The odds beat the Flames, they’ll draft 6th overall

After enduring a 2015-16 season where the hockey gods rarely smiled upon them, the Calgary Flames hoped to beat the odds and win one of the three NHL Draft lotteries. They did not. While they didn’t get bumped all the way down to 8th overall, they’ll draft in the spot they were most likely to draft: 6th overall (which they had a 35.5% chance of getting).

The lottery draws were won by Toronto (1st overall), Winnipeg (2nd overall) and Columbus (3rd overall).

It will be the fourth time in Flames franchise history that they’ll hit the podium at the NHL Draft at sixth overall.

  • 1992: Cory Stillman
  • 1997: Daniel Tkaczuk
  • 1998: Rico Fata
  • 2013: Sean Monahan

Prior to the lottery drawing, the Flames were slated to draft 5th overall. The picks outside of the first round are not impacted by the lottery drawing, so the Flames will have the following picks at their disposal:

  • 1st round, 6th overall
  • 2nd round, 35th overall
  • 2nd round, TBD (Florida’s pick)
  • 2nd round, TBD (Dallas’ pick; could become a late 1st round pick if Dallas wins their current playoff series)
  • 3rd round, 65th overall
  • 4th round, 95th overall
  • 5th round, 125th overall
  • 6th round, 155th overall
  • 6th round, 165th overall (Minnesota’s pick)
  • 7th round, 185th overall

Note: If Arizona prospect Connor Bleackley doesn’t sign with the Coyotes by June 1, they’ll receive a compensatory pick at 51st overall and the rest of the picks will shift back by one spot.


  • Johnny Goooooooaldreau

    I hate American commentators. First the terrible shite that was coming from Tampa Bay, and now the Penguins analyst just said “he put it out off the window”


  • MRL

    I’m sorry but I think it’s a sad state to be jubilant over the idea of the Oilers dropping in the draft as it consequently effected the Flames draft position. If you’re that focused on the Oilers, then they already won. Especially their fans. Furthermore, they still have better odds of drafting a premier player at 4 compared to the Flames 6 position. I think many are of the mindset that the Flames dropping a position is minor but I disagree. When you’re drafting close to the top, the difference between draft positions can be monumental. Similar to the revision of the draft lottery implemented by the league; the NHL, preoccupied trying to discourage teams from tanking, has overlooked the ramifications it has on “honest” teams. Both the Jets and Leafs were rewarded, but on any other day the Jets are likely to fall in the draft while the odds still favour the Leafs picking at least top 3. I realize the draft lottery creates a buzz but ultimately it does next to nothing in terms of thwarting tank jobs. If the league wants to get serious about rewarding deserving teams, it could implement a draft system which factors in the points a team accumulates after they’re mathematically eliminated from playoff contention.. At the end of the day the Leafs, despite what many of their fans refute, tanked and will be first at the podium while the Flames tried to remain competitive until the end but lost ground in the draft. How is that fair again?

    • cberg

      The Flames had a massively superior team to what the TML iced this year, 10 years out of 10. So, yes, even as a Flames fan, I’d say it is fair where they both landed.

      This draft I especially like the top3, but after that its pretty even for the next dozen picks or so in terms of ultimate potential. The team that develops their pick the best, and the one bringing that little bit extra is the one who will win out in the end. The same can be said for the top3.

      • MRL

        I think its a bit of a stretch to say the Flames are massively superior compared to the Leafs. That distinction would be more fitting for the league’s top teams. And I’m not saying the Flames are deserving of a top three. However, I don’t believe the Leafs are anymore deserving either. Just like the Sabres the year prior, the Leafs blatantly iced an inferior roster and that decision should garner zilch in terms of respect. It requires little intelligence on the part of management and is the path of least resistance yet potentially yields the highest reward, respectively. It wasn’t long ago that the Flames were among the worst teams in the league. It would have been easy for management to handicap the roster enough to ensure a top three pick. The only true difference between them and their counterparts was the level of integrity the respective managements had set for themselves. I don’t believe for a second the Flames were any less worthy of picking in the top three than the teams that picked before them that particular draft. Thus, I don’t believe the Leafs should be automatically deemed worthy of the top draft pick just because they finished last in the standings.

        Regarding the upcoming draft, I agree that the top three selections will probably yield the largest impact but I wouldn’t say the field plateaus immediately following in terms of overall talent. This draft like any other before it will have more misses than hits and there’s tremendous pressure for a team to get it right, especially in the first round. It’s easy to see talent at the junior level but it’s nearly impossible to say for certain whether that talent will translate at the next level save for the special players. More often than not the 4-10 selections are when teams hit home runs or muck it up completely so I think the difference between picking 5th and 6th could be difference in drafting an impact player and drafting a depth player. I’m sure Tod Button will publicly announce that they’re happy with the players that fall in the 6 range but I’m guessing it’s not so cut a dry behind closed doors. I’m sure the allocated scouts don’t necessarily have the same player at the top of their respective lists for reasons that might prove valid in the near future. Unfortunately, it’s far from an exact science