Seller's Guide to the Calgary Flames
Robert Vollman
February 02 2012 10:18AM
Calgary's post-season chances are somewhere between 15% and 30%, and based on GM Jay Feaster's recent tweet that "our mandate is to win now" are unlikely to be among the sellers making a lot of waves at the trade deadline.
Though likely to merely stand pat, Calgary has $4.3 million in cap space now, and $5.2 million at the trade deadline, and could be buyers if they go on a bit of a roll in February.
Calgary’s Playoff Probability
Robert Vollman
January 30 2012 12:25PM
What are the chances Calgary makes the post-season this year? Depending on your level of optimism, it’s statistically somewhere between 17% and 30%.
Five spots are arguably effectively sewn up (by Detroit, St. Louis, Vancouver, Chicago and San Jose) two more which are Los Angeles and Nashville’s to lose, and one likely up for grabs for any of Minnesota, Colorado, Phoenix, Dallas and yes, the Calgary Flames. From this you might estimate Calgary’s probability of making the post-season at a maximum of 20%.
Rating Calgary's Defensemen
Robert Vollman
January 25 2012 09:47AM
Measuring a player’s defensive abilities and contributions is very difficult, as we discussed in the recent Babchuk vs Regehr series but perhaps there are a few things to be learned from catch-all statistics, like Hockey-Reference’s point shares, Tom Awad’s GVT, Alan Ryder’s Player Contributions and the WhatIfSports engine, and how they defensively rank Calgary’s current blue line of Anton Babchuk, Chris Butler, Cory Sarich, Jay Bouwmeester, Mark Giordano and Scott Hannan since the lock-out.
Black Box: Week 16
Robert Vollman
January 23 2012 08:11AM
After a highly successful road trip Hockey-Reference.com currently puts Calgary's chances of a post-season berth at 28.7%. What impact will having their leading scorer, top penalty-killer and best shut-down forward Curtis Glencross out of the line-up for 6-8 weeks?
Babchuk vs Regehr, Part Two
Robert Vollman
January 20 2012 10:21AM
A lot of people think that statistical analysis of hockey is complete nonsense, and last week we showed how these detractors appear quite justified when virtually every defensive statistic agrees that Anton Babchuk is as good as (or even better than) Robyn Regehr defensively.
