Flames Second Round Targets: Taylor Raddysh

The risk of drafting from powerhouse junior teams is the risk of picking a passenger over a driver. This debate has mostly been focused on potential Flames first rounder Matthew Tkachuk, the London Knight who was placed with Mitch Marner and Christian Dvorak on the CHL’s highest scoring line. It hasn’t seemed to affected his draft position, as it has Taylor Raddysh.

The Erie Otter has been tasked first line duties alongside OHL superstars Dylan Strome and Alex DeBrincat, and has presumably fallen because he is the least productive of all three. However, that may not be the case. Digging into the data, there’s a good case that Raddysh is an under-appreciated play driver, and a possible contender for one of the Flames’ second round picks.

Scouting Reports

Brock Otten- OHL Prospects

Raddysh is just a really hard working complimentary offensive player who
has excelled doing the “dirty work” for a guy like Dylan Strome. He has
great size at 6’2/200lbs and uses that to drive the net, win battles in
the corners, and open up space for his linemates. Raddysh just has that
knack for finding open space in the offensive zone, which points to him
having terrific hockey sense. I particularly love his vision coming off
the wall. Creates a lot of scoring chances by making great passes after
gaining/maintaining possession along the boards (similar to a guy like
Matthew Tkachuk). His overall puck skill and skill set is not flashy,
but he does whatever is needed on a scoring line and that’s why he’s a
valuable player and could make a valuable pro. If he can really improve
his skating (particularly power), he could be more of a driving force on
a line.

Bill Placzek- Draftsite

Bullish winger who goes to the battle areas. A playmaking winger with an
accurate release and heavy shot. Smart and positionally sound, he has a
bit of edge and decent puck skills. Displays good vision and patience in
his carries. Holds until the right moment, whether it be a carry off
the wall and a quick pass, or as he sees linemates getting open. Has
decent balance and movement but needs to build his acceleration and
stop/start quickness.

Dominic Tiano- OHLWriters

At 6’2” and 200 pounds, Raddysh has good size and is an above average
skater. He has an elusiveness where he can slip away from coverage
unnoticed and putting himself in prime scoring areas. He can play a 200
foot game, come back hard on the back check and rarely misses his
defensive responsibilities in his own zone. He’s also an effective
forechecker, able to dump and chase using smarts to put the puck in
where he can retrieve it and use his skating to get on top of defensemen
and deliver a hard and sometimes punishing hit.

By these descriptions, it’s probably fair to call Raddysh a prototypical power forward. While he doesn’t sound like a guy who can get it done all on his own, he can provide immense value in a complimentary role.

The Numbers

Raddysh’s numbers may seem low for a CHL player whose linemates are Strome and DeBrincat, but his strengths are hidden in the details. Raddysh finished the year with 44 even strength primary points, fifth among all 2016 draft eligible CHLers. Relative to DeBrincat and Strome, he finished 38 and 48 points behind them in all scoring, but only seven and nine points behind in ESPP (respectively). He certainly isn’t a passenger by any means.

He can also keep up with them in terms of shots. Raddysh racked up 226 shots on the year, not far behind Strome’s 229 but a bit far from DeBrincat’s 269. Although the counting numbers don’t look very nice, Raddysh is certainly no offensive slouch. Perhaps if he shot 16.2% and 19.7% like Strome and Debrincat, Raddysh would be talked about like a mid-first rounder.

Looking at shot-plot and goal-plot data from Prospect-Stats confirms what scouts were saying about his ability to drive to the net, get off high-danger shots, and be a threat inside the slot:

Taylor Raddysh Shot Heat Map

Taylor Raddysh Goal Heat Map

Fit with the Flames

With Emile Poirier having a downer of a season, Daniel Pribyl an untested commodity, and Hunter Smith being Hunter Smith, the Flames’ right wing corps could probably use some rejuvenation. And what do you know, Taylor Raddysh is a right winger. Huh.

Raddysh projects to be a middle six type of guy who will probably be a few years down the line from regular appearances in the Flames’ lineup. Not a project player by any means, but someone who will still take a few years. His body of work this year leaves little doubt about his future NHL success.

Conclusion

The question about Raddysh is moreso where he will be drafted. Some think he is a stretch in the early second round. This is agreeable, seeing as slightly more attractive prospects like DeBrincat, Adam Mascherin, Will Bitten, et al. could be available there. However, most agree that he will not escape past the middle of the round. If the Flames find themselves without the big names at #35, then Raddysh it is. Otherwise, they might have to hope (or trade up).

Previous draft targets: Alexander Nylander | Pierre-Luc Dubois | Matthew Tkachuk | Jakob Chychrun | Olli Juolevi | Clayton Keller | Alex DeBrincat | Sam Steel | Vitalii Abramov | Jake Bean | Tyson Jost | Mikhail Sergachev | Tyler Benson | Griffin Luce | Logan Brown | Samuel Girard | Will Bitten | Cliff Pu

  • cunning_linguist

    We should trade our 2nd round picks.

    Button et al don’t know how to use them. If you look at our historical picks, the last Flames 2nd round draft pick to make it in the NHL was Jarret Stoll in year 2000 (and that wasn’t even Button at the helm).

    In his entire tenure as scouting director, Button’s staff hasn’t drafted a single every day NHLer in the 2nd round. Maybe Markus Granlund will stick with the Canucks, or Rasmus Anderson will be the first one, but until that day our 2nd round is a big fat failure.

      • cunning_linguist

        Until we get further than Draft+1 and the shine wears off.

        Smith, MacDonald, Sieloff, Wotherspoon…

        I remember being much more excited about these players then I am now. Save the parade until Andersson and Kylington actually play in the NHL.

        • piscera.infada

          I’m the first to caution against the lofty expectations of prospects–including good prospects like Andersson and Kylington (and yes, they are good prospects, regardless of how you want to spin it). That doesn’t mean you don’t draft players there.

        • KiLLKiND

          Edit I didn’t mean to reply to you. Although now that I did, Sieloff was a great pick at the time, Wotherspoon, wasn’t bad and Demko would have been great. Smith hasn’t lost his “shine” he never looked like a good pick. None of them are comparable to Andersson or Kylington though which is who Piscera mentioned.

          Even though this article is about his teamate I couldn’t help but be even more sold on Debrincat. He is clearly the driving force on a line with Strome who was drafted 3rd overall last year… Debrincat however produced far more and led the way in shots, while being a year younger and too small for the NHL… I’m positive that drafting Debrincat even at 6 will look like pure genius when he puts up even more points while playing with Gaudreau. If we have to trade all our 2nds to get back into the 1st to get him I would be fine with that, if no team is agreeing to that draft him at 6. He is better than any of Keller, Nylander, Jost, or Brown. I didn’t include Sergachev, Chychrun or Juolevi as someone he will be better than because the value of a #1 D is sky high if you manage to pick the right guy.

          • Parallex

            Sieloff was not a great pick at the time… a zero offense (at just the U18 junior level) defenseman with average-below average size, whose seemingly only notable quality was his willingness to put his shoulder into someone? Yeah, that’s not a great choice.

          • piscera.infada

            That’s the real problem with those second-round examples, right?

            I mean, Smith was a horrendous pick as well–we all knew that at the time. McDonald goes without saying, but maybe you get lucky there. Wotherspoon isn’t trending too poorly for a late second-round defender (although some of the second rounders that year…)

  • CofRed4Life

    I don’t know if I’d use any of our second round picks on him. Sounds like a nice complementary player. I’d consider him with our third rounder though.

  • Shoestring

    Raddysh for sure but not at 35 because I feel there will be a “better” prospect available. Calgary can get some solid right handed players with the later 2nd round picks Pu, Raddysh, Bastien, Allison, Kyrou?

  • EhPierre

    I like this kid but not at #35. I’m still hoping that Debrincat is there at #35. Mock drafts have him going #33ish..

    Raddysh would be a great player with Bennet. They’re almost similiar in the sense they are willing to go to the dirty areas but since Raddysh has a bigger body and is considered a power forward, that’d take some burden off Bennet who thinks of himself as a power forward but sadly doesn’t have a body built for it hence getting injured too quickly. If anything, Raddysh as a third liner would be a nightmare for other teams. He’s got the defensive part of the game down, which is usually prospect’s biggest flaw, so he just needs to work on his skating and physique and he’d be ready. Hope he’s there for our later seconds

  • The Fall

    Last year’s draft was all about the blue line (I include Dougie in that statement).

    I wouldn’t be surprised if Tre picks up 3-4 RW’s this time around. Just cuz’

    (side note — these profiles are great. It would be helpful to add some basic info: height, weight, shot…)

    • It’s a very good year to do that too. Plenty of underrated right handed shots are likely to be available in the second round. If they keep #35, I’d think their list goes something like:

      1. Debrincat
      2. Abramov
      3. Raddysh

      The final two could potentially be available at #53 and #55. If that happens, that could be a great coup for the Flames. It’s not likely, but Kylington falling to #60 wasn’t likely either.