Journal of Hockey Analytics: Volume I Issue 6

Josh W
June 16 2014 01:58PM

flyingv

The Rangers deploying advanced systems tactics

Welcome to this week's version of the Journal of Hockey Analytics. The final game of hockey for the 2013-14 season has been played, which means that all of your favourite bloggers and writers will now be turning their attention towards the future; the draft, free agency, and trades.

So for your slow Monday at work, continue past the jump for analysis of draft picks, and lots of cool little nuggets regarding neutral zone data and luck!

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News and Notes - June 16 2014

Ryan Pike
June 16 2014 10:00AM

#107866547 / gettyimages.com

The 2013-14 season is now over entirely, folks. The hockey calendar officially flips over to the 2014-15 schedule on July 1, but obviously there are a lot of things to touch upon between now and then. Those things include trades, free agency, the draft and buyouts, compliance and otherwise.

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Weekend Open Thread: Regehr Gets His Cup!

Ryan Pike
June 14 2014 08:00AM

#450586646 / gettyimages.com

Robyn Regehr was one of the best Calgary Flames in history.

He was acquired for Theoren Fleury. He played 826 games for the Flames between 1999 and his 2011 departure to Buffalo. He won his first Stanley Cup this weekend, as the Los Angeles Kings beat the New York Rangers 3-2 in a thrilling double-OT Game 5.

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Reviewing Flames Zone Starts

Ryan Pike
June 13 2014 08:30AM

#482070549 / gettyimages.com

One of my off-season projects this summer was to try to gauge the progress of some of Calgary's younger or emerging players. One of the metrics you can use to try to approximate a coach's confidence in a player is zone starts.

Zone starts measure what percentage of a player's shifts begin in the offensive zone at even-strength, ignoring neutral-zone face-offs for simplicity. (e.g., O-Zone Start % is Offensive Starts divided by Offensive + Defensive Starts). A player that starts a lot in the offensive zone needs high ground to succeed, a player that starts mostly in the defensive zone can get high ground on their own. At least, that's the theory.

Here's a look at the rolling 10-game zone-start trends for a few different combinations of Flames for the entire season.

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Log Jam at Left Wing

beloch
June 12 2014 11:00AM

gaudreau_logdriver


(Regular readers of FN should recognize long-time quality commenter beloch. We're giving him a chance to contribute beyond the comment section for a change. Here is his first article...welcome beloch!)

In terms of goal production, the Flames corps of forwards didn't get it done this year. Yes, they outscored Edmonton, Vancouver, and even L.A., but they were still 23rd in the league in terms of goals per game. Part of the reason for this is that the Flames had just three established NHL left wingers and one of them, Curtis Glencross, missed more than half the season due to injury. A lot of left-wing minutes were played by rookies, centers, and even right wingers! To make matters worse, Mike Cammalleri may leave as a free agent this summer. There is hope though. The Flames' farm system is bursting at the seams with quality left wing prospects, many of whom will be ready for NHL minutes next season. Some might be a few years from being useful NHLers but others seem almost certain to be valuable next season.  

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