Flames Weekly Prospect Update: Some slowing down, some speeding up

I occasionally think of this column as some kind of quality control report. Sometimes, the best news is no news. As I’ve seen over the past few weeks, folks have been scoring consistently, so there’s nothing really important to report. The stats speak for themselves. I just point out worrisome/promising trends.

I am sorry to say that I have to report something this week. Of course, this is week-to-week so there’s no need for panic yet, but there were some prospects who didn’t have great weeks. We’re going to talk about them.

Here’s our fancy table, here’s what happened last week, and here’s Taylor Taking Stock-ton, which is always wonderful and worth a read.

Forwards

  • Dillon Dube has slowed down a lot, with his NHLe halving from last week to this week. Of course, the sample size increased from one game to four games, so that has an impact (he’s still really good).
  • The Stockton Heat offence – which has been so dominant in the AHL – took a big hit this week, only scoring three goals over the past two games. Of course, the big team recalling some impact players has an effect on this, but that in itself is concerning. Mark Jankowski went pointless last week, as did Andrew Mangiapane. Morgan Klimchuk only scored one goal over the past week.
  • Before we all panic in the comment section, a slowdown was inevitable. Those three aforementioned players have seen their shooting percentages drop, and they will continue to drop until they are around that average 10-12%. Mangiapane and Klimchuk still have some pain to go through.
  • That being said, the positive sign is that Mangiapane and Jankowski are still generating tons of shots for the team. Janko had seven this past week. 
  • On the flip side, we might see the bad luck of Emile Poirier reverse. He is currently neck-and-neck with the other two in terms of shot generation, being one of the three Flames prospects on the team with 30 shots on goal. His shooting percentage is 6.67%, and he could be due for a points explosion if things went his way.
  • Mitchell Mattson took my good advice last week and scored two goals against the USA dev team.
  • Still early in his career, but Eetu Tuulola hasn’t looked as great an offensive promise in the past few weeks. Perhaps he’s still adjusting, perhaps his injury is nagging him. However, he appears to only be a middle six option for an Everett team that has remained dominant all season, so there is a potential explanation for his results.
  • Weekly update as to whether or not Matt Phillips has scored anything that is not a primary point: he has not scored anything that is not a primary point. That’s 22 points, 22 primary points. Real good.

Defenders

  • There’s not much to talk about for defenders, so let’s debate amongst ourselves: who comes up first (or is NHL ready first), Kylington or Andersson? Andersson is currently the points leader among defenders in Stockton, while Kylington is just one point behind. The difference though is that Andersson is generally the secondary piece to the offence, as only 1/8 of his points are primary. Kylington is considered the better play driver, but a bit of a defensive hazard. So, who do we see first?
  • Adam Fox and Harvard faced a tough Boston College team and came ahead 5-2, with Fox collecting two assists. He is a really exciting prospect.

Goalies

  • As Taylor discussed, Stockton is not going to rush Jon Gillies back from his finger injury, especially when David Rittich is playing so well. The Czech import only allowed one goal over the weekend. I don’t foresee the Flames re-signing him considering the goaltender depth, but he’s putting up a solid case.
  • Tyler Parsons has also slowly been rounding back into form post-injury. For your consideration:

  • Mason McDonald has been, far and away, the obvious #2 goalie in Adirondack. His early season woes have looked more and more like an actual problem with the goalie himself. With Nick Schneider and Parsons coming closer to professional hockey (both will be eligible to start in the AHL next year) combined with the fact that Jon Gillies is likely to move on up, McDonald only has a short window to prove he still belongs.
  • Schneider still leads the WHL in wins.
I don’t have a burning question or any random thoughts for the final section today, so see y’all next week.

  • Parallex

    “There’s not much to talk about for defenders, so let’s debate amongst ourselves: who comes up first (or is NHL ready first), Kylington or Andersson?”

    Depends are we talking a cup of coffee here or comes up “for good” first? I’ll answer on the basis of comes up first for good.

    Andersson.

    Our NHL coach has a very apparent fetish for L-R balance on the D pairings. Two of the RH blueliners are slated for free agency while all of our LH defenders are all under team control through next season.

      • Xcameron

        Agreed if Flames make no trades involving roster D-man. I’d take him over Jokipakka if Vegas was looking for one of them. But if a trade happens (e.g. Hamilton to Arizona for one of their young studs like Domi or Duclair that doesn’t need protection) it might be worth doing to get something for nothing and protect Kulak.

          • Xcameron

            Gotcha on Duclair so he would definitely be a non-starter. I think AZ might bite on a Hamilton-Domi trade because it is a top 4 D guy. It might be whether that is enough for us, but I believe we’re going to lose a D-man to Vegas.

      • Xcameron

        @Parallex agreed if no trades. I’d take him over Jokipakka if Vegas was looking for one of them. But if a trade happens (e.g. Hamilton to Arizona for one of their young studs like Domi or Duclair that doesn’t need protection) it might be worth doing to get something for nothing and protect Kulak.

        • Newbietwo

          I would be against trading Hamilton any day of the week and especially for a young forward prospect!! We need to identify what we have first and thus we have two problems

          Forwards we need to decide what we do with and that includes, Backlund, Shinkaruk, Brouwer, Bouma, Vey,Bollig, etc etc

          Prospect Forwards coming up: Jankowski, Magniapani etc

          We have plenty of forwards we can use to get a young prospect if need be but trading defence ain’t it.. we will most likely draft more this June coming.. that being said I would ok with a Brouwer kind of trade

      • Parallex

        Based on what? Truth is that I doubt Vegas will be all that interested in our bottom pairing d-man… not with so many options for them to pick from on other teams. I think it’s more likely that we lose a forward. Also there is a not zero % chance that they burn their Calgary pick signing Engellend (which I realize may sound crazy but he’s local, lives in Las Vegas, so they may want someone who has experience living in the market to guide all those guys that don’t know what the city beings outside the strip prior to regular free agency).

    • cjc

      Probably. Andersson is also older.

      It’s likely this team doesn’t want another D who is considered a liability in their own end up straight away (even if Hamilton and Kylington both make up for it with offensive smarts)

      That said, Kylington is +8 right now, his defensive game is apparently rounding out. If they bid adieu to Jokipakka or Kulak, I can see them giving Kylington a full time job next year.

  • Xcameron

    “… David Rittich is playing so well. The Czech import only allowed one goal over the weekend. I don’t foresee the Flames re-signing him considering the goaltender depth, but he’s putting up a solid case.”

    I can see a scenario where the Flames sign one of Elliott/Johnson for next year and want to leave Gillies to ripen into a starter, not a backup. Under that scenario perhaps Rittich works his way into a backup role for the big club next year?

  • The GREAT WW

    Other than the 2014 draft (where BT selected: Mason MacDonald, Hunter Smith and Bollig with second round picks….?!) this years coaching decisions are really the only big blunders BT has made as a Flame.

    I’m hoping he rights the ship after this year, including managing our expansion draft exposure, getting a top line RW and fixing the coaching fiasco.

    WW

    • KKisTHEproblem

      “Other than the 2014 draft (where BT selected: Mason MacDonald, Hunter Smith and Bollig with second round picks….?!) this years coaching decisions are really the only big blunders BT has made as a Flame.”

      Are u forgetting gio’s $6.75 mil til he’s 39? And I am getting quite nervous that Monahan is turning into a big blunder. I did not like handing him the big contract but thought we could live with it. Not so sure anymore: looks more and more like $6.375 mil for 7 years for a 3C. That is a lot of cap space for 2 contracts that look real suspect right now……

  • Sobueno

    My old man hips are cringing watching that Parsons save. Some mad flexibility at the very least!

    Speaking of goalies, from my limited viewInge I’ve never been overly impressed with McDonald. If he flops then I guess that’s what happens when you draft based on a prospects performance at one short tourney. Only reason it hurts a bit less is because of the strength we have at that position prospect wise. Gilles and Parsons make it a bit more palatable.

  • cjc

    It’s too early to freak out about potentially losing Kulak in the expansion draft. Doing something rash to ensure a d-man with 3 points in 21 career NHL games is protected makes no sense.

    -Cgy could do a deal with LV before the draft to ensure Kulak is not picked (e.g. 2nd or 3rd round pick)

    -From LV’s perspective, they don’t want to ice an AHL roster (though some picks will inevitably end up in the AHL). There will be more experienced D available that draw their interest.

    -They’ll be picking more than D-men. They may value a former first round forward like Poirier or Shinkaruk more than Kulak.

    -Kulak is not yet signed, and LV needs to pick a certain number of players under contract.

    -Calgary will probably need to trade for, sign, or extend one forward and one defenseman to meet exposure requirements. This could impact their expansion strategy.

    Point is, Calgary is going to lose somebody for nothing, but THAT’S OKAY. This team has good prospects at nearly every position and can weather the loss of a 3rd pairing D.

  • everton fc

    They’ll bid adieu to Jokipaaka, and he won’t be picked up by Vegas. Kulak might. But they’ll hold onto Kulak, and trade Gio for a solid forward prospect, RW.

    That’s how I see it.

    The you have, down the road;

    Kulak-Brodie-Hamilton-Jokipaaka-Kylington-Andersson-Wotherspoon.

    “On paper”… Hopeful, but inexperienced and potentially shaky.

  • redwhiteblack

    How little Monahan is contributing is baffling. I wish teams had more insurance to manage risk, because he would not be the first young man to start getting into bad habits after a big pay day. If you don’t perform how are you worth another 6 years at close to 7 million? I think he is the biggest concern this team has at present.

  • McRib

    “Weekly update as to whether or not Matt Phillips has scored anything that is not a primary point: he has not scored anything that is not a primary point. That’s 22 points, 22 primary points. Real good.”

    Darn Matthew Phillips finally scored a secondary point last night, but to make up for it he had 2G, 2A (lopsided numbers he will continue to put up now that luck is starting to turn his way in terms of secondary points, which are inevitable even if primary points are a good indication of skill). Tyler Soy is out with an injury, so Victoria finally put Phillips on the first line and he produced as expected. I kind of hope Soy is out for an extended period so Phillips gets more opportunity to light it up for a stretch. One other thing that impressed me about the game that was broadcast on Shaw TV is Phillips at the end of it had a very composed interview, where he showed to be incredibly well spoken. It seems like this kid has his head on his shoulders that’s for certain. It was one of the better interviews I have heard from a junior aged player in sometime.

  • L13

    Matthew Phillips got a secondary assist en route to registering a 4-point night yesterday, so you’ll have to change up the reports.

    I love that guy. And yes, he’s very well spoken for a hockey player. So is Mitchell Mattson, based on their draft interviews/fluff pieces.