Black Box: OZQoC Charts
Robert Vollman
September 12 2011 08:57AM
An OZQoC Chart, pronounced “Oz-Coke” is a visual representation of the situations in which a team's players are used. By combining the following two statistics, a player's role can be determined at a glance, providing the valuable context in which his other statistics can be studied. Quite frankly, it is a necessary first step before any other statistic is even mentioned, which is why it will be the first part of our weekly Black Box statistical summaries this season.
Flames Comparables: Stempniak and Jokinen
Robert Vollman
September 08 2011 10:55AM
Every Thursday we're using the Snepsts system to project how many points each of the Flames may score this year. The Snepsts system, explained over at Hockey Prospectus, searches history for players with similar statistics (adjusted for era scoring levels) and uses their future performance as yardsticks for today's.
Part 1 of our series covered Jarome Iginla and Alex Tanguay. This week we'll be looking at Olli Jokinen and Daymond Langkow. Err … make that Lee Stempniak.
Weekly Statistical Update
Robert Vollman
September 06 2011 08:25AM
Every Monday throughout this season we'll be providing a summary of how the Flames are doing using advanced statistical analysis. In a single page we'll supplement your subjective observations and the traditional box score statistics (“box cars”) with the raw numbers, and some interpretive analysis.
Using all the tools of modern statistic hockey analysis, and an eye so cold and objective that it makes Jonathan Toews look like Ed Whalen, we'll explore how every Flame is performing on a weekly basis.
Flames Comparables: Iginla and Tanguay
Robert Vollman
September 01 2011 02:08PM
Predicting how many points a player will score is tricky business. Even the new Vukota system, which has already been regarded as the best, is off by 0.14 points per game on average – or 11.5 points over an 82 game season.
That's why I like the Snepsts System, which since it was first introduced in 2009 over at Hockey Prospectus, projects how many points a player will score by searching NHL's vast history to find players with similar scoring trends. While it's no more accurate than the Vukota system over-all, it offers up a range of historical probabilities, offering us the opportunity to decide for ourselves where a particular player will fall, depending on their individual circumstances.
