The 2017 Playoff Chase: Resurgence

Welcome to the seventh week of our Western Conference playoff race coverage. A week ago, the Calgary Flames were very much on the outside looking in (and hoping that they got some help). Well, they did pretty well this week in their own games and got some help from basically everyone that played the Los Angeles Kings.

Let’s check out the race as we begin the weekend!

WHERE THEY STAND

Team
GP
W
Pts
Pct
ROW
Div
Chances % Change
Wild 59 39 84 .712 36 CEN 100% none
Blackhawks 61 38 81 .664 36 CEN 100% none
Sharks 60 35 77 .642 33 PAC 100% up 0.1%
Oilers 61 33 74 .607 29 PAC 99.8% up 0.3%
Ducks 62 32 74 .597 30 PAC 98.3% down 0.3%
Blues 60 31 67 .558 30 CEN 92.2% down 4.8%
Predators 60 29 67 .558 27 CEN 82.9% up 3.0%
Flames 61 31 66 .541 28 PAC 62.2%
up 24.4%
Kings 60 29 62 .517 28 PAC 52.4% down 27.5%
Jets 63 28 62 .492 26 CEN 10.0% up 6.2%
Canucks 60 26 58 .483 22 PAC 1.9% down 0.7%
Stars 60 23 56 .467 23 CEN 1.4% up 0.5%
Coyotes 59 21 49 .415 16 PAC 0.0% none
Avalanche 59 16 35 .297 16 PAC 0.0% none

(Chances courtesy Sports Club Stats.)

The Flames head into the weekend eighth in points and in points percentage. Any way you slice it, they’re defending a playoff spot right now.

The Blues have slid back into the pack a bit. As it stands, three of the Flames, Predators, Kings and Blues will make it. Nashville and St. Louis have a bit of a benefit by virtue of being in the Central Division; they’re chasing a divisional spot and the two wildcard spots simultaneously, while the Flames and Kings are way, way back of the last Pacific Division spot.

Man, the Kings crashed this week. The Flames gained a ton of ground, ending up ahead of the Kings in points, points percentage and playoff probability. Their game next week could potentially squash Los Angeles’ playoff hopes for this season.

If the playoffs began today, the Flames would be playing Minnesota.

THIS PAST WEEK

The Flames played three road games over the past seven days. They got the loser point in overtime in Vancouver, then beat Nashville in overtime and Tampa Bay in regulation. Five of a possible six points is a rock-solid week by any measure.

THIS COMING WEEK

The Flames play three more games between now and next Friday, and this week also includes the trade deadline. They play in Florida on Friday, in Carolina on Sunday and then are back home against Los Angeles on Tuesday.

As for the teams the Flames are chasing?

  • St. Louis (one game in hand, one point up) plays against Chicago and Edmonton.
  • Nashville (one game in hand, one point up) plays against Washington, Edmonton, Buffalo and Montreal.
  • Los Angeles (one game in hand, four points back) plays Anaheim, Minnesota, Calgary and Toronto.
    • NSH and STL seem to be generally trending up, so LA looks to be the team to beat. That game against them truly could be the nail in their coffin. Not to mention a confidence builder on the way to the playoffs.

      That said, anything could happen. Maybe Wideman gets traded for something useful, and then one can hope that Elliott catches fire at the right time. Maybe they even win a playoff round after all these years.

      Crazier things have happened.

    • Sanintarious

      I’m very curious about the Blues. They are indeed trending up,and now right in the pack, but it still seems fairly likely they move Shattenkirk. If someone is trading for Shatt, its a contender, so they will not be giving up a player to help St.Louis RIGHT NOW. This instantly makes St Louis weaker IMO…..

      Something to keep an eye on for sure.

    • freethe flames

      Eaves traded to Anaheim for a second, this price was to high for the Flames to pay at this point. We can only use a second for someone who some term left and is an upgrade on Brouwer and that we can protect.

    • Greg

      4 games vs LA in last 20, that’s crazy. Stick tap to the scheduler once again.

      That also means the fist game likely won’t be the nail in anyone’s coffin. Either team would still have a realistic way to make up 6 points.

    • Lucky 13

      Wow one good week makes such a difference (up 24%) I’m not going to get giddy yet, but it seems as if we are in control of our destiny at this point.

      Isn’t it weird that we seem to play the team that we want to bounce outta the playoff picture at this time of the year? If I’m not mistaken, we played LA and knocked them out of playoff contention in 2014-15. And they were Stanley Cup Champions the previous year. That was a miraculous season though, with all those come from behind wins. I can still fantasize though right?

      Should be a fun month, if nothing else.

    • Lucky 13

      Wow one good week makes such a difference (up 24%) I’m not going to get giddy yet, but it seems as if we are in control of our destiny at this point.

      Isn’t it weird that we seem to play the team that we want to bounce outta the playoff picture at this time of the year? If I’m not mistaken, we played LA and knocked them out of playoff contention in 2014-15. And they were Stanley Cup Champions the previous year. That was a miraculous season though, with all those come from behind wins. I can still fantasize though right?

      Should be a fun month, if nothing else.

    • Lucky 13

      I’m not sure if this is a double post so forgive me if it is, my comments went to cyber space purgatory twice. Damn it, I can’t even remember what the hell I wrote.

      Anyway, I’m starting to get a little giddy with the winning… amazing what a good week can do (up 24%) wow. Thanks to our LA counterparts for gifting us wins.

      Did we not have the same situation back in 14-15? If my memory serves we correctly, ( though I can be prone to forgetting that my glasses on on my head while looking for them) we knocked LA outta the playoffs with a win on the 2nd last day of the season….

      It appears that the master scheduler has done this again and we control our destiny again!