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The Playoff Chase – April 8 2015

Every Western Conference team has two games left. Calgary can clinch a playoff spot as early as tomorrow. Here’s a quick and dirty glance at the race as it stands this afternoon.
THE TABLE
GP
| ROW
| Pts
| GR
| Pot Pts | Can CGY Catch? | Can Catch CGY? | Remaining Opponents
| |
Ducks
| 80
| 42
| 107
| 2
| 111
| No
| N/A
| DAL, ARI
|
Blues
| 80
| 40
| 105
| 2
| 109
| No
| N/A
| CHI, MIN
|
Predators
| 80
| 41
| 104
| 2
| 108
| No
| N/A
| MIN, DAL
|
Blackhawks
| 80
| 39
| 102
| 2
| 106
| No
| N/A
| STL, COL
|
Wild
| 80
| 41
| 98
| 2
| 102
| No
| N/A
| NSH, STL
|
Canucks
| 80
| 40
| 97
| 2
| 101
| Yes
| N/A
| ARI, EDM
|
Jets
| 80
| 35
| 96
| 2
| 100
| Yes
| N/A
| COL, CGY
|
FLAMES | 80
| 40
| 95
| 2
| 99
| N/A
| N/A
| LA, WPG
|
Kings
| 80
| 37
| 93
| 2
| 97
| N/A
| Yes
| CGY, SJ
|
Stars
| 80
| 35
| 88
| 2
| 92
| N/A
| No
| ANA, NSH
|
Sharks
| 80
| 35
| 87
| 2
| 91
| N/A
| No
| EDM, LA
|
Avalanche
| 80
| 28
| 86
| 2
| 90
| N/A
| No
| WPG, CHI
|
Oilers
| 80
| 19
| 61
| 2
| 65
| N/A
| No
| SJ, VAN
|
Coyotes
| 80
| 19
| 56
| 3
| 60
| N/A
| No
| VAN, ANA
|
Calgary’s magic number is 1.0 on Los Angeles and 2.5 on Winnipeg.
SCENARIOS
- How Can Calgary Catch Minnesota? A combination of seven points gained by Calgary AND lost by Minnesota. This relies upon Minnesota losing at least once.
- How Can Calgary Catch Vancouver? A combination of six points gained by Calgary AND lost by Vancouver. Like Minnesota, this relies upon Vancouver losing at least once.
- How Can Calgary Catch Winnipeg? A combination of five points gained by Calgary AND lost by Winnipeg. Like the others, this depends on Winnipeg losing, but unlike the others, Calgary controls their own destiny largely. If they beat Winnipeg and get something out of their game with Los Angeles, they can catch (and pass) Winnipeg.
- How Can Calgary “Catch” Los Angeles? A win of any kind against Los Angeles or Winnipeg, or any combination of two points gained by Calgary OR lost by Los Angeles. Unlike the teams above, this path does not involve the Flames hoping another team does poorly as a necessity.
Basically, Calgary just needs A SINGLE WIN to clinch, and depending on what happens they could leap-frog some teams above with some help. It’s not probable or likely, but at this point, the entire season hasn’t been.
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