Flames 2012 First Round Overview

Kent Wilson
June 22 2012 10:15AM

 

 

Over the last few weeks, FN has profiled 10 different potential Calgary first round targets, some of whom are long shots to be around (Teravainen, Trouba) and others who will be available but have obvious holes in their game or risks associated with them (Aberg, Pouliot).

This entry draft has a lot of question marks and variables that make anticipating the potential order problematic. The Oilers are choosin first overall and it's still unclear whether they will select the consensus best talent in Nail Yakupov or instead target a defender like Ryan Murray. That could mean trade to move down the ranks or simply picking the guy they want.

In addition, this past season was plagued by injuries and has a lot of Russian talent near the top of the rotation. Both factors represent a risk - injury and a truncated means less information about a player while Russians are considered flight risks to the KHL (to say nothing of the persistent perception in some quarters that they are "enigmatic").

So there is a strong possibility some highly touted guys could fall because clubs are going with picks that are perceived to be safer. The mix of talent outside of the top-end is higly equitable as well, so idisyncratic scouting preferences may mean a few unpredictable choices.

What that means for the Flames at 14 is that there are a lot of possibilites that can't quite be determined until things start going down. Here's some other names we didn't get to here at FN who nevertheless might be on Calgary's radar.

Other Possible Targets

- Griffin Reinhart, D

Sam's younger, bigger brother is a defender for the Edmonton Oil Kings and seems to have moved into the upper reaches of most mock draft thanks to the question marks surrounding some of the other options. As a result, he strikes me as over-hyped at the moment - all of his results to date have been good-but-not-great (36 points in 58 games this year) and the interest in him seems to be driven by his "tools" rather than his performance. Sometimes that kind of drafting works and you get Tyler Myers. On the other hand, sometimes you end up picking Colton gillies.

Reinhart is now doubt on the Flames radar thanks to the familial connection with Max Reinhart and having played in Edmonton. He's likely not going to be around at 14, though, and he doesn't strike me as the kind of talent the club should try to trade up to acquire.

- Tomas Hertl, C

The Czech native scored 13 goals and 25 points for Slavia Praha in the Czech pro league this year and was a stand out for his club at the World Junior Championships. He has some good offensive tools including puck handing and vision and is already 6'2" and 200 pounds. The thing holding him back is his skating, which is considered below average at best by most scouts. Everything else is in place, so if a club can somehow improve his stride to at least average, Hertl could be a value pick.

The Flames haven't chosen a Czech player at the draft since Jiri Cetkovsky in 2002, so it's doubtful they even scout in that part of the world these days. Even with the new regime in place, I doubt Hertl is on the Flames list.

- Slater Koekkoek, D

A solid overall defender by mos accounts, Koekkoek had most of his season wiped out by injury. He appeared in just 25 games for the Peterbourough Petes, scoring 18-points. His scouting reports resemble those of Olli Maatta, so he might be a worthwhile gamble for someone if he slides to the end of the first round or beyond. 

- Matt Fin, D

Finn is a guy with decent offensive output (10 goals, 48 points in 60 games) and is described as an excellent skater with smooth mechanics and strong first pass. He made big strides in his second season over his rookie effort which makes him a bit of a late riser and he's not ideally sized for a blueliner (6', 198 pounds). 

Brendan Gaunce, C

The Belleville Bulls center is considered one of the "safest" picks in the draft because of his mix of size, all around awareness and character. He is already 6'2" and 212 pounds and scored 68 points in 68 games to lead his team during the regular season. He can dominate board battles, is a tenacious worker and has excellent vision.

On the other hand, he isn't the greatest skater and doesn't have the hands or the creativity which suggest he'll be a notable scorer at the NHL level which is expected to be picked 20th or lower.

Trade Rumors

Further complicating things today are the rampant trade rumors. There are reportedly a lot of big names on the market, which could lead to a number of teams moving up, down or simply swapping their pick for a player outright.

- The Flames, of course, are said to be shopping Jay Bouwmeester and Mikael Backlund. Feaster has gone on record as saying Calgary could be convinced to trade down from 14 for the right package as well.

- Rick Nash continues to be shopped hard by the Blue Jackets. Howson is apparently seeking a Kings ransome for the Columbus sniper, so a first rounder will definitely be involved is Nash is moved.

- Jordan Staal rejected a 10-year contract extension with the Penguins, pretty much guaranteeing he'll be moving on at the end of his contract with Pittsburgh. That may lead to the club dealing him rather than losing him for nothing.

- Bobby Ryan's name has popped up again for whatever reason. He's a legit 30+ goal scorer undert he age of 25, so the Ducks will also want a lot in return.

- Keith Yandles name has been bandied about today, which is somewhat surprising. He's a guy who can play a lot of minutes and put up points, albeit in a highly skewed "offensive" type role. If you start Yandle in the offensive zone a buncha dn feed him second liners, he'll put points on the board. His deal is an expensive one though.

- The Islanders and Hurricanes are apparently open to trading their top-10 picks (4th and 8th respectively). It will take impact players to pique their interest though.

- Blackhawks Niklas Hjalmarsson and Steve Montador are apparently on the block. Not sure they'll be involved in a trade for a first rounder though.

REMINDER - FlamesNation will host a live chat here starting around 6:30pm (EST) or 4:30 MST. We will also have articles on all of Calgary's notable moves during the first round and beyond.

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Former Nations Overlord. Current FN contributor and curmudgeon For questions, complaints, criticisms, etc contact Kent @ kent.wilson@gmail. Follow him on Twitter here.
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#1 Baalzamon
June 22 2012, 10:24AM
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ahh the draft. Last year I was so puzzled by Murphy and Beaulieu being available at 12th that I didn't notice Baertschi had fallen too. When the Hurricanes picked Murphy, I was convinced Feaster would call Beaulieu's name. I still think he's the guy they had ranked ahead of Sven but changed their minds at the last minute. Memories.

how ingrained am I to the Sutter era? I shuddered as soon as I saw Gaunce's name up there.

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#3 Austin
June 22 2012, 10:57AM
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Very excited, I just hope one of the guys in the concensus top 12 or 13 falls to us. For example if a team ahead of us picks a guy in the mid-teens like Collberg or Finn or Aberg, then that automatically bumps the other guys like Ceci, Faksa, that much closer to us.

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#4 flamesburn89
June 22 2012, 11:23AM
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Austin wrote:

Very excited, I just hope one of the guys in the concensus top 12 or 13 falls to us. For example if a team ahead of us picks a guy in the mid-teens like Collberg or Finn or Aberg, then that automatically bumps the other guys like Ceci, Faksa, that much closer to us.

Good point Austin. If a few teams make somewhat off the board selections, it increases the Flames' chances at landing a really good prospect like a Faksa. Did anyone see Faksa's story on TSN? Inspiring stuff for sure.

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#5 everton fc
June 22 2012, 11:23AM
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Still hoping it's Girgensons, if we stay at 14.

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#6 schevvy
June 22 2012, 11:33AM
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Unfortunately I will probably miss the live chat tonight, as the golf course is calling my name. But this should be an interesting draft to say the least. Here's to Grigorenko magically falling to us at 14!

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#7 MangoTanker
June 22 2012, 11:35AM
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Bobrovsky traded to the Jackets for 3 draft picks. Do they think he's gonna be their #1 or something? If they honestly do, that takes another team off the list of teams Kipper could potentially be dealt to.

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#8 everton fc
June 22 2012, 11:47AM
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Does it make Kipper to the Leafs a possibility?

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#9 Austin
June 22 2012, 11:50AM
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The only teams that are probably really looking for goalies are Chicago, Toronto, and Edmonton. Edmonton doesn't seem to be wanting to address that at this draft though, Toronto seems interested in Luongo, so does that leave Kipper with Chicago? Probably not, we haven't heard any rumblings about Kipper by now, so it's unlikely that he'll be moved. Unfortunate and a wasted oppurtunity.

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#10 negrilcowboy
June 22 2012, 12:22PM
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feasta ya gotta make a deal with burkie.

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#11 Derzie
June 22 2012, 12:44PM
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Why are we always rumored to be dancing with the Leafs? Have we not learned our lesson? Anyway, I would take it as I'm desperate for a big move. Anything, Jay, anything.

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#12 Kevin R
June 22 2012, 01:33PM
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What should happen & what will happen here today breaks my heart. All signs say Hartley wants one last kick with the old cogs before the sweeping core changes. Kipper & Iggy are not going anywhere. If we flop again and are 10th or 11th by next Feb, well then just expect rental value if they feel Jerome doesnt want to stay. Because of a potential lockout, they are probably telling Ramo to just finnish the KHL commitment before coming, so Kipper rumours will be big ticket next years draft. Big mistake in my opinion but if thats how they feel, they have the keys to the Cadillac. JBO will be the only player big move this summer & few free agent signings. JBO will probably be traded in July & be a consolation prize to those that didnt get Suter, so I see the price being higher after the draft. I have this pit in my stomach that this draft will be somewhat underwhelming, only excitement will be who falls to 14th overall.

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#13 negrilcowboy
June 22 2012, 01:56PM
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come on feasta pull a deal or this club is already out of the 2013 playoff.

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#14 JayD54
June 22 2012, 05:12PM
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"Sam's younger, bigger brother is a defender for the Edmonton Oil Kings" Just to make sure you get it correct, Griffin is the younger, bigger brother to Max and older, bigger brother to Sam Reinhart.

Yes, it would be nice if the Flames could draft this guy. More likely, though, it will be Cody Ceci, Derrick Pouliot or Olli Maata.

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#15 Franko J
June 22 2012, 06:56PM
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I think Feaster has some irons in the fire. Yet I feel they are staying the course.

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