FGD: Into the Fire

Kent Wilson
February 02 2013 02:51PM

A lot of consternation in Flamesland after the 6-3 loss to the Avs on Thursday, but from my angle the team has exceeded expectations from many angles through the early going. The results aren't there and the goaltending has been *ahem* questionable, but the club has made a habit of outchancing and outshooting their opponents so far. With a few different bounces and an NHL-average Kipper, the Flames have a much better set of W-L numbers heading into tonight.

Chicago is probably the best team the Flames have faced thus far though. The Sharks are the only other true playoff caliber opponent Calgary has seen and they have some severe depth problems. Not so much for Chicago, who boast starts like Kane, Toews, Hossa, Sharp, Keith and Seabrook at the top-end of the roster and then quality depth options like Viktor Stalberg, Michael Frolik and David Bolland elsewhere.  The addition of Michal Roszival and Johnny Oduya in the off-season solidified their top-4 on the back-end as well, so there really is no obvious weakness to exploit on Chicago's roster.

The Hawks haven't lost in regulation this season, in part because of the quality of their line-up, but also because Corey Crawford is pulling a reverse-Kipper so far. Much maligned last year during an entirely mediocre season, Crawford has some out a put up a .934 SV% in 7 starts, including .930 at ES and a mind-boggling .968% on the PK. Obviously that's not going to continue forever, but it wouldn't surprise me if Crawford is better than what he seemed in 2011-12.

The Line-up

Out are Begin and Sarich, replaced by Comeau and Smith. The Butler-Sarich duo were victimized a couple of times last game and were an obvious sore spot on more than one occassion. Comeau is back to being one of the least popular Flames on the roster, but I think we can all agree he's better than Begin.

  • Cammalleri - Tanguay - Iginla
  • Cervenka - Stajan - Hudler
  • Glencross - Backlund - Stempniak
  • Comeau - Jones - Jackman

  • Bouwmeester - Giordano
  • Wideman - Brodie
  • Smith - Butler

  • Kiprusoff

Word is Cammalleri will get elevated to the Iginla line today. Neither he nor Glencross had great games against Colorado, although that has been par for the course for Cammalleri thus far. He's had a lot of problems executing all over the ice, so maybe Hartley is looking to get him some more ice time to help him find his legs.

With Glencross moving down to the Backlund line, I would suggest tonight would be a good point for the Flames new coach to start burying the bottom-6 in the defesive zone as much as possible. Last game the Iginla trio including Glencross generated the most chances at even strength (6) but also gave up the most against (5), whereas the Backlund unit only saw one chance against all night.

At best the top line is going to be even more "high event" with a struggling Cammalleri on the wing, so it would make sense to give the Backlund and Jones units the bulk of the own-zone draws.

The Opposition

  • Saad - Toews - Hossa
  • Sharp - Kruger - Kane
  • Bickell - Shaw - Stalberg
  • Bollig - Meyers - Frolik

  • Keith - Seabrook
  • Oduya - Hjalmarsson
  • Brookbank - Leddy

  • Emery

Okay maybe I exagerrated when I said there were NO weaknesses on this roster. For example, I have no idea what rookie Brandon saad is doing on the first line and I doubt it lasts more than a period. He's a good quality prospect, but no way can he hang with Toews and Hossa at this point in his young career. Byron Bickell on the third line over Frolik is a baffling decision as well since Frolik has the best relative possession rate amongst regular forwards on the team. He still can't seem to put a puck into the ocean, but even as a pure driver of the play he's wasted on the fourth line.

Chicago's third defense unit is pretty suspect as well, if only because the incorrigible Sheldon Brookbank is on it. 

Also odd in the early going for Chicago is the fact that Patrick Kane is getting his head absolutely beat in in terms of possession (-17.74 corsi/60) and it's not like he is suddenly starting 70% of his shifts in the d-zone or anything. That's the sort of rate goons, grinders and marginal AHLers put up, so it will be interesting to watch him to tonight to see just what is going on. The points are there for him right now, but that's due to an on-ice SH% of 17.73% (which is more than double the league average). When that percentage regresses his results will crater if he continues to spend so much time in his own zone.

Sum It Up

The Hawks have a strong line-up with high-end talent and ga oalie playing over his head right now. The Flames have put together some strong performances but the goaltending has been poor so the record isn't there. The best news for Calgary is the hawks played last night and lost in a shoot-out so they should be tired at least. In addition, Corey Crawford is taking a seat in favor of back-up Ray Emery, so that should help the Flames cause to some degree.

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Kent is the Nations Overlord. For questions, complaints, criticisms, etc contact Kent @ kent.wilson@gmail. Follow him on Twitter here.
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Reply #101 cLYDE February 02 2013, 10:36PM
+1 0 props

If we got good returns on Kipper and Iggy we really wouldn't be that far away from being decent with a couple of good drafts.

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Reply #102 Subversive February 02 2013, 10:37PM
+1 0 props

OMFG. How has nothing gone in?

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Reply #103 thymebalm February 02 2013, 10:38PM
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"Curtis Glencross! He's going to need therapy after this game!"

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Reply #104 negrilcowboy February 02 2013, 10:39PM
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thymebalm wrote:

"Curtis Glencross! He's going to need therapy after this game!"

juno award winning call

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Reply #105 Scary Gary February 02 2013, 10:41PM
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Oh man...open nets.

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Reply #106 ChinookArch February 02 2013, 10:42PM
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Finally!

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Reply #107 Gunk February 02 2013, 10:42PM
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FINALLY... jeez louise

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Reply #108 seve927 February 02 2013, 10:43PM
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A GOOD bounce! And the fortunes of a franchise turn...

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Reply #109 Vintage Flame February 02 2013, 10:43PM
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Wideman, off Seabrook's skate.. I'll take it!

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Reply #111 seve927 February 02 2013, 10:46PM
+1 1 props

Don't settle for overtime, let's see some killer instinct. Nothing to lose. Go for it!

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Reply #112 seve927 February 02 2013, 10:49PM
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I guess Kelly Hrudey disagrees with me.

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Reply #113 seve927 February 02 2013, 10:51PM
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Does the NHL keep a pucks bounced over stick stat? Flames lead the league.

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Reply #114 Subversive February 02 2013, 10:51PM
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Frickin frick! Bury it!

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Reply #115 Gunk February 02 2013, 10:53PM
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Gee I wonder if Emery will get 1st star..

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Reply #116 Drad February 02 2013, 10:53PM
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Curtis "regress to the mean" Glencross.

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Reply #117 Gunk February 02 2013, 10:53PM
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boooo yaaa!

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Reply #118 Subversive February 02 2013, 10:54PM
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Wooooooooooooooooooooo!

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Reply #119 seve927 February 02 2013, 10:54PM
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Ah, the thrill of the KILL!

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Reply #120 Beeker73 February 02 2013, 10:54PM
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WOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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Reply #121 Vintage Flame February 02 2013, 10:54PM
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Atta boy J-Bo!!

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Reply #122 11yomamen February 02 2013, 10:54PM
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Góóóóóóóól!!!

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Reply #123 cLYDE February 02 2013, 10:54PM
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We can't even score on a sieve like Emery in the back end of a back to back is very telling. Love the effort but let's be real here.

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Reply #124 ChinookArch February 02 2013, 10:54PM
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Bouwmeester is finally burying those after 3 years of trying.

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Reply #127 thymebalm February 02 2013, 10:56PM
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oh my god.. come on flames.

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Reply #128 seve927 February 02 2013, 10:56PM
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I actually laughed. Unbelievable.

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Reply #129 Subversive February 02 2013, 10:56PM
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Fbfhdjcbcgidjencnfnvnendbc!

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Reply #130 Gunk February 02 2013, 10:56PM
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lord have mercy... the only bright side is Hossa is in my pool :-)

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Reply #131 ChinookArch February 02 2013, 10:56PM
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Does anyone know any Slovakian slurs?

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Reply #132 Subversive February 02 2013, 10:57PM
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Seriously unbelievable.

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Reply #133 thymebalm February 02 2013, 10:57PM
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The Flames will find a way to lose?

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Reply #134 Vintage Flame February 02 2013, 10:57PM
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Un.Believe.Able

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Reply #135 11yomamen February 02 2013, 10:58PM
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Dopiče aj s vyjebanym Hossom. Kurvaaa!!!

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Reply #136 Mitch P February 02 2013, 10:58PM
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I feel like puking.

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Reply #137 ChinookArch February 02 2013, 10:59PM
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11yomamen wrote:

Dopiče aj s vyjebanym Hossom. Kurvaaa!!!

What he said!

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Reply #139 ChinookArch February 02 2013, 11:00PM
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Chicago's first star - Post.

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Reply #140 Bean-counting cowboy February 02 2013, 11:01PM
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How did I know that would happen.

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Reply #141 Gunk February 02 2013, 11:01PM
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hmmm. 4 on 3? I'll take that :-) we don't want a shootout tonight.

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Reply #142 cLYDE February 02 2013, 11:02PM
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With a loss, we will be one step closer to Seth Jones who got 2 more points tonight playing with Wotherspoon.

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Reply #143 11yomamen February 02 2013, 11:02PM
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Heads up guys. Still chance to two points! Cmon FLAMES!

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Reply #144 northernstamp February 02 2013, 11:02PM
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Why oh why was Stajan on the ice in the final minute when you're trying to protect lead?

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Reply #145 Subversive February 02 2013, 11:05PM
+1 0 props

There are no words.

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Reply #146 Vintage Flame February 02 2013, 11:05PM
+1 0 props

SWEET CHRIST, WHAT WILL IT TAKE????

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Reply #147 11yomamen February 02 2013, 11:06PM
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shots 19 - 45 for CGY

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Reply #148 thymebalm February 02 2013, 11:06PM
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@northernstamp

Because he's been one of the best Flames on the ice tonight

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Reply #149 Gunk February 02 2013, 11:06PM
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What a fantic end to this insain game! fans are getting their moneys worth tonight. Glencross/Cervenka/hudler

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Reply #150 ChinookArch February 02 2013, 11:07PM
+1 0 props

Please please Hartly no Iginla or Cammilleri' in the shoot out.

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