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The 2019 Playoff Chase: The race tightens
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Photo credit: Candice Ward-USA TODAY Sports
Ryan Pike
Feb 8, 2019, 12:00 ESTUpdated: Feb 8, 2019, 06:59 EST
The Western Conference is a bit of a jumble right now. There are a handful of good teams, and then there is a giant mess of teams that might be able to squeak into the playoffs. The Calgary Flames are among those good teams, but things are getting a bit tight within the Western race.

Chasing a playoff spot

Team
Pts
W
ROW
Pct.
Chances
FLAMES
73
34
34
.676
100%
Jets
71
34
32
.657
100%
Sharks
71
32
32
.645
100%
Predators
70
33
32
.625
99.9%
Golden Knights
66
31
29
.589
98.3%
Stars
61
28
28
.565
89.7%
Wild
57
26
25
.528
49.8%
Blues
55
26
25
.529
60.1%
Canucks
55
24
23
.500
30.2%
(Playoff spot odds throughout these tables via Sports Club Stats.)
The Flames will clinch a playoff berth when the ninth place team (currently Vancouver) cannot pass them mathematically. Presently they’re 18 points up on the Canucks, but both teams have a lot of hockey left to play.
The Athletic’s projections right now have the playoff cut-line in the Western Conference at around 87 points, so seven Flames wins should be about enough to clinch.

Chasing a divisional title

Team
Pts
W
ROW
Pct.
Chances
FLAMES
73
34
34
.676
68.3%
Sharks
71
32
32
.645
20.6%
Golden Knights
66
31
29
.589
1.0%
Canucks
55
24
23
.500
0.0%
The Flames would clinch when the second place team, currently the Sharks, can’t catch them. Obviously that’s quite a ways away. For now, they’re just two points up on the Sharks with a game in hand.

Chasing top spot in the West

Team
Pts
W
ROW
Pct.
Chances
FLAMES
73
34
34
.676
61.0%
Jets
71
34
32
.657
19.1%
Sharks
71
32
32
.645
13.6%
Predators
70
33
32
.625
5.7%
Golden Knights
66
31
29
.589
0.4%
The Flames have a lead in the Western Conference, though it’s tenuous. They lead the Jets and Sharks by just two points.

Chasing a Presidents’ Trophy

Team
Pts
W
ROW
Pct.
Chances
Lightning
82
39
35
.759
86.8%
FLAMES
73
34
34
.676
8.1%
Jets
71
34
32
.657
1.5%
Sharks
71
32
32
.645
0.8%
Predators
70
33
32
.625
0.2%
The Flames are now nine points behind Tampa Bay. They can try to reel them in when they play them next week in Tampa. They have their work cut out for them, obviously.