Post-Game: Sometimes You Lose (In OT)

It’s a tale as old as time. A verse as old as rhyme.

The Calgary Flames have habitually gotten themselves behind the eight-ball this season by virtue of giving their opponents leads, quite often by margins of one or two goals. Once again, though, the Flames managed to make an impressive comeback.

They didn’t win tonight, but they got a crucial point by way of a 3-2 overtime loss to the visiting Minnesota Wild. All this despite giving the Wild a 2-0 first period lead like friendly hosts.

THE RUNDOWN

The Wild were on the Flames like stink early-on, out-shooting the home side 11-5 near the end of the period, though the Flames came back and the period ended with a closer 11-9 Wild shot edge. And like last time they visited, Minnesota struck first, by way of a Justin Fontaine marker mid-way through the period. Shortly thereafter, the Wild had a power-play and generated some shots (after a Joe Colborne penalty), but they ended up extending their lead to 2-0 off a Matt Dumba goal just a smidge after Colborne returned to the ice. Not all was lost, though, nor were the Flames waiting until the final period to start a comeback – Jiri Hudler tipped home a Dennis Wideman shot late in the period to send everyone to the locker rooms with the score 2-1 for the Wild.

Nobody scored in the second, though that was mostly due to Devan Dubnyk’s heroics. Calgary wildly out-chanced the Wild, and out-shot them by a 14-7 margin. A lot of that was based on two power-plays, and Dubnyk was particularly sharp on those exchanges.

The comeback was completed in the third, as Lance Bouma continued his excellent recent stretch by converting his 11th goal of this season to make it 2-2. (Dennis Wideman had his second assist of the game, to boot.) Calgary pressed but couldn’t beat Dubnyk late, so it went to extra time. And after a quick exchange at the Wild end that featured more Flames chances to win it – including a gorgeous chance for Hudler – Mikko Koivu put one past Jonas Hiller to give Minnesota a razor-thin 3-2 win.

WHY THE FLAMES GOT A POINT

Well, they probably shouldn’t rely on goaltending and comebacks to win games. They gave the Wild far too much early-on and really had to be sharp for the rest of the game. However, the team’s depth continues to shine, and it was mostly due to Devan Dubnyk (again) that the Flames didn’t win. They certainty generated enough pucks on net to be competitive.

RED WARRIOR

As much as I want to go with Bouma again, let’s go with the captain. Mark Giordano was held off the scoresheet, but he played over 28 minutes against Minnesota’s best players and still managed five shots on goal, leading the Flames in that category.

SCORING CHANCES

Screen Shot 2015-02-24 at 4.14.54 PM

Team Period Time Note Home Away State
Home 1 19:43 Backlund 1 5 7 11 17 19 9 20 22 25 29 40 5v5
Away 1 18:58 Schroeder 1 4 6 13 23 24 6 10 11 40 46 64 5v5
Home 1 16:37 Backlund 1 5 7 11 17 19 6 9 22 29 40 46 5v5
Away 1 13:47 Haula tip 1 4 6 11 17 19 19 21 39 40 55 56 5v5
Home 1 12:05 Wideman 1 4 6 13 23 24 6 10 11 40 55 64 5v5
Away 1 11:22 Fontaine goal 1 20 21 29 33 86 3 6 14 26 39 40 5v5
Home 1 10:56 Stajan tip 1 4 6 8 18 25 19 21 39 40 55 56 5v5
Away 1 9:52 Parise tip 1 5 7 17 18 9 11 20 26 29 40 4v5
Away 1 9:25 Koivu 1 5 7 17 18 9 11 20 26 29 40 4v5
Home 1 8:56 Backlund 1 4 6 11 86 3 20 22 40 55 64 4v5
Home 2 16:09 Monahan 1 4 6 13 23 24 10 11 20 25 40 64 5v5
Home 2 14:10 Colborne 1 4 6 8 18 25 3 14 20 25 26 40 5v5
Home 2 11:37 Glencross tip 1 4 6 20 21 86 10 11 25 40 55 64 5v5
Home 2 11:23 Glencross tip 1 4 6 20 21 86 10 11 25 40 55 64 5v5
Home 2 9:59 Bouma 1 17 18 25 29 33 6 19 20 21 40 56 5v5
Away 2 9:48 Brozdizak 1 7 17 18 25 33 19 20 21 25 40 56 5v5
Home 2 8:32 Gaudreau 1 5 13 23 24 33 6 9 21 39 40 5v4
Home 2 8:30 Giordano 1 5 13 23 24 33 6 9 21 39 40 5v4
Home 2 7:42 Gaudreau 1 5 13 23 24 33 19 20 25 40 56 5v4
Home 2 6:55 Wideman 1 6 7 11 19 21 20 21 25 40 56 5v4
Home 2 6:47 Jooris tip 1 5 8 20 33 86 6 9 22 39 40 5v4
Home 2 6:39 Colborne 1 5 8 20 33 86 6 9 22 39 40 5v4
Home 2 4:32 Hudler 1 5 13 23 24 33 6 21 39 40 56 5v4
Home 2 4:20 Monahan 1 5 13 23 24 33 6 21 39 40 56 5v4
Home 2 4:05 Giordano 1 5 13 23 24 33 6 21 39 40 56 5v4
Home 2 4:00 Hudler 1 5 13 23 24 33 6 21 39 40 56 5v4
Home 2 3:07 Jones 1 6 7 11 19 21 11 20 25 29 40 64 5v5
Home 2 1:19 Scrum 1 5 13 23 24 29 9 20 26 29 39 40 5v5
Home 3 18:49 Jooris tip 1 4 6 20 21 86 6 10 11 39 40 64 5v5
Away 3 15:30 Vanek 1 4 6 13 23 24 10 25 26 40 55 64 5v5
Home 3 12:47 Glencross 1 4 6 8 20 21 6 10 11 40 55 64 5v5
Away 3 10:03 Scrum 1 5 6 18 21 86 6 10 11 39 40 64 5v5
Away 3 9:20 Coyle 1 4 6 13 23 24 3 6 14 26 39 40 5v5
Home 3 8:20 Gaudreau 1 5 7 11 17 19 9 20 22 25 29 40 5v5
Home 3 6:18 Bouma 1 4 6 11 17 19 6 11 21 39 40 56 5v5
Home 3 4:22 Bouma 1 4 6 11 17 19 10 11 20 25 40 64 5v5
Home 4 3:25 Hudler tip 1 4 6 13 24 3 6 9 40 55 4v4
Home 4 3:24 Hudler 1 4 6 13 24 3 6 9 40 55 4v4
Away 4 3:12 Koivu goal 1 4 6 13 24 3 6 9 20 40 4v4
# Player EV PP SH
1 HILLER, JONAS   18 8   10 0   1 2
4 RUSSELL, KRIS 22:22 12 5 00:00 0 0 00:38 1 0
5 GIORDANO, MARK 23:04 4 1 04:00 9 0 01:22 0 2
6 WIDEMAN, DENNIS 23:18 13 6 02:00 1 0 00:38 1 0
7 BRODIE, TJ 21:41 4 1 02:00 1 0 01:22 0 2
8 COLBORNE, JOE 08:49 3 0 00:15 2 0 00:00 0 0
11 BACKLUND, MIKAEL 16:01 6 1 02:00 1 0 00:38 1 0
13 GAUDREAU, JOHNNY 15:39 5 4 03:45 7 0 00:00 0 0
17 BOUMA, LANCE 17:00 6 2 00:00 0 0 01:21 0 2
18 STAJAN, MATT 06:59 3 2 00:00 0 0 01:21 0 2
19 JONES, DAVID 14:34 6 1 02:00 1 0 00:00 0 0
20 GLENCROSS, CURTIS 15:26 4 1 00:15 2 0 00:00 0 0
21 RAYMOND, MASON 15:26 5 2 02:00 1 0 00:00 0 0
23 MONAHAN, SEAN 15:17 3 3 03:45 7 0 00:14 0 0
24 HUDLER, JIRI 13:51 5 4 03:45 7 0 00:01 0 0
25 BOLLIG, BRANDON 05:25 3 1 00:00 0 0 00:00 0 0
29 ENGELLAND, DERYK 08:58 2 1 00:00 0 0 00:00 0 0
33 DIAZ, RAPHAEL 08:17 1 2 04:00 9 0 00:00 0 0
86 JOORIS, JOSH 15:13 3 2 00:15 2 0 00:25 1 0
Period Totals EV PP 5v3 PP SH 5v3 SH
1 5 5 4 3 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 0
2 17 1 7 1 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
3 5 3 5 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
4 2 1 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

ZONE ENTRIES

Screen Shot 2015-02-24 at 4.17.26 PM

Screen Shot 2015-02-24 at 5.04.22 PM

SUM IT UP

The Flames (32-22-4) have a day to regroup, and then it’s back into the breach. They host the Pacific Division-leading Anaheim Ducks on Friday night.

  • jeremywilhelm

    Am I the only one thats starting to think that advanced stats (PDO, Corsi,etc.) in hockey is similar to “possession %” that’s kept track of during a soccer game.

    Possession % tells you accurately which team has kept the ball around more, thus controlling the game more. Although, it is important to note that “counter attack” is a style that is often used in soccer, including Real Madrid (champions of Europe.)

    Is it entirely possible a hockey team can play this style, and ignore corsi numbers, or PDO and go on to consistent success?

    It’s possible I have a total misunderstanding of hockey analytics, but advanced stats can’t surely predict the right outcome always.

    • ChinookArchYYC

      I had the same thought a couple of years ago, but the this changed my mind.

      http://www.habseyesontheprize.com/2013/4/4/4178716/why-possession-matters-a-visual-guide-to-fenwick?_ga=1.181898853.35849839.1424352191

      In a nutshell, hockey is very much a possession game. Insoccer, teams can limit opponents from quality chances, while still allowing them to carry the play (soccer basically invented and perfects the trap decades ago). Generally speaking in hockey, a great possession team with average goaltending is highly likely to make the playoffs. Poor possession teams statistically are treading water at best.

      The gif. in the article here provides a really nice depiction of NHL success (defined by playoff success) and possession.

    • Burnward

      Of course they can’t predict the outcome. That’s impossible. Otherwise they’d be selling the world’s greatest betting system.

      They can though, identify general trends.

      Like, if you wash your teeth every day, you will help avoid cavities.

      Or, a healthy diet helps prevent cancer.

      You’re still going to need to see the dentist and doctor occasionally though.

      Anyone who tells you different needs their heads examined or thinks too highly of themselves.

  • jeremywilhelm

    Rely on goaltending? How so? They outshot the Wild by a fair margin.

    If anything the Wild relied on their goalie to pull out the win.

    One of the silly narratives going on so far this season is that the Flames are relying on goaltending to keep them in games. They really aren’t. Their goaltending is just average.

    The Defense is actually what is keeping the Flames in every game.

  • beloch

    Aside from a short stretch in the first, the Flames played a pretty great game. They were dominant in every stat but goals. The difference was goal-tending. Hiller was good, but Dubnyk was better. Much better.

    I’m never going to stop ripping on MacTavish for trading Dubnyk for Matt Hendricks and then doubling down on a pair of backups. He looks all manners of foolish right now.

  • Toofun

    Another fun Flames game to watch. Love the effort. On that note just a quick shout out to Wideman. I’ve never been a fan of his but this year his compete level has gone way up and he’s really bought in to the play hard every night culture the Flames have developed. I really thought it would have been Glencross taking that step this year. Anyway, good on Wideman…

    • RedMan

      where did I hear that wideman has over 100 minutes of PK time this year, and has only had one goal go in during his time on ice/pk? if this is true, then thats an incredible stat!

      • The Last Big Bear

        He has 59 mins of PK time, and only one GA.

        Maybe going back to last season he has 100 mins with 1 GA.

        Compare this to Engelland, who has 39 mins and 10 GA.

        • RedMan

          Hey now, that defenseman may not be good at defense, but he brings other things. Where would this team be without his pugnacity and ability to sit on the bench for long periods of time. He’s a valuable part of this team.

  • Matty Franchise Jr

    Scoring Chances! Zone Entries! Coming… soon?

    GlenX didn’t have a great game last night, in my opinion. Coasted a lot, rather than hustled. Never controlled the play in the O zone. Bad shot attempts. I’m looking forward to the 3 round pick we get for him.