d8109299a9795cb3b41a4e9b49d501
Former Nations Overlord. Current Fn contributor and curmudgeon For questions, complaints, criticisms, etc contact Kent @ kent.wilson@gmail. Follow him on Twitter here.
Avatar
#1 Baalzamon
May 17 2012, 11:44PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
Props
0
props

Isn't Barkov like the youngest player ever to play for the Finnish U20 WJC team? The guy might actually challenge Nathan MacKinnon for the first overall pick next season (interesting thing I just noticed, Barkov was born the day after MacKinnon).

Avatar
#2 First Name Unidentified
May 17 2012, 11:46PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
Props
0
props

Great analysis Kent. Very interesting to see the comparisons with the current NHL level players. I, all of sudden, have an increased interest in this kid now.

It will be quite meaningful to watch how he performs next year without the presence of his brother on the team.

Avatar
#3 Bikeit
May 18 2012, 12:00AM
Trash it!
0
trashes
Props
0
props

Thanks for following up on the other Article.

Trajectory good so far for Granlund. This guy was a product of the forced erixon trade which is looking better but cannot be fully measured for probably another three years.

Just need Wotherspoon to be an NHLer now.

Avatar
#4 Austin
May 18 2012, 12:15AM
Trash it!
0
trashes
Props
0
props

Geeeez Feaster and company apparently did a VERY good job at last year's draft. Very good job indeed. Is there anyway you could see Granlund coming over here to play in for example the WHL or OHL, something to toughen him up a little bit or would he most likely benefit more from remaining in Finland?

Avatar
#5 Justin Azevedo
May 18 2012, 01:01AM
Trash it!
0
trashes
Props
0
props

@Austin

the thing with fins is that they have two years of compulsory military service once they turn 18, iirc. thus the earliest he'll be over here is the 2013-2014 season, but there's really no rush.

Avatar
#6 Anon
May 18 2012, 04:06AM
Trash it!
0
trashes
Props
0
props

Military service is one year at max and pro athletes usually get away with half a year or something.

Avatar
#7 Arik
May 18 2012, 06:36AM
Trash it!
0
trashes
Props
0
props

Kent- in regards to the effect playing with Mikael would have on Markus, I checked with Finnish twitterer Teemu Marjamäki (‏@TMrjmki) and he said they played together roughly 45% of the time.

Avatar
#9 Colin.S
May 18 2012, 10:33AM
Trash it!
0
trashes
Props
0
props
Arik wrote:

Kent- in regards to the effect playing with Mikael would have on Markus, I checked with Finnish twitterer Teemu Marjamäki (‏@TMrjmki) and he said they played together roughly 45% of the time.

It's good to here, but we also have look at it from another angle, where did he get the bulk of his points, if we can look at this points splits of playing with his brother and without his brother would give us a better indication of his development. If the split was 70% with his brother and only 30% without, that would be very very bad. If however it was say 60% without his brother and 40% with, that would be very good for him.

Avatar
#11 the-wolf
May 18 2012, 11:32AM
Trash it!
0
trashes
Props
0
props

If the Flames have any brains they'll be pushing him hard as hell to develop his lower body strength this summer in order to better his skating and physical compete levels. He has potential.

He'll need at least one more seasonin Finland and then one year in the AHL IMO.

Avatar
#12 beloch
May 18 2012, 02:25PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
Props
0
props

Aleksandr Barkov looks like a #1 pick in the making. Obviously, he has to have incredible skill to be putting up 0.5 ppg in Liiga at just 16, but he's huge for 16 too! 6'2" and 205 pounds! He might add another few inches and quite a bit of weight before he turns 20! That kid is going to be a monster.

He's not eligible for the draft for couple more years. Do the Flames (or anyone) have any way to poach this guy before he's drafted?

Avatar
#13 MC Hockey
May 18 2012, 03:23PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
Props
0
props

I hope the Flames really push the youth movement and let most of their UFAs and some RFAs go and give young guys a chance. I would have no problem with the FLames rushing this guy to Abbotsford or Calgary, were it possible if not for the Finnish military rules!

Darn it, as a season-ticket holder (even though I sell half the package), I hate to think 2012-13 will be another "off year" but probably it will be....at least until more guys like Granlund, Reinhart, Arnold, and many othes are ready for prime-time. I don't suppose anyone wants to guarantee a Flames playoff spot (LOL) in 2012-2013?

Kent? Arik? VF? Justin? ...what say you?

Avatar
#14 Bean-counting cowboy
May 18 2012, 03:56PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
Props
0
props

Should save the guarantees till the roster for next year is finalized. Then they will feel confident in guranteeing the Flames will NOT make the playoffs :)

Avatar
#15 Baalzamon
May 18 2012, 05:02PM
Trash it!
0
trashes
Props
0
props
beloch wrote:

Aleksandr Barkov looks like a #1 pick in the making. Obviously, he has to have incredible skill to be putting up 0.5 ppg in Liiga at just 16, but he's huge for 16 too! 6'2" and 205 pounds! He might add another few inches and quite a bit of weight before he turns 20! That kid is going to be a monster.

He's not eligible for the draft for couple more years. Do the Flames (or anyone) have any way to poach this guy before he's drafted?

actually he's eligible next season (2013 draft). Not sure why you think he isn't, because Nathan MacKinnon is expected to be 1st overall in that draft, and he's exactly 1 day older than Barkov.

and no, there's no way to poach him before he's drafted short of losing out next season, bribing the lottery so they get the first pick, then passing up on MacKinnon.

Comments are closed for this article.