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The 2019 Playoff Chase: Almost clinched

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Photo credit:James Guillory-USA TODAY Sports
Ryan Pike
5 years ago
After going on a bit of a skid last week, the Calgary Flames have found their way back into the win column. As a result, they’re close to clinching a playoff spot and are in the thick of the divisional race.

Chasing a playoff spot

TeamPtsWROWPct.Chances
Sharks944343.662100%
FLAMES934343.664100%
Jets864139.614100%
Predators854036.59099.4%
Golden Knights813835.57998.9%
Stars793737.56495.9%
Blues793635.56496.7%
Coyotes773632.54253.5%
Wild743332.52119.5%
(Playoff spot odds throughout these tables via Sports Club Stats.)
The Flames are all but clinched. They’re 19 points up on the ninth place team. Their magic number to clinch a spot is 1.5 wins and/or Wild losses.

Chasing home ice in the first round

TeamPtsWROWPct.Chances
Sharks944343.662100%
FLAMES934343.664100%
Golden Knights813835.5790%
Coyotes773632.5420%
The Flames are 12 points up on the Golden Knights and in a comfortable position in terms of home ice in the first round. Oh, and we see you there, Arizona, sneaking up on third. The magic number to clinch home ice is 6.5 wins and/or Vegas losses.

Chasing a divisional title

TeamPtsWROWPct.Chances
Sharks944343.66254%
FLAMES934343.66446%
Golden Knights813835.5790%
Coyotes773632.5420%
The Flames are a point back of the Sharks, but hold a game in hand. Vegas and Arizona aren’t mathematically out of contention, but they’re pretty close to being completely out. This is a two-horse race, and the Flames have a magic number of 12 (wins and/or Sharks losses) to clinch the division. This race will likely go on for awhile.

Chasing top spot in the West

TeamPtsWROWPct.Chances
Sharks944343.66254%
FLAMES934343.66446%
Jets864139.6140%
As with the divisional race, the Flames are a point back of the Sharks with a game in hand. Their magic number for top spot is 12 (wins and/or Sharks losses). This race will probably go down to the wire.

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