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Opinions vary wildly between 2026 NHL Draft rankings: A second-half consensus snapshot

Photo credit: Kirby Lee-Imagn Images
Pals, the 2026 NHL Draft takes place June 26 & 27 in Buffalo, New York. It’s a pretty big one for the Calgary Flames, who will enter the draft weekend with multiple first round selections for the third consecutive year.
Heck, they control 11 picks in this year’s draft, including eight picks in the first three rounds. In terms of importance, this is a draft that could really catapult the Flames’ youth movement forward in a big way.
As we’re preparing for the upcoming draft, we’re consulting a ton of our colleagues throughout hockey that specialize in the NHL Draft. The good news is that there are a ton of really smart people providing detailed scouting reports and rankings. The bad news is that their opinions seem to vary wildly about the prospective order of the upcoming draft.
To illustrate that, we’ve built an aggregated look at things utilizing 10 recent public draft lists.
The lists we looked at
- Elite Prospects, April
- Jason Bukala (Sportsnet), March
- Steven Ellis (Daily Faceoff), April
- Smaht Scouting, February
- Craig Button (TSN), March
- Sam Cosentino (Sportsnet), April
- Scott Wheeler (The Athletic), March
- Corey Pronman (The Athletic), March
- Tony Ferrari (The Hockey News), April
The aggregated top 33
From the 10 lists we surveyed, 55 different players were in the top 32 on at least one. 15 players appeared on all 10 lists. We weighed everything out and here are the players in the top 33 spots, listed with their highest appearance on a ranking, their lowest appearance on the ranking, and their mode (their most common spot on lists). [It’s 33 because a pair of players tied for 32nd spot.]
Rank | Player | Team | High | Low | Mode |
1 | LW Gavin McKenna | Penn State (NCAA) | 1st | 2nd | 1st |
2 | LW Ivar Stenberg | Frolunda HC (SHL) | 1st | 4th | 2nd |
The big difference here? McKenna is first on six lists and second on four lists. Stenberg is first on three, second on five, and fourth on two. It’s pretty close to a coin toss. McKenna and Stenberg are the only players in the top five of all 10 rankings.
Rank | Player | Team | High | Low | Mode |
3 | D Chase Reid | Sault Ste. Marie (OHL) | 1st | 8th | 3rd |
4 | D Keaton Verhoeff | North Dakota (NCAA) | 3rd | 11th | 5th |
Reid is the consensus third player, ranked third on six lists and in the top five of eight of them. Verhoeff is generally seen as fourth, but not quite universally. (He’s third on two lists, fourth on two, and fifth on three.) He’s top five on seven of the rankings, so he doesn’t slide too far when he does.
Alright, wave goodbye to the rankings have some consensus from here on out.
Rank | Player | Team | High | Low | Mode |
5 | D Alberts Smits | Jukurit (Liiga) | 4th | 9th | 7th |
6 | RW Viggo Bjorck | Djurgardens IF (SHL) | 3rd | 12th | 8th |
7 | D Carson Carels | Prince George (WHL) | 2nd | 23rd | 5th |
8 | C Caleb Malhotra | Brantford (OHL) | 3rd | 15th | 5th, 10th |
Smits appears kinda all over the place in rankings, but is top 10 on every list. Bjorck is similarly scattered but clustered around 8th overall – and top 10 on nine lists. There’s a big range of outcomes for Carels, mostly clustered in the top 10… but with a couple lists that are much cooler on him. Malhotra appears kind of all over the place.
Rank | Player | Team | High | Low | Mode |
9 | C Tynan Lawrence | Boston University (NCAA) | 4th | 17th | 9th |
10 | LW Ethan Belchetz | Windsor (OHL) | 7th | 16th | 12th, 13th |
11 | D Daxon Rudolph | Prince Albert (WHL) | 7th | NR | 8th |
Lawrence is top 10 on four of the lists, but sneaks into the top five twice. Belchetz appears scattered throughout the middle part of the first round. Rudolph is top 10 on six lists… but also outside of the first round entirely on another.
Rank | Player | Team | High | Low | Mode |
12 | LW Oscar Hemming | Boston College (NCAA) | 10th | 19th | 17th |
13 | LW Adam Novotny | Peterborough (OHL) | 11th | 21st | 14th |
14 | D Ryan Lin | Vancouver (WHL) | 6th | 26th | 16th |
15 | D Xavier Villeneuve | Blainville-Boisbriand (QMJHL) | 5th | NR | Many |
16 | D Malte Gustafsson | HV71 (SHL) | 6th | NR | Many |
17 | C Oliver Suvanto | Tappara (Liiga) | 9th | 28th | 18th |
18 | RW Elton Hermansson | MoDo Hockey (Allsvenskan) | 12th | NR | 14th, 15th, 20th |
Now we enter the portion of the rankings where there are players the scouting community really likes – five of these players appear in somebody’s top 10 – but might not love – three of them slide outside of the first round on someone’s list. Case in point: Villeneuve is fifth on one list… but is 15th on the consensus list because he’s also outside the first round on another.
Rank | Player | Team | High | Low | Mode |
19 | RW Marcus Nordmark | Djurgardens IF (U20 Nationell) | 10th | NR | 29th |
20 | LW Nikita Klepov | Saginaw (OHL) | 15th | NR | 18th, 19th |
21 | RW J.P. Hurlbert | Kamloops (WHL) | 10th | NR | 20th |
22 | LW Wyatt Cullen | U.S. National Under-18 (USHL) | 11th | NR | 24th |
23 | LW Ilia Morozov | Miami (Ohio) (NCAA) | 16th | NR | 28th |
24 | RW Liam Ruck | Medicine Hat (WHL) | 10th | NR | Many |
25 | D Juho Piiparinen | Tappara (Liiga) | 15th | NR | 23rd |
26 | RW Mathis Preston | Vancouver (WHL) | 9th | NR | 9th, 27th |
27 | C Maddox Dagenais | Quebec (QMJHL) | 13th | NR | 31st |
28 | C Alexander Command | Orebro HK (U20 Nationell) | 16th | NR | Many |
29 | LW Markus Ruck | Medicine Hat (WHL) | 12th | NR | Many |
30 | D William Hakansson | Lulea HF (SHL) | 19th | NR | 22nd |
31 | C Yegor Shilov | Victoriaville (QMJHL) | 19th | NR | 29th |
T32 | RW Casey Mutryn | U.S. National Under-18 (USHL) | 21st | NR | Many |
T32 | D Adam Goljer | HC Dukla Trencin (Slovakia) | 17th | NR | Many |
This is nominally the back half of the first round. But four of the players in this cluster – Marcus Nordmark, J.P. Hurlbert, Liam Ruck and Mathis Preston – were top 10 on at least one ranking – and every single player in this cluster were also ranked outside of the first round of at least one ranking.
Next up
Falling outside of the projected first round mix, but appearing on at least one top 32 on one of the cited rankings, are the following 22 players, in descending order:
- C Jack Hextall (Youngstown, USHL)
- D Nikita Shcherbakov (Tolpar Ufa, MHL)
- LW Niklas Aaram-Olsen (Orebro HK, U20 Nationell)
- RW Gleb Pugachyov (Chaika Nizhny Novgorod, MHL)
- C Tomas Chrenko (HK Nitra, Slovakia)
- LW Jaxon Cover (London, OHL)
- D Tommy Bleyl (Moncton, QMJHL)
- C Ryan Roobroeck (Niagara, OHL)
- D Ben MacBeath (Calgary, WHL)
- C Simas Ignatavicius (Geneve-Servette HC, NL)
- LW Victor Plante (U.S. National Under-18, USHL)
- LW Adam Valentini (University of Michigan, NCAA)
- LW Chase Harrington (Spokane, WHL)
- LW Julien Maze (Calgary, WHL)
- G Tobias Trejbal (Youngstown, USHL)
- LW Cooper Williams (Saskatoon, WHL)
- G Dmitri Borichev (Loko-76 Yaroslav, MHL)
- D Maksim Sokolovskii (London, OHL)
- C Brooks Rogowski (Oshawa, OHL)
- C Ryder Cali (North Bay, OHL)
- D Giorgios Pantelas (Brandon, WHL)
- LW Pierce Mbuyi (Owen Sound, OHL)
Long story short
Folks, there seems to be a consensus top cluster of top prospects in this year’s draft, and then a utter lack of consensus from there. There’s a lot of talent at the top of the 2026 NHL Draft class, but nobody’s entirely sure who’s the best and what order most of the first round should unfold in. And that’s a recipe for a ton of movement, surprises and chaos when we hit draft weekend at the end of June.
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