25Martin Pospisil
Photo Credit: Hickling Images

FlamesNation Prospect Update: Playoff mode

Playoffs are here! Most of the Flames’ prospects are gearing up for what hopes to be a long and fruitful postseason. It’s not the postseason we’re all looking forward to, but I guess it’s still something.

In case you missed it:

Dillon Dube – F, Stockton Heat, AHL

GP G A P 5v5 P P1 5v5 P1 NHLe
Up to date 35 15 24 39 23 28 17 44.41
Change from last week 2 1 0 1 0 1 0 -1.48

Just a goal for Dube this week. Still top five in Heat scoring despite playing at least six fewer games than those ahead of him.

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Zach Fischer – RW, Rapid City Rush, ECHL

GP G A P 5v5 P P1 5v5 P1 NHLe
Up to date 35 5 6 11 8 8 6 7.22
Change from last week 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.67

Played in all of Rapid City’s games this week. No points.

Spencer Foo – RW, Stockton Heat

GP G A P 5v5 P P1 5v5 P1 NHLe
Up to date 60 15 19 34 21 25 14 22.58
Change from last week 2 0 1 1 1 1 1 -0.09

Just an assist this week for Foo. He’s really settled in as a half-point-per-game player, which doesn’t bode well for his future.

Glenn Gawdin – C/RW, Stockton Heat

GP G A P 5v5 P P1 5v5 P1 NHLe
Up to date 57 11 21 32 12 23 8 22.37
Change from last week 2 0 3 3 1 1 0 +1.36

Three assists for Gawdin this week. Two of them were on the powerplay, where he’s been especially productive thus far.

Josh Healey – D, Stockton Heat

GP G A P 5v5 P P1 5v5 P1 NHLe
Up to date 49 1 8 9 7 4 4 7.32
Change from last week 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.31

Just played in two games this week.

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D’Artagnan Joly – RW/C, Rimouski Oceanic

GP G A P 5v5 P P1 5v5 P1
Playoffs 2 1 0 1 1 1 1

Joly and the Oceanic are facing off against the Chicoutimi Saugeneens in the first round of the QMJHL playoffs. Rimouski is up 2-0 after two overtime wins, with Joly ending game one in the fourth (!) overtime.

Pavel Karnaukhov – LW/C, CSKA Moscow, KHL

GP G A P 5v5 P P1 5v5 P1
Playoffs 5 1 0 1 1 1 1

CSKA will face off against other KHL powerhouse SKA for the Gagarin Cup after putting Dynamo Moscow to bed in just five games. Karnaukhov picked up a goal in game five to open the scoring.

Demetrious Koumontzis – LW, Arizona State University, NCAA (Independent)

GP G A P 5v5 P P1 5v5 P1 NHLe
Up to date 34 4 16 20 10 16 8 17.41
Change from last week

ASU will face Quinnipiac in the Frozen Four. They’re probably one of the underdogs of the tournament, having only been a team for three years, but they’ve been underdogs all year and here they are.

Linus Lindstrom – C/LW, Skelleftea AIK, SHL

GP G A P 5v5 P P1 5v5 P1
Playoffs 2 0 0 0 0 0 0

Skelleftea is tied with Djurgardens 1-1 thus far in SHL playoff action. Lindstrom has suited up for both games, but has only registered a shot in each.

Ryan Lomberg – LW, Stockton Heat

GP G A P 5v5 P P1 5v5 P1 NHLe
Up to date 51 10 13 23 18 16 10 17.97
Change from last week 2 0 1 1 1 1 1 +0.08

Another assist for Lomberg this week. Making a decent case for another contract.

Adam Ollas Mattsson – D, Stockton Heat

GP G A P 5v5 P P1 5v5 P1 NHLe
Up to date 59 5 12 17 11 8 5 11.48
Change from last week 2 0 2 2 2 1 1 +0.99

After a quiet few weeks, AOM picked up two assists, setting up newcomer John McCarron’s first two AHL goals.

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Andrew Nielsen – D, Stockton Heat

GP G A P 5v5 P P1 5v5 P1 NHLe
Up to date 32 0 7 7 4 3 2 8.72
Change from last week

Was absent again this week.

Mathias Emilio Pettersen – C/LW, Denver Pioneers, NCAA (NCHC)

GP G A P 5v5 P P1 5v5 P1 NHLe
Up to date 38 6 23 29 17 18 10 27.47
Change from last week 2 0 2 2 1 1 1 +0.48

After losing to Minnesota Duluth in the NCHC semifinals, Denver captured third place in the tournament thanks to a 6-1 dismantling of Colorado College. Pettersen picked up two assists in the affair, including this beauty:

Denver will face Ohio State in their Frozen Four bracket.

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Matthew Phillips – RW, Stockton Heat

GP G A P 5v5 P P1 5v5 P1 NHLe
Up to date 58 12 20 32 22 26 20 21.98
Change from last week 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 +0.63

Phillips picked up a goal and an assist against Iowa in one of his finer performances of the year.

Brett Pollock – LW/C, Stockton Heat

GP G A P 5v5 P P1 5v5 P1 NHLe
Up to date 49 3 9 12 8 8 5 9.76
Change from last week

Didn’t play this week. Likely scratched so the Flames can assess other options. They ATO’d former dev camp invitee Sebastian Vidmar, so that’s likely why.

Martin Pospisil – C/LW, Sioux City Musketeers, USHL

GP G A P 5v5 P P1 5v5 P1 NHLe
Up to date 38 14 37 51 25 37 18 30.81
Change from last week 3 2 5 7 2 3 2 +1.95

The Pospisil we all know and love was back in action this week, picking up five points in three games, including a two-goal, four-point outing against Fargo.

(He also had two late addition secondary powerplay assists tacked onto his stats from last week.)

Rushan Rafikov – D, Lokomotiv Yaroslavl, KHL

GP G A P 5v5 P P1 5v5 P1
Playoffs 11 2 2 4 3 2 2

Lokomotiv has been eliminated, falling 4-1 to SKA. Rafikov picked up the intensity in the final two games, notching an assist in game four and scoring the late, game-tying goal to drag game five to OT.

Although now eligible to be signed by the Flames, nothing’s happened yet, and nothing probably will.

Milos Roman – C, Vancouver Giants, WHL

GP G A P 5v5 P P1 5v5 P1
Playoffs 2 1 1 2 0 2 0

The Giants are currently tied 1-1 with Seattle in the first round of the WHL playoffs. Roman’s efforts have only been limited to the powerplay, which is where he picked up both of his points.

Adam Ruzicka – C/LW, Sudbury Wolves, OHL

GP G A P 5v5 P P1 5v5 P1
Playoffs 3 0 4 4 2 2 1

The Wolves are one win away from sweeping the Mississauga Steelheads, thanks in part to Adam Ruzicka. The Slovakian product has picked up four assists, including the primary assist on the overtime goal in game two.

Kerby Rychel – F, Stockton Heat

GP G A P 5v5 P P1 5v5 P1 NHLe
Up to date 57 23 20 43 28 29 19 30.06
Change from last week

Rychel’s season is over, as the forward underwent surgery and will be out for the remainder of the year.

Filip Sveningsson – LW, IK Oskarshamn, Allsvenskan

GP G A P 5v5 P P1 5v5 P1
Playoffs 5 0 1 1 0 1 0

Sveningsson and Oskarshamn have moved on to the next phase of the Allsvenskan postseason. After beating top team AIK in a five-game series, Oskarshamn have earned the right to challenge Tikra, the worst team in the SHL, for their spot in Sweden’s top league. The seven-game series kicks off this week. Sveningsson won the Superelit title last year, having scored the winning goal for his team. Perhaps he does it again?

Eetu Tuulola – RW, HPK, SM-Liiga

GP G A P 5v5 P P1 5v5 P1
Playoffs 3 1 0 1 1

HPK is currently up 2-1 on Kaapo Kakko and TPS. Eetu has one goal, opening up the scoring for game two.

Rinat Valiev – D, Stockton Heat

GP G A P 5v5 P P1 5v5 P1 NHLe
Up to date 50 3 17 20 11 14 8 15.94
Change from last week 2 0 1 1 1 0 0 +0.17

Just an assist for Valiev this week.

Juuso Valimaki – D, Stockton Heat

GP G A P 5v5 P P1 5v5 P1 NHLe
Up to date 19 3 10 13 8 5 4 27.27
Change from last week 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.25

A rare, quiet week for Valimaki in the AHL. Might be recovering from the flu.

Dmitri Zavgorodniy – C/LW, Rimouski Oceanic, QMJHL

GP G A P 5v5 P P1 5v5 P1
Playoffs 2 1 1 2 1 1 0

Started off the playoffs with a bang, opening the scoring in game one and assisting on Joly’s game-winning goal.

Jon Gillies – G, Stockton Heat

Up to date 39 2351 0.885
Change from last week 2 120 +0.001

Stopped 24 of 27 (0.888) and 38 of 41 (0.927) this weekend. Good Gillies, bad Gillies strikes again.

Mason McDonald – G, Kansas City Mavericks

Up to date 32 1806 0.915
Change from last week 3 174 -0.003

Stopped 42 of 46 (0.913), 33 of 38 (0.868), and 40 of 44 (0.909) this week after missing with the flu last week.

Tyler Parsons – G, Stockton Heat

Up to date 15 783 0.891
Change from last week

Still riding pine for whatever reason.

Nick Schneider – G, Kansas City Mavericks

ECHL Up to date 18 1079 0.888
Change from last week 1 58 +0.001
AHL Up to date 11 220 0.922
Change from last week

Stopped 40 of 44 this week in his lone game of action. KC goalies really got shelled.

    • cjc

      Not sure why this was trashed. It’s a good question. NHLE is basically a regression through (very) noisy data. It’s basically the average expectation for a player, if they were given a full year with average NHL minutes. Add to that many players who would have high NHLe’s transition straight to the NHL, so they don’t bring the average up. It’s hard to get an NHLe much over 50. For instance, Zavgorodniy had an NHLe over 50 early this year, but he was scoring over two points a game at that point.

    • Harley Hotchkiss’s Ghost

      Connor McDavid hit an NHLe of 67 his last year in the OHL, but anything over an NHLe of 50+ is really elite (even an NHLe of 40+ before 20 years old is a really good indicator of being a legit NHLer, 30+ is still really good before 20 years as well). Elias Petterson was the top prospect by NHLe last year with a 67.8. I don’t think anyone else even came close last year. Basically if they hit 55+ they’ll be in contention for rookie of the year the next year. For example no one in the OHL cracked an NHLe of 50 this year. Jason Robertson was the top of the heap with a 49.6. There are usually only a few players every year who crack 50+, some years there isn’t anyone.

      • Harley Hotchkiss’s Ghost

        Cody Glass was an NHLe of 44.7 which was tops in the WHL. Maxime Comtois lead the QMJHL with a 44.1. Obviously NHLe changes slightly depending on the formula used, but essentially no one in the CHL cracked a 50+ NHLe this year. Only three players even broke or came close to an U20 NHLe of 40 in the QMJHL (Comtois, Veleno, Lafrenière). Only three in the WHL (Glass, Almeida, Leason). Only seven in the OHL (Robertson, Frost, Hayton, Thomas, Suzuki, Schnarr, Kaliyev).

        So in total only 13 U20 CHLers broke or came really close to an NHL of 40+. Only one, Kaliyev was U18. Thats how elite even getting a 40 NHLe is.

        Just looking at 18 year olds. If you broke down Emilio Peterson’s NHLe of 27+ honestly that would likely easily be in the Top. 30 from U19 players out of the entire 2018 NHL Draft. He’s tracking extremely well for that age. Dillon Dube leads all U21 AHLers (who’ve played more than 10 GP) in NHLe with a 44.41. Basically if they’re an NHLe of 30+ they’re a Top. 15-20 scorer in the league. If they’re 40+ they’re easily Top. 10, usually Top. 5.

  • Cfan in Van

    Very concerned about Parsons, and the fact he’s getting zero starts. He’s had his fair share of adversity from all sides, but he’s the guy I hold most promise for in the future, and it doesn’t make much sense to not share the starts now that Stockton is out of the playoffs.

    • Albertabeef

      Like I said on posts before, Gillies is likely getting all these starts to keep in game shape in case needed for the playoffs. Parsans hasn’t had a lot of games lately and they likely prefer to rest him if he is not 100% healed from his previous injury.

  • Great Wall of Kipru

    I hate to be the first one to say it but is there a achance he’s working with McGrattan for substance abuse I myself we have been gunning for Parsons but at this rate this is all I can constitute for this amount of off time my real question is to why they stopped playing Schneider he looked like he deserved a real go atter now he just seems forgotten he had 921 save per over his games in Stockton mr finest you care to give me a rundown on him if not all good just a looming question

    • Stockton's Finest

      I have heard a few whispers about attitude, but nothing concrete. Some choice and candid words spoken at the wrong people.
      Again, only rumors, but from a source who is pretty reliable. Don’t take that to the bank.

      • everton fc

        That’s concerning. I think McDonald’s done more in KC, to get Parsons’ minutes, if this is an issue. McDonald’s 20-9-2, w/a 2.51 GAA and a .918 save percentage, on a team with a record of 32-28-2. He may have earned himself another one-year contract. McDonald, that is.

  • everton fc

    Pospisil is a very interesting prospect. One I’m really going to follow. Seems my guy Fischer has 145 PLMs. Still chucking the mitts, in an attempt to find a path of some sort, in professional hockey. McDonald seems to me, to have earned some games in Stockton at some point – this year, or next. What’s with Parsons? I would say he’s a long shot to make it.

    Dube will be in the NHL full-time, and never play another game in the “A”, next season. Re-sign Lomberg. Give Valiev a long look, as he could be a diamond in the rough, like Fantenberg, who really shouldn’t drop the gloves again, anytime soon!