Black Box: Week 8
Robert Vollman
November 30 2011 09:03AM
A tough week capped a tough first quarter for the Calgary Flames, who find themselves dead last in the Northwest Division, 3rd last in the Western Conference, and 5th last over-all at the 22-game mark. That bad start is already in the books and there's nothing that can be done about that, but what happens from here – is the season truly over?
Flames Forwards: Who's Coming Up Short?
Robert Vollman
November 28 2011 01:21PM
If you've been following the weekly Black Box statistical summaries then you've also been following the OZQoC Charts, and you know how the Flames forwards are being used. Here's how it sits today at the season's one-quarter mark.
Flames Scoring Projections
Robert Vollman
November 24 2011 10:49AM
For the past couple of months we've been using the Snepsts System to search the NHL's entire history for players with similar era-adjusted statistics as our beloved Flames, and then basing projections on what happened to those similar players. This week we're going to bring it all together and see what the final scoring totals may look like at year's end.
Black Box: Week 7
Robert Vollman
November 21 2011 08:10AM
In today's NHL it's normally wise to keep scoring down. The lower the scoring, the greater the chance for shoot-out or overtime, leading to a lot more so-called loser points (plus a roughly 50% chance of a further point) In fact, if you could arrange to end every regulation game tied you'd earn at least 82 points, plus likely another 41 from what is effectively a statistical coin toss, giving you 123 points and the President's trophy. All of sudden Guy Boucher's trap makes a great deal of sense!
Black Box: Week 6
Robert Vollman
November 14 2011 09:10AM
Week six, and the Calgary Flames are tied for 25th over-all with the Anaheim Ducks and Carolina Hurricanes, ahead of just the Winnipeg Jets, the New York Islanders and the Columbus Blue Jackets. The main reason for having only the Jackets between them and the Western Conference basement floor is having scored just 35 goals scored in 16 games – more than only the Ducks and Islanders.
