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FlamesNation Prospect Update: Red light Ruzicka

Also, a lot of prospects got sick, but that’s a less-fun thing to put in the title.

In case you missed it:

  • Here’s the last update.
  • Your Hitmen report.
  • The tricky situation which prevents the Flames from sending defencemen down to the AHL.

Dillon Dube – F, Stockton Heat, AHL

GP G A P 5v5 P P1 5v5 P1 NHLe
Up to date 33 14 24 37 23 27 17 45.89
Change from last week 2 0 1 7 1 1 1 -1.68

They can’t be seven-point weeks every week.

Zach Fischer – RW, Rapid City Rush, ECHL

GP G A P 5v5 P P1 5v5 P1 NHLe
Up to date 32 5 6 11 8 8 6 7.89
Change from last week 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.26

Played a game for Rapid City after spending the better part of the last two weeks on the sidelines for undisclosed reasons.

Spencer Foo – RW, Stockton Heat

GP G A P 5v5 P P1 5v5 P1 NHLe
Up to date 58 15 18 33 20 24 13 22.67
Change from last week 2 0 1 1 1 0 0 -0.1

Just an assist this week for Foo.

Glenn Gawdin – C/RW, Stockton Heat

GP G A P 5v5 P P1 5v5 P1 NHLe
Up to date 55 11 18 29 11 22 8 21.01
Change from last week 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.81

Nothing doing for Gawdin this week aside from some penalties.

Josh Healey – D, Stockton Heat

GP G A P 5v5 P P1 5v5 P1 NHLe
Up to date 47 1 8 9 7 4 4 7.63
Change from last week 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.17

Just played in one game this week.

D’Artagnan Joly – RW/C, Rimouski Oceanic

GP G A P 5v5 P P1 5v5 P1 NHLe
Up to date 64 19 31 50 32 34 23 18.19
Change from last week 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 +0.16

Finished his season on a strong note, picking up a goal and an assist in the final game of the season against his former team, the Baie-Comeau Drakkar. The third seed Oceanic will face off against the Chicoutimi Sagueneens in the first round of the QMJHL playoffs.

Pavel Karnaukhov – LW/C, CSKA Moscow, KHL

GP G A P 5v5 P P1 5v5 P1
Playoffs 4 0 0 0 0 0 0

Has only hit the ice for four of CSKA’s seven playoff games thus far. CSKA leads their series against cross-town rival HC Dynamo 2-1.

Demetrious Koumontzis – LW, Arizona State University, NCAA (Independent)

GP G A P 5v5 P P1 5v5 P1 NHLe
Up to date 34 4 16 20 10 16 8 17.41
Change from last week

ASU doesn’t have a conference so they aren’t playing a conference tournament. Hence, no Koumontzis for another week.

Linus Lindstrom – C/LW, Skelleftea AIK, SHL

GP G A P 5v5 P P1 5v5 P1 NHLe
SHL Up to date 44 3 3 6 5 5 4 4.36
Change from last week 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.21
SWE-1 Up to date 5 0 2 2 1 1 1 19.55
Change from last week

Wrapped up the regular season with no points in his final two games. Skelleftea will face off against Djurgardens (Adam Ollas Mattson’s old team) in the first round of the SHL playoffs. It’s worth noting that Lindstrom’s best hockey last season came in the playoffs, where he picked up four points in 16 games, helping Skelleftea reach the finals.

Ryan Lomberg – LW, Stockton Heat

GP G A P 5v5 P P1 5v5 P1 NHLe
Up to date 49 10 12 22 14 17 9 17.89
Change from last week 2 0 1 1 1 0 0 +0.08

Just an assist for Lomberg this week, who continues to be low-key good for Stockton.

Adam Ollas Mattsson – D, Stockton Heat

GP G A P 5v5 P P1 5v5 P1 NHLe
Up to date 57 5 10 15 9 7 4 10.49
Change from last week 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.38

Not that he’s being paid to score, but AOM hasn’t put up a point in nearly a month.

Andrew Nielsen – D, Stockton Heat

GP G A P 5v5 P P1 5v5 P1 NHLe
Up to date 32 0 7 7 4 3 2 8.72
Change from last week

Was absent again this week.

Mathias Emilio Pettersen – C/LW, Denver Pioneers, NCAA (NCHC)

GP G A P 5v5 P P1 5v5 P1 NHLe
Up to date 36 6 21 27 15 17 9 27.53
Change from last week 2 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 x

Denver quickly dispatched North Dakota in their NCHC quarterfinals. Pettersen picked up a team-leading four shots on goal in the first game, and an assist in the second.

Matthew Phillips – RW, Stockton Heat

GP G A P 5v5 P P1 5v5 P1 NHLe
Up to date 56 11 19 30 20 24 18 21.35
Change from last week 2 0 1 1 1 1 1 -0.05

It’s had its ups and downs, but 30 points in a rookie pro season is nothing to scoff at. Finishing somewhere in the 35-40 range would be an extremely promising sign for Phillips.

Brett Pollock – LW/C, Stockton Heat

GP G A P 5v5 P P1 5v5 P1 NHLe
Up to date 49 3 9 12 8 8 5 9.76
Change from last week 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.41

Still plugging away at it.

Martin Pospisil – C/LW, Sioux City Musketeers, USHL

GP G A P 5v5 P P1 5v5 P1 NHLe
Up to date 35 12 32 44 23 34 16 28.86
Change from last week 2 0 1 1 0 1 0 -1.06

Back in action after his 12-game suspension for attempting to fight a fan. He picked up an assist on Sioux City’s OT winner, capping a 4-3 comeback effort.

Rushan Rafikov – D, Lokomotiv Yaroslavl, KHL

GP G A P 5v5 P P1 5v5 P1
Playoffs 9 1 1 2 1 1 1

Lokomotiv is currently down 2-1 against SKA in the KHL second round. Rafikov has played in every playoff game thus far, but hasn’t scored since Game 3 of the first series.

Milos Roman – C, Vancouver Giants, WHL

GP G A P 5v5 P P1 5v5 P1 NHLe
Up to date 59 27 33 60 25 47 17 25.18
Change from last week 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 -0.01

Returned from writing exams in Slovakia to assist on an empty net tying goal for Vancouver in their final game of the series. The Giants, who finished the season as Western Conference champions, will face the Seattle Thunderbirds in the first round of the WHL playoffs.

No word on what his grades were, for those curious.

Adam Ruzicka – C/LW, Sudbury Wolves, OHL

GP G A P 5v5 P P1 5v5 P1 NHLe
Up to date 65 35 43 78 43 64 38 30.97
Change from last week 3 6 2 8 6 8 6 +1.07

A massive, massive finish to the season for Ruzicka. He put up eight points in the final week of the OHL regular season, including a four-goal game. Since moving to Sudbury, he’s put up 24 goals in 30 games, a 54-goal pace over the course of a full season. The trade may have saved his career, as his performances with Sarnia were very lacklustre.

Sudbury will face Mississauga in the first round.

Kerby Rychel – F, Stockton Heat

GP G A P 5v5 P P1 5v5 P1 NHLe
Up to date 57 23 20 43 28 29 19 30.06
Change from last week 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.1

Played in one game and got tossed early in another for being the aggressor in a fight.

Filip Sveningsson – LW, IK Oskarshamn, Allsvenskan

GP G A P 5v5 P P1 5v5 P1
Playoffs 4 0 1 1 0 1 0

Sveningsson and Oskarshamn will play a decisive Game 5 today against AIK for the right to play the SHL’s worst team and win promotion to Sweden’s top league. Sveningsson hasn’t picked up a point since the opening game of the series.

Eetu Tuulola – RW, HPK, SM-Liiga

GP G A P 5v5 P P1 5v5 P1 NHLe
Up to date 60 13 23 36 18 23 11 22.24
Change from last week 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 +0.25

In classic Eetu fashion, he ended the season with a powerplay goal in his final game of the year. HPK will face TPS in the first round of the Liiga playoffs, starting on the 21st.

Rinat Valiev – D, Stockton Heat

GP G A P 5v5 P P1 5v5 P1 NHLe
Up to date 48 3 16 19 10 14 8 15.77
Change from last week 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.69

Two games played, no points for Valiev.

Juuso Valimaki – D, Stockton Heat

GP G A P 5v5 P P1 5v5 P1 NHLe
Up to date 17 3 10 13 8 5 4 30.52
Change from last week 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 +0.63

Scored a pretty nifty goal for Stockton this week:

He also missed a game with the flu.

Dmitri Zavgorodniy – C/LW, Rimouski Oceanic, QMJHL

GP G A P 5v5 P P1 5v5 P1 NHLe
Up to date 67 28 36 64 34 44 23 22.25
Change from last week 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.69

Missed his first game of the season with illness.

Jon Gillies – G, Stockton Heat

GP TOI SV%
Up to date 37 2231 0.884
Change from last week 2 118 +0.001

Another edition of good Gillies, bad Gillies. He stopped 30 of 32 in Stockton’s first game against Tuscon (.938) but followed it up with a 25/30 performance the next night (.833). Playing both games in a back-to-back probably didn’t help.

Mason McDonald – G, Kansas City Mavericks

GP TOI SV%
Up to date 29 1632 0.918
Change from last week

Also sick.

Tyler Parsons – G, Stockton Heat

GP TOI SV%
Up to date 15 783 0.891
Change from last week

Still sitting on the bench while Gillies keeps playing night after night. Pure speculation, but maybe the Flames want Parsons to sit for the time being so they can get a better read on Gillies? I’m really out of ideas at this point.

Nick Schneider – G, Kansas City Mavericks

GP TOI SV%
ECHL Up to date 17 1021 0.887
Change from last week 2 119 +0.001
AHL Up to date 11 220 0.922
Change from last week

Tended net for both of KC’s games while McDonald was out. Went 28/30 (.933) in one and 24/29 (.828) in the other.

  • Flaming Glory

    Is anyone worried about Valimaki not having that many primary 5v5 points? Seems like a lot of his points are secondary or on the powerplay (or both). I don’t know that much but is this a cause for concern?

    • Harley Hotchkiss’s Ghost

      Valimaki’s NHLe of 30.52 is elite for a U21 AHL Defender. 61% of his points are 5v5, which is the most important thing. I’ve honestly been following the primary points indicator for a few years now and I don’t find it indicative of anything to be honest. I have a friend who has done an extensive project also on it and he has found nothing conclusive at all. I know the analytics community likes to use it, but it’s never made a difference in my findings and I’ve scoured pretty much every players points totals the past ten years. Secondary assists and primary assists are so often misrecorded and jumbled up at junior and semi-professional levels that it negates any positive indicators, also the secondary assist is often even more important than the primary becuase it started the play off to begin. The biggest alternative indicator of succces for me is the balance of goals and assists. He’s a little light on the goals with only three, but it’s a small sample size and he was also a decent scorer in the WHL, so it isn’t of much concern. He’s now approaching a likelihood of an 82% chance of being a legit NHLer, considering the points he’s putting up at his age in the AHL. I’d say he is well on his way to becoming an NHLer.

      • Harley Hotchkiss’s Ghost

        I would honestly say at least 30% of the time the secondary assists is more important to the goal than the primary. You’ll often see secondary assists where the guy goes through two or three players and finds a prime target and then that guy just does a basic dish back to the same player or to an open man who pumps home a goal.

        When I say I had a friend do an “extensive project” he literally tracked every goal scored by every drafted eligible in NA for four years (which was insane to think about).

    • The Beej

      Dont read too much into small sample sizes.

      He is working back from a fairly severe injury as well… everyone who is clamoring for him to get back to Calgary isnt really taking that into consideration.

  • Harley Hotchkiss’s Ghost

    “(Milos Roman) Returned from writing exams in Slovakia to assist on an empty net tying goal for Vancouver in their final game of the series.”

    I’ve honestly never heard of this happening, it’s kind of strange. Not to mention isn’t he a 1999, shouldn’t he have graduated two years ago? Something must have been pushed back. Lol.

      • HOCKEY83

        Picking up a 34 year old Goalie (by the time he would play with the flames) who’s getting paid almost 6 mil per until he’s 37 and gets injured a lot lately…seems like a really bad idea. Let another team pick up that crappy contract. Nothing good will come of that.