2012 NHL Draft Top 100 – June Update: Yakupov is Unanimous

Photo by Bri Weldon, via Wikimedia Commons

Aside from Mathew Dumba’s leapfrog of Mikhail Grigorenko, the top 12 in our consensus list remained the same.  Nail Yakupov has gone from the strong consensus #1 to the unanimous #1 and Filip Forsberg has lengthened his lead on Alex Galchenyuk, but the list has held steady.

The big movers in June jumped into the back half of the first round.  Rogle’s Hamphus Lindholm moved five spots to #16, Oshawa’s Scott Laughton moved 19 spots to #23 and Henrik Samuelsson moved thirteen spots to #30.

Future Considerations describes Lindholm as "…a very aggressive puck rushing defenseman with a high offensive upside. He starts rushes quickly with his high-end skating ability and vision."  But with a significant downside, namely, his defensive game:  "He makes bad decisions and is not hard enough on the puck. Inconsistent play is the biggest detraction from Lindholm’s game. He can force things and tries to make low percentage passes that turn into odd-man rushes or scoring chances against."

Hockey Prospectus’ Corey Pronman thinks Laughton is "…a quick, smart effective player with an average skill level who is a "does all the little things" type of guy in the lineup and seems to always be around the play." but doesn’t think he projects into the top six in the NHL.

The Scouting Report thinks Samuelsson is a grinder, noting he’s "…a strong complementary player that does the dirty work, but has enough skill to finish off plays as well."  But he isn’t going to be an offensive dynamo, "Skating is pretty average, and his offensive puck skills aren’t going to blow you away…"

The sources for the consensus list are Bob McKenzie, Redline Report, Future Considerations, ISS, Craig Button, Hockey Prospectus, The Scouting Report, and Win Shares via Nick, A.K.A. Mathletic.  Their prior records are used to establish a weighting so that the opinions of the more accurate (McKenzie and Button) have more value than the opinions of the less accurate.

#   Pos   Name   HT   WT   L/R   Team   Move
1 F Nail Yakupov  5’11 180 L Sarnia Sting 0
2 F Filip Forsberg  6’2 180 R Leksand 0
3 F Alex Galchenyuk  6’1 185 L Sarnia Sting 0
4 D Ryan Murray  6’0 182 L Everett Silvertips 0
5 D Mathew Dumba  6’0 172 R Red Deer Rebels 1
6 F Mikhail Grigorenko  6’2 192 L Quebec Remparts -1
7 D Morgan Rielly  6’0 190 L Moose Jaw Warriors 0
8 F Teuvo Teräväinen  5’10 161 L Jokerit 0
9 D Jacob Trouba  6’1 183 R USA NTDP U18 0
10 D Griffin Reinhart  6’4 202 L Edmonton Oil Kings 0
11 D Cody Ceci  6’2 203 R Ottawa 67’s 0
12 F Radek Faksa  6’2 183 L Kitchener Rangers 0
13 F Sebastian Collberg  6’0 180 R Frölunda 1
14 D Olli Määttä  6’2 198 L London Knights 3
15 F Zemgus Girgensons  6’1 182 L Dubuque Fighting Saints 0
16 D Hamphus Lindholm 6’2 180 L Rogle 5
17 D Derrick Pouliot  5’11 192 L Portland Winterhawks 1
18 F Pontus Åberg  5’11 183 R Djurgården -5
19 D Matt Finn  6’0 197 L Guelph Storm -3
20 D Slater Koekkoek  6’2 180 L Peterborough Petes -1
21 F Brendan Gaunce  6’2 205 L Belleville Bulls -1
22 F Tomas Hertl  6’2 196 L Slavia Praha 0
23 F Scott Laughton  6’0 174 L Oshawa Generals 19
24 D Brady Skjei 6’1 183 L USA NTDP U18 -1
25 G Andrei Vasilevski  6’3 200 L Ufa -1
26 D Ludvig Bystrom 6’0 176 L Modo 2
27 F Nicolas Kerdiles  6’1 183 L USA NTDP U18 -1
28 F Tom Wilson  6’4 195 R Plymouth Whalers 4
29 D Michael Matheson  6’1 175 L Dubuque Fighting Saints 1
30 F Henrik Samuelsson  6’2 192 R Edmonton Oil Kings 13
31 L Philip Di Giuseppe 5’11 176 L Michigan -4
32 D Damon Severson  6’1 188 R Kelowna Rockets -3
33 F Martin Frk  5’11 190 R Halifax Mooseheads -8
34 F Stefan Matteau  6’1 188 L USA NTDP U18 -3
35 F Tanner Pearson 6’0 192 L Barrie Colts -2
36 D Dalton Thrower  6’0 195 R Saskatoon Blades -1
37 D Jordan Schmaltz  6’2 175 R Green Bay Gamblers -3
38 L Anton Slepyshev 6’2 187 R Novokuznetsk 6
39 F Daniil Zharkov  6’3 195 L Tri-City Storm -3
40 D Ville Pokka  6’0 187 R Kärpät -2
41 F Cristoval Nieves  6’2 175 L Kent Prep School 4
42 F Colton Sissons  6’0 173 R Kelowna Rockets -3
43 F Jarrod Maidens  6’2 170 R Owen Sound Attack -6
44 F Mike Winther 5’11 170 R Prince Albert Raiders 4
45 F Brady Vail  6’1 190 L Windsor Spitfires 4
46 D Patrick Sieloff  6’0 173 L USA NTDP U18 1
47 R Scott Kosmachuk 5’11 185 R Guelph Storm -7
48 D Adam Pelech  6’2 200 L Erie Otters 2
49 F Andreas Athanasiou  6’0 165 L London Knights 2
50 F Matia Marcantuoni  5’11 185 R Kitchener Rangers -9
51 D Gianluca Curcuruto  6’1 187 L SSM Greyhounds 1
52 F Tim Bozon 6’1 178 L Kamloops Blazers 2
53 G Malcolm Subban  6’0 178 L Belleville Bulls -7
54 F Nikolai Prokhorkin  6’2 183 L CSKA Moscow 2
55 F Charles Hudon  5’8 165 L Chicoutimi Sagueneens 0
56 L Gemel Smith 5’11 165 L Owen Sound Attack 1
57 D Dillon Fournier  6’1 160 L Rouyn-Noranda Huskies 1
58 F Tomas Hyka 5’11 160 R Gatineau Olympiques 1
59 D Esa Lindell 6’3" 194 L Jokerit 1
60 G Oscar Dansk  6’2 183 L Brynäs 4
61 F Mark Jankowski 6’2 170 L Stanstead 4
62 D Calle Andersson  6’1 194 R Malmö 4
63 F Chandler Stephenson  5’9 170 L Regina Pats 4
64 F Brian Hart  6’1 190 R Phillips Exeter Academy 4
65 D Nick Ebert  6’0 195 R Windsor Spitfires -12
66 F Nikita Gusev 5’9 163 R CSKA Moscow 4
67 C Dane Fox 6’0 185 L London Knights 4
68 F Emil Lundberg  6’3 198 L Södertälje -6
69 F Raphaël Bussières  6’0 183 L Baie-Comeau Drakkar -8
70 F Coda Gordon 6’2 174 L Swift Current Broncos 4
71 D Mikko Vainonen 6’2 205 L HIFK 1
72 F Lukas Sutter  6’0 199 L Saskatoon Blades 4
73 D Valeri Vasiliyev 6’1 200 L Spartak Moscow 4
74 F Ben Johnson  5’10 155 L Windsor Spitfires 6
75 C Tanner Richard 5’11 182 L Guelph Storm -12
76 F Riley Barber  5’11 195 R USA NTDP U18 7
77 C Devin Shore 6’0 184 L Whitby 7
78 G Matt Murray 6’4" 162 R SSM Greyhounds 8
79 D Jake McCabe  6’0 195 L USA NTDP U18 9
80 G Brandon Whitney 6’5 193 R Victoriaville 10
81 F Ryan Olsen  6’2 190 R Kelowna Rockets -12
82 F Erik Karlsson  6’0 161 L Frölunda 31
83 F Steven Hodges  5’11 165 L Chilliwack Bruins -10
84 F Branden Troock  6’1 175 R Seattle Thunderbirds -9
85 F Jimmy Vesey       South Shore Kings 8
86 D Niklas Tikkinen 5’11 172 L Espoo Blues -7
87 D Trevor Carrick 6’2 175 L Mississauga St. Mike’s Majors -9
88 C Vyacheslav Osnovin 6’0 188 L Cheljabinsk -7
89 F Dominik Volek 6’1 180 L Regina Pats -7
90 G Jon Gillies  6’5 202 L Indiana Ice 9
91 F Troy Bourke  5’10 150 L Prince George Cougars -4
92 F A.J. Michaelson  6’0 180 L Waterloo Black Hawks -7
93 F Brendan Leipsic  5’9 155 L Portland Winterhawks -4
94 G Daniel Altshuller 6’3 195 L Oshawa Generals 10
95 D Dylan Blujus  6’3 184 R Brampton Battalion -4
96 D Jaynen Rissling  6’4 220 L Calgary Hitmen -4
97 F Teddy Blueger 6’0 180 L Shattuck St. Mary’s 21
98 D Brian Cooper  5’9 176 L Fargo Force 22
99 C Michael Clarke 6’1 184 L Windsor Spitfires 16
100 F Brett Kulak 6’0 175 L Vancouver Giants 24
  • By this list, the Oilers are slated to take Nail Yakupov and Damon Severson. In all of the projections and predictions I’ve read about the Oilers first two picks, this seems as likely as any. The star forward and the WHL defenseman fit the Oilers’ MO.
  • The first round by country: 12 Canadians, 6 Swedes, 4 Americans, 3 Russians, 2 Czechs, 2 Finns and a Latvian, Zemgus Girgensons, set to become the highest-drafted Latvian ever.
  • The first round by position:  15 forwards, 14 defensemen, 1 goalie, with 8 forwards and 7 defensemen in the top 15.
  • 2012 won’t be remembered as a good year for the Slovaks: the first Slovakian player on the combined list, Daniel Rzavský, checks in at #166.
  • Though Mikhail Grigorenko fell to #6, I have a hard time believing that Montreal, the Islanders, and Toronto will all pass on the talented Russian. If he does fall that far, Sean Couturier comparisons will begin immediately.
  • RexLibris

    I would love for Samuelsson to be consistently ranked 30th amongst the NHL teams, as it means that, assuming a Devils first round forfeiture, he could very easily be around for the Oilers to pick.

    His is the skill set that the team will need in the next few years. And having seen him live over a half-a-dozen times this year, his play in some of the smaller aspects of the game is invaluable. He can be a world-class jerk for opposing teams, and a distraction from his more highly-skilled teammates.

    His skating is about average, but he does keep up with the pace of play and, regardless of how quickly, he gets to where he needs to be in order to positively affect the play.

    As with the Oilers’ picks, I wonder if they might not try to trade a player like Paajarvi for a pick in the range of Reilly (7th) to Reinhart (10th), and then refocus their efforts on the forward prospects, many of whom have graduated to the AHL this past season.

    My personal wishlist would be Yakupov, Reinhart, Samuelsson, Lukas Sutter, Mitch Moroz, and Cody Corbett.

    In Stu We Trust.

    Intersting to see Collberg in the 14th spot. His was the name that kept coming up around the Flames draft position when I was hunting around online. He would seem to be a good fit.

    Lukas Sutter and Valeri Vasiliyev both appear to be in the Flames range for the 3rd round. This could provide an interesting storyline on day two. If Feaster picks Sutter is it Darryl’s draft strategy all over again? If he picks Vasiliyev is it a deliberate break from the Sutter tradition?

    Thanks for the list, June is fast becoming my favourite month.

    • Derek Zona

      I’d rather see the Oilers swing for the fences and take a player who can make an offensive impact. If you’re drafting Ville Niemenen in the second round, you might as well forgo drafting altogether.

  • everton fc

    Girgensons makes most sense. Maatte would be second for most. Perhaps Lindholm has more upside?

    But we seem to like smallish, skilled players. Collberg, if available, may be the pick. But I think we need to get bigger.

    As for the later rounds, what about Tom Wilson out of Plymouth? Not saying he’s our first round pick… Not even sure he goes in the latter part of the 1st round… But if we could get a 2nd round pick somehow… He’d be a nice project on RW.

    I’ll throw Emil Lundberg’s name into the same discussion – if we could trade for a 2nd… He’d be another interesting project at RW.

    • Derek Zona

      Wilson is ranked as high as 17 (ISS) and 21 (Button). I don’t think he’ll last very far into the second round. I’d expect the Rangers to take him if available.

  • Quicksilver ballet

    Henrik Samuelsson, Damon Severson, Tom Wilson, Dalton Thrower, Ville Pokka or Nicolas Kerdiles would be each be a sweet pick for the Oilers with their 2nd round pick.

  • Quicksilver ballet

    Those two ship disturbers (brothers) that play for the London Knights. Have they both been drafted?

    Despite thier size they seemed to play with alot of pizz and vinegar. Clutterbuck clones.

    Could we trade Tambellini and Peckham for a second shot in the top 8 next week?

  • Derek Zona

    If Maataa is there we have to take him. Solid defenseman. I’ve seen him ranked slightly above where we pick in most mock drafts/scouting reports so if this proves accurae I’d love the pick.

  • Quicksilver ballet

    is there any way the oilers blow our minds and take Galchenyuk at 1st? i keep hearing he’s got the highest ceiling of anyone at the draft.

    • Derek Zona

      Pronman believes Galchenyuk would’ve given Yakupov a run for first overall if not for the knee injury. Taking a guy with so few games played that high is a significant risk, however, so the Oilers aren’t going to take him with a budding star like Yakupov available.

  • justDOit

    @Derek Zona

    Sorry I was mainly referring to several mock drafts that I follow. Although, I believe the CSS Final North American Skater Rankings had Maataa at 8th. When you count that Forsberg, Teravainen from the European rankings will likely go ahead of him, that puts Maataa at 10th. But I have also seen mock drafts by NHL Team sites where Maataa is right where the Flames are drafting. Could you see Ceci falling to where we are? And do you think the Flames would take a chance on him?

    • Derek Zona

      As to the Flames pick – considering the amount of defensemen available so early, the likelihood that some team will break ranks and go after forwards is high. I can see teams like Minnesota, Winnipeg, Tampa, and Washington ditching the idea of taking Rielly, Trouba, Reinhart and Ceci in favor of taking the forwards. Faksa, Collberg, Aberg and Girgensons will look attractive to those teams if they aren’t interested in going with D so early.

        • Derek Zona

          Yeah, either way, I think the Flames set up nicely to get a superior player. As do the Caps. How things break (especially if someone goes off of the wall for a goalie) mean so much to teams 11-20

  • Franko J

    If Malcolm Subban goes above 20th I’ll be surprised, but it can only benefit our team as long as we aren’t the ones to take him. If Rielly or Trouba fell to the Flames I would be extrememly surprised though simply because I realize that they are not likely to go in the top 5, but I think that Rielly may be the best defenseman in this draft if not for his injury. I’d be happy with the Flames taking Trouba too. Is he commmited to a certain US College or University as of yet?

    • Derek Zona

      “Rielly may be the best defenseman in this draft if not for his injury.”

      Everyone I’ve talked to so far thinks he’s too weak in his own zone to be at the top, though his offense is well-above the others.

      ” Is he commmited to a certain US College or University as of yet?”

      Michigan, where Jack Johnson matriculated.

  • Outside shot Tampa might go with a goalie with their second first rounder, that’s the highest I could see Subban or Vasilievskiy going.

    Jankowski is definitely going higher than 61st. Probably gone in the first 5, maximum 10 picks of the 2nd round.

    Trouba will be at Michigan in the fall, Austin.

    • Derek Zona

      “Jankowski is definitely going higher than 61st. Probably gone in the first 5, maximum 10 picks of the 2nd round. ”

      McKenzie’s final ranking on him will impact his slotting. In fact, McKenzie’s final ranking will have the biggest impact of anyone.

  • Derek Zona

    Assuming he fell to the Flames, it probably wouldn’t affect their choice of if they were to take him that he is committed to a college even if his path to the NHL takes longer than the usual CHL first rounder. As a fan I’d like to see the first round picks transform into NHL calibre players but one can’t have everything.

  • Franko J

    With a limited free agent pool this year, I strongly believe there could be a number of teams willing to trade at the draft. With players like Nash and Luongo in play, and after the top 3 or 4 players (draftees), there is no guarantee who will be available at what pick.

    Barring any trades, Flames would look good picking Gergensons or Ceci.

  • The Flames and, especially, Oilers can’t lose in the first round this year.
    Yakupov is going to be another star to add to RNH, Hall, Eberle.

    For the Flames getting Faksa (doubtful), Girgensons (yes please) or Gaunce (like his playmaking and shot) to center Baertchi and Ferland (possibly as Iggy will be retired soonish and Neimez won’t be first line RW) in the near future would be great.

  • RexLibris

    @Derek Zona

    Sam Cosentino has been very high on Samuelsson for a few months now and seemed adamant the other day that he had played himself into 1st round consideration following the Memorial Cup.

    I understand the Niemenen comparison, but from what I have seen and everything I have read on Samuelsson, I think his overall ceiling might be higher (not simply by points).

    He has spent a good portion of his career thus far skating with and against older players, and I’m not sure if this has falsely inflated his level of ability or not, relative to other junior players.

    Which “swing for the fences” players do you have in mind? Should I assume you mean Frk? Wilson, Schmaltz and Bystrom all seem like they might be available as well. While Frk seems to have been a forgotten man this spring (considered a top 10 pick last spring, I believe). His scouting report seems to have many similarities to Samuelsson (agitator) but with more emphasis on offensive ability.

  • What the?

    Strange there are no players off the Memorial Cup winning Shawinigan Cataractes in the top 100.
    IMHO the Oilers need to trade #1 for a top 3 defender and position themselves to take Grigorenko, the big power centerman they are missing. Throw in Gagner if u have to and make it a #1 defenceman.

    • What the?

      not really all that strange. They only have 3 players with ’94 birthdays before the cut off/’93 birthdays after the cut off (somewhere in september… 15th?). Of those three, Justin Hache is the best, and he’s really not great. One or 2 of them might be drafted in the late rounds (6th and 7th) or they might not.

      There are also 1 or 2 players passed over last draft, but those players tend to get overlooked a lot (like London’s Seth Griffith for example, who should have been drafted last year but wasn’t for some reason).