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FGD 81: One more for the road (6pm MT, SN West)

The Calgary Flames (36-33-10) complete the road half of their 2017-18 schedule tonight when they travel to scenic Winnipeg and the Bell MTS Centre to face the Jets (50-20-10). The Flames have been a strong road team this season, going 20-14-6 away from the Saddledome. But the Jets have won 50 games this season and are arguably Canada’s best Stanley Cup hope.

The puck drops just after 6 p.m. MT on Sportsnet West and Sportsnet 960 The Fan.

For a view from the other side, visit our pals at JetsNation!

The Flames

Projected lines, courtesy of Daily Faceoff:

Gaudreau – Shore – Ferland
Bennett – Backlund (A) – Foo
Frolik – Jankowski – Brouwer (A)
Glass – Lazar – Hathaway

Giordano (C) – Hamilton
Kulak – Stone
Bartkowski – Andersson

Jon Gillies starts for the Flames. He’s backed up by Mike Smith. Matt Stajan and Chris Stewart are the healthy scratches, while the Flames are also without regulars TJ Brodie, Sean Monahan, Kris Versteeg and Matthew Tkachuk due to injury (and non-regular Marek Hrivik). Travis Hamonic has returned to practice, but is not quite ready to return to game action yet.

It’s the last road game of the year! The Flames are facing a playoff-bound team who are significantly better than they are. It’s a big challenge and hopefully the Flames are up for it. If not? It could get ugly.

The Jets

Tuesday’s lines via Daily Faceoff:

Ehlers – Stastny – Laine
Perreault – Little – Armia
Connor – Schiefele – Wheeler
Copp – Lowry – Roslovic

Trouba – Morrissey
Morrow – Byfuglien
Chiarot – Myers

Connor Hellebuyck starts for the Jets. He’s backed up by Steve Mason. The Jets didn’t skate yesterday so lines are a bit of guesswork. Adam Lowry, Blake Wheeler, Mark Schiefele, Josh Morrissey, Jacob Trouba and Hellebuyck were rested on Tuesday night, and they’re all expected to be in action tonight and bump Shawn Matthias, Marko Dano, Tucker Poolman and Sami Niku to the sidelines. Matt Hendricks is the other probable healthy scratch.

The Jets will finish second in the Central Division and face Minnesota in the first round, barring Nashville losing out and the Jets winning out. Thus, the Jets are hoping to keep everybody fresh (and healthy) and their game firing on all cylinders heading into the playoffs. They’ve lost one game since March 15, and that was the game where Chicago’s emergency backup goalie saved the day.

Injury Report

Flames: Not expected back this season are Daniel Pribyl (knee), Marek Hrivik (upper-body), Kris Versteeg (hip), Sean Monahan (various), Matthew Tkachuk (suspected concussion) and TJ Brodie (upper-body).

Winnipeg: Dmitry Kulikov (back) and Toby Enstrom (undisclosed) are out but remain on the active roster.

When Last We Met

This is the third and final game between Calgary and Winnipeg this season. The Flames beat Winnipeg 6-3 in October and lost 2-1 in a shootout in January.

The Numbers

CGY WPG
Wins 36 50
Points 82 110
Adjusted Corsi 53.1% 52.5%
Power Play 16.0% 23.7%
Penalty Kill 81.3% 81.5%

Know Thy Enemy

Here are some folks that tweet Jets tweets:

Sum It Up

One last road game for the Flames as they play out the string.

FGD BROUGHT TO YOU BY ATB FINANCIAL

Let’s show Vegas something they’ve never seen before—Alberta hockey fans.

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    • The Doctor

      I’m regurgitating here, but we’re like a football team obsessed with time of possession that can’t do anything in the red zone. That screams out bad coaching.

      • Mickey O

        Good analogy. Turnovers for/against could be analagous to powerplay/penalty kill. You win that battle in a football game, and you’ve got a good chance to win. The Flames rarely won that special teams battle this year, player usage being one of the main contributors.

        Corsi is measured 5vs5 as well, and doesn’t even factor in odd-man situations. A big chunk of the game could be played up or down a man. Also, someone on this team (here’s looking at you Sean Monahan) needs to develop and practice the hell out of a one-timer for the powerplay.

      • Jumping Jack Flash

        You know what else screams out bad coaching? When a team has a poor system and they lose one of their top players the tend to spiral. On the other hand teams like the Jets have a strong system allowing them to fil holes without issue.

    • deantheraven

      Damn straight. I honestly think plus-minus is more useful. Scoring chances are, like beauty, in the eye of the beholder. Every shot is a chance, ask Gillies…
      Next season, let’s see a stats line with
      TOI Goals Assists +/- shots (and attempts)
      (break that down, if you want to,
      into 5v5/4v4/PP/PK)

      Maybe a line for blocked shots (KR Factor)…
      For goalies, all I need is GAA and Sv% (break that down if you want to). Sometimes they’re ‘on’, sometimes they’re not, and sometimes it doesn’t matter.
      You watch the games, you decide what’s a high-danger attempt. Watch it again on YouTube with your kids if they don’t believe you, but nobody needs to tell you that some of the ‘high-danger’ chances the Flames have had lately have hit the goalie square in the crest. About as dangerous to an NHL goalie as a Pee wee ‘B’ all star. A goal is still a goal (as long as They say so), a miss is still a miss and a save is still a save.
      And really, does it still count as high danger if it goes off more than 1 stick or body?
      I’m watching this one with my own analytical formula in mind.
      GFG

  • ThisBigMouthIsRight

    I have really liked the Play of Shore so far (on the 3rd or 4th lines), But Why does GG brainlessly put forever bottom 6 guys on the #1 line?, Brouwer, Stewart, Shore, Chaision.
    I really thought Janko (& Ferly) played a very solid (even got creative/crafty at times) and noticeable game against ARI, Why not encourage that instead of being burdened by Brouwer in a more shut down roll? ~Ungh~
    Something like this maybe?
    Gaudreau – Jankowski – Ferland
    Bennett – Backlund – Foo
    Frolik – Shore – Lazar
    Glass – Stajan – Hathaway
    Yeah, I did it! ….. I’m putting Stajan in and Sitting F-ing Brouwer! Anyone have a problem with that? Man I can’t Wait until this Coaching Staff get shown the door and the new Era Begins!