Photo Credit: Sergei Belski / USA Today Sports

Mark Jankowski named to AHL All-Rookie Team

There are still six games to go in the Stockton Heat’s season, not to mention a playoff spot to still fight for, but that doesn’t mean it’s too early for accolades.

Specifically: accolades for Mark Jankowski, who has been named to the 2016-17 AHL All-Rookie Team.

Jankowski, the lone Heat player to make the cut, has scored 26 goals and 51 points in 59 games so far this season, leading his team in scoring. Jankowski is second in rookie scoring and first in goals, and was also the Heat’s lone AHL All-Star representative.

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He made his NHL debut back on Nov. 28 against the New York Islanders, playing 10:18 and registering no points.

The Flames’ first round pick in 2012, Jankowski was always marked as a long-term project. Five years later, we’re just now starting to see this come to fruition – and so far, the steps forward are positive.

Also on the AHL’s All-Rookie Team are:

  • Pittsburgh forward prospect Jake Guentzel, who had 42 points in 33 AHL games before being called up (he currently has 29 points in 38 NHL games)
  • San Jose forward prospect Daniel O’Regan, who has 54 points in 58 AHL games
  • Islanders defence prospect Devon Toews, who has 41 points in 71 AHL games
  • Arizona defence prospect Kyle Wood, who has 40 points in 63 AHL games
  • Pittsburgh goalie prospect Casey DeSmith, who has a .920 save percentage over 25 AHL games

The last Flames prospect to be named to the AHL All-Rookie team was goaltender Joni Ortio in 2013-14.

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  • BurningSensation

    Its taken 5 years but Jankowski’s evolution into an AHL All-Star and likeky NHLr reflects well on the staff who drafted and developed him. 6’4″+ skill pivots who are defensively responsible don’t grow on trees, and are worth their weight in gold-pressed latinum.

    I for one look forward to the crow-eating many here will deserve.

    • The Doctor

      Crow eating indeed. Anyone who has closely watched his progress has seen just that, progress. He has improved steadily every single season since he was drafted. By the end of his college career, he was a first-rate college player, a legit team and scoring leader. Then this in his first year playing pro.

  • ThisBigMouthIsRight

    Gratz Mark~! I have no problem waiting for the next “Joe Nieuwendyk” to get here at just the right time. The next up coming 5+ years should be a fun time to be a Flames fan. Awesome… & fingers crossed!

  • McRib

    The crazy thing about Mark Jankowski is he is still only listed as 205 pounds, meaning he could still add another 10-15 pounds easily this upcoming season. He is an extreme late bloomer and all along I have been saying to throw the standard book out on him because he is such a unique case. In terms of physical development he is still really only a 19-20 year old.

    • Captain Ron

      I can speak from experience when we talk about Janko’s growth chart. I was 6’4″ and weighed 165 lbs on a good day when I was 18. You can imagine the ribbing I had to put up with at the time. Played a lot of hockey as a beanpole. Eventually grew to 6’5″ and filled out to about 225 lbs by the time I was 25. Let’s just say it was a lot more fun playing from 25 to 35 years old.
      Oddly my next door neighbor has a son who went through the same thing growth wise. He even looks like Janko at a glance and their birth dates are close. He is a much bigger man now that he has also filled out into his body.

      I’ve always been optimistic that Janko will play for the Flames in the NHL. He should continue to get better as his confidence grows and he realizes he can play with the big boys.

  • cjc

    I appreciate the optimism, but ho to quanthockey and look at the number of 21/22 year old AHLer’s who have put up a similar points per game pace as Jankowski. In the NHL, these guys average about 0.3 ppg over their careers, or about 27 points in a full season. Jankowski’s year, while solid, is nothing exceptional. Shinkaruk posted better numbers last year, but couldn’t crack the roster this year.

    Jankowski is also shooting 19% this year. His nice numbers depend on a fair bit of luck.

    That’s not to say he definitely won’t amount to anything, there are also some decent comparables, and it is possible he is a late bloomer. But the odds are still against Jankowski having a lengthy NHL career.

    • OKG

      Focusing on recent years (201x – 201(x+1), similar 22yo ppg rates would be:
      Johan Larsson (.306 ppg NHL this season)
      Jonathan Marchessault (.708 ppg)
      Shane Prince (.36 ppg)
      Nick Bonino (.636 ppg in 2013-14)
      Matt Belesky (.476 ppg in the two seasons 2014-2016)
      Sven Andrighetto (.75 ppg this season)
      Matt Puempel (.346 ppg)
      Erik Haula (.406 ppg last two seasons)
      Curtis McKenzie (who?)

      Although Jankowski appears to have the highest G/GP among this group. And the best physical attributes (6’4″ and “skates like a deer”). Positionally Bonino is the only comparable and his stats the last two years are obviously tanked playing 3C behind Geno and Sid… he was centering the best line on the best team in last year’s playoffs however.

      • cjc

        I was inspired by this article on LeafsNation (https://mapleleafsnation.com/2017/03/29/if-young-ahl-scorers-are-a-dime-a-dozen-i-would-like-to-give-you-many-of-my-dimes/), so I looked at all players between 0.75 and 1 ppg since 2006 (i.e. the cap era). Janko is at 0.88 ppg right now, right in the middle of that range. I wasn’t sure if this qualified as Jankowski’s 21 yo season, since he was 21 on Jan. 1 2016, or his 22 yo season, since he was 22 to start the season, so I included both. I extracted the data from QuantHockey, which includes players with >20 AHL GP.

        Anyway, if you average each player’s career ppg in the NHL, you get 0.29 ppg for 22 y.o. or 0.36 ppg for 21 y.o. players. Of the 21 y.o. players, 33/88 (37.5%) have averaged >0.4 ppg in the NHL. Of the 22 y.o. players, 23/89 (25.8%) have averaged >0.4 ppg in the NHL.

        Janko is shooting 18.3%, which will not be sustainable at the NHL level (but he may be a true 14% shooter like Monahan, who knows?). His goals/GP are way higher than they ever were in college, which is a bit of a red flag.

        There are 22 y.o. who have put up lower ppg rates but still went on to decent NHL careers, so I’m not saying absolutely, Jankowski is a bust. All I’m saying is people should curb their enthusiasm a bit. He is far from a sure thing. Making the all-rookie team can only be a good thing for a player, and it is a reason to celebrate.

        • OKG

          “Janko is shooting 18.3%, which will not be sustainable at the NHL level (but he may be a true 14% shooter like Monahan, who knows?). ”

          Jankowski’s percentages appear high because he often misses the net trying to snipe to shelf. I think if you looked at his corsi shooting percentage they would be right in line with most players. He however has great hands in-tight.

          “His goals/GP are way higher than they ever were in college, which is a bit of a red flag.”

          In college he played with Trevor Mingoia and co. Of course he’s scoring more goals playing with legitimate NHL prospects like Mangiapane, Hathaway, and Klimchuk. I recall a certain Flamesnation commenter hyping Mingoia up as the “real” good player on that line because he shot the puck often unlike Jankowski and was putting up similar stats (naturally, playing with Jankowski). I shot that down instantly because I actually watched the games.

          Mingoia now has a worse PPG average in the ECHL as an older player than Jankowski does.

          Jankowski is a hell of a prospect and there’s no reason to curb one’s enthusiasm.

  • Bean-counting cowboy

    Previous selections to the annual AHL All-Rookie Team include Zdeno Chara (1998), J.S. Giguere (1998), Marc Savard (1998), Daniel Briere (1998), Dan Boyle (1999), Cory Sarich (1999), Barret Jackman (2002), Ron Hainsey (2002), Jason Spezza (2003), Brad Boyes (2003), Cam Ward (2005), Thomas Vanek (2005), Rene Bourque (2005), Kevin Bieksa (2005), Jimmy Howard (2006), Dan Girardi (2006), Mike Green (2006), Jaroslav Halak (2007), Troy Brouwer (2007), Ryan Callahan (2007), Bobby Ryan (2008), Teddy Purcell (2008), Brian Boyle (2008), Alex Goligoski (2008), Nathan Gerbe (2009), Justin Abdelkader (2009), John Carlson (2010), P.K. Subban (2010), Logan Couture (2010), Lars Eller (2010), Eddie Lack (2011), Brendan Smith (2011), Gustav Nyquist (2012), Tyler Johnson (2012), Justin Schultz (2013), Sami Vatanen (2013), Jason Zucker (2013), Tyler Toffoli (2013), Ryan Strome (2014) and Teemu Pulkkinen (2014). – Adviddson and Connor Brown in 2015