Black Box: Week 20
Robert Vollman
February 20 2012 09:54AM
Calgary is yet to lose in regulation time in February, going 5-0-3 in that span, doubling their odds of qualifying for the post-season into the 49%-52% range, their highest of the season. However, they are still 27th in close-game shot-based possession metrics, and their -13 goal differential would certainly be the worst of any post-season participant, so they're peddling uphill.
Black Box: Week 19
Robert Vollman
February 13 2012 08:44AM
“Vollman's articles are dry and boring - for math geeks not hockey fans.” - Kenta
Fortunately the action on the ice is more interesting than the coverage – five games into February and the Flames are yet to lose in regulation, boosting their statistical chances of a post-season appearance to the 33%-36% range, just short of their season high set in late December. Calgary's currently in 9th place, two points back of the final playoff position.
Will Cammalleri Come to Life?
Robert Vollman
February 09 2012 09:14AM
Mike Cammalleri is back! But he has just 2 points - both goals - and is -6 in 8 games. This doesn't seem like the only Flame to beat Jarome Iginla in the goal-scoring race since Valeri Bure in 1999-2000. What gives?
Black Box: Week 18
Robert Vollman
February 06 2012 09:16AM
Calgary lost two of three since our last update, dropping their chances of making the post-season to the 20%-23% range. Brendan Morrison is gone, making room for Krys Kolanos, who played his first NHL game in three years.
Seller's Guide to the Calgary Flames
Robert Vollman
February 02 2012 10:18AM
Calgary's post-season chances are somewhere between 15% and 30%, and based on GM Jay Feaster's recent tweet that "our mandate is to win now" are unlikely to be among the sellers making a lot of waves at the trade deadline.
Though likely to merely stand pat, Calgary has $4.3 million in cap space now, and $5.2 million at the trade deadline, and could be buyers if they go on a bit of a roll in February.
