Black Box: Week 20

Robert Vollman
February 20 2012 09:54AM

 

 

Calgary is yet to lose in regulation time in February, going 5-0-3 in that span, doubling their odds of qualifying for the post-season into the 49%-52% range, their highest of the season. However, they are still 27th in close-game shot-based possession metrics, and their -13 goal differential would certainly be the worst of any post-season participant, so they're peddling uphill.

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Black Box: Week 19

Robert Vollman
February 13 2012 08:44AM

 

 

“Vollman's articles are dry and boring - for math geeks not hockey fans.” - Kenta

Fortunately the action on the ice is more interesting than the coverage – five games into February and the Flames are yet to lose in regulation, boosting their statistical chances of a post-season appearance to the 33%-36% range, just short of their season high set in late December.  Calgary's currently in 9th place, two points back of the final playoff position.

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Will Cammalleri Come to Life?

Robert Vollman
February 09 2012 09:14AM

 

 

Mike Cammalleri is back! But he has just 2 points - both goals - and is -6 in 8 games.  This doesn't seem like the only Flame to beat Jarome Iginla in the goal-scoring race since Valeri Bure in 1999-2000.  What gives?

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Black Box: Week 18

Robert Vollman
February 06 2012 09:16AM

 

 

Calgary lost two of three since our last update, dropping their chances of making the post-season to the 20%-23% range.  Brendan Morrison is gone, making room for Krys Kolanos, who played his first NHL game in three years.

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Seller's Guide to the Calgary Flames

Robert Vollman
February 02 2012 10:18AM

 

 

Calgary's post-season chances are somewhere between 15% and 30%, and based on GM Jay Feaster's recent tweet that "our mandate is to win now" are unlikely to be among the sellers making a lot of waves at the trade deadline.

Though likely to merely stand pat, Calgary has $4.3 million in cap space now, and $5.2 million at the trade deadline, and could be buyers if they go on a bit of a roll in February.

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