The 2021 NHL Draft will run Friday night (Round 1) and Saturday morning (Rounds 2-7), held remotely. The 2021 draft class is a unique one, scouted during a year where the vast majority of viewings – mine included – were done remotely via video.
After many hours hemming, hawing, and shifting names around, here’s my final personal ranking for this year’s draft.
Preamble
The logic behind my ranking is pretty simple: if I was drafting a team from scratch, with zero players on my roster whatsoever, this is who I would choose in what order. As such, I tend to skew towards so-called “high floor” players if all else fails, in the sense that at the very least I want players that can contribute. After floors, I look for ceiling and consistency.
Most years, I see all key WHL prospects in-person and supplement my rankings with live Hockey Canada events and video. Obviously, my live viewings didn’t happen this past season – thanks COVID-19 – so this list relies heavily on video. I also researched extensively and chatted with friends in the scouting community to get a feel for players I had fewer video viewings on.
This is, at the end of the day, my opinion based on the information I’ve had access to. As always, your mileage may vary.
The projected first round (1-31)
No | Player | Pos. | Nation | DOB | Sh. | 2020-21 Club(s) |
1 | Owen Power | D | CAN | 11/22/2002 | L | University of Michigan (NCAA) |
2 | Matthew Beniers | C | USA | 11/5/2002 | L | University of Michigan (NCAA) |
3 | Simon Edvinsson | D | SWE | 2/5/2003 | L | Frolunda HC (SHL/J20 Nationell) Vasteras IK (HockeyAllsvenskan) |
4 | Dylan Guenther | RW | CAN | 4/10/2003 | R | Edmonton (WHL) Sherwood Park (AJHL) |
5 | Kent Johnson | C | USA | 10/18/2002 | L | University of Michigan (NCAA) |
6 | William Eklund | C | SWE | 10/12/2002 | L | Djurgardens IF (SHL) |
7 | Brandt Clarke | D | CAN | 2/9/2003 | R | HC Nove Zamsky (Tipsport Liga) |
8 | Luke Hughes | D | USA | 9/9/2003 | L | US National Development Program (USHL) |
9 | Jesper Wallstedt | G | SWE | 11/14/2003 | – | Lulea HF (SHL/J20 Nationell) |
10 | Chaz Lucius | C | USA | 5/2/2003 | R | US National Development Program (USHL) |
11 | Cole Sillinger | C | CAN | 5/16/2003 | L | Sioux Falls (USHL) |
12 | Mason McTavish | C | CAN | 1/30/2003 | L | EHC Olten (Swiss League) |
13 | Matthew Coronato | LW | USA | 11/14/2002 | R | Chicago (USHL) |
14 | Fyodor Svechkov | C | RUS | 4/5/2003 | L | Lada Togliatti (VHL) Ladia Togliatti (MHL) |
15 | Carson Lambos | D | CAN | 1/14/2003 | L | JYP (Liiga/U20/U18) Winnipeg (WHL) |
16 | Brennan Othmann | LW | CAN | 1/5/2003 | L | EHC Olten (Swiss League) |
17 | Nikita Chibrikov | LW | RUS | 2/16/2003 | L | SKA St. Petersburg (KHL) SKA-Neva St. Petersburg (VHL) SKA-1946 St. Petersburg (MHL) |
18 | Fabian Lysell | RW | SWE | 1/19/2003 | R | Frolunda HC (J20 Nationell) Lulea HF (SHL) |
19 | Oskar Olausson | LW | SWE | 11/10/2002 | L | HV71 (SHL/J20 Nationell) Sodertalje SK (HockeyAllsvenskan) |
20 | Zachary Bolduc | C | CAN | 2/24/2003 | L | Rimouski (QMJHL) |
21 | Xavier Bourgault | C | CAN | 10/22/2002 | R | Shawinigan (QMJHL) |
22 | Sasha Pastujov | LW | USA | 7/15/2003 | L | US National Development Program (USHL) |
23 | Simon Robertsson | RW | SWE | 2/5/2003 | L | Skelleftea AIK (SHL/J20 Nationell) Pitea HC (HockeyEttan) |
24 | Aatu Raty | C | FIN | 11/14/2002 | L | Karpat (Liiga/U20) |
25 | Corson Ceulemans | D | CAN | 5/5/2003 | R | Brooks (AJHL) |
26 | Zachary L’Heureux | C | CAN | 5/15/2003 | L | Halifax (QMJHL) |
27 | Isak Rosen | LW | SWE | 3/15/2003 | L | Leksands IF (SHL/J20 Nationell/J18 Region) |
28 | Sebastian Cossa | G | CAN | 11/21/2002 | – | Edmonton (WHL) |
29 | Francesco Pinelli | C | CAN | 4/11/2003 | L | HDD Jesenice (AlpsHL) |
30 | Matthew Samoskevich | C | USA | 11/15/2002 | R | Chicago (USHL) |
31 | Sean Behrens | D | USA | 3/31/2003 | L | US National Development Program (USHL) |
The projected first round – 31 players, because Arizona forfeited their pick – is a pretty good mix of players, but not a great one. The first eight-or-so players are really good, but nobody’s a franchise-altering talent. The balance of the first round are pretty good players, though a lot of them have high-end sample size questions given the odd nature of the past season.
(This draft may set some sort of record for players who played in Slovenia’s AlpsHL or Sweden’s third-tier HockeyEttan in their draft year. Similarly, it might set a record for players chosen that played zero games in their draft year.)
The projected second round (32-63)
No | Player | Pos. | Nation | DOB | Sh. | Team |
32 | Samu Tuomaala | RW | FIN | 1/8/2003 | R | Karpat (Liiga/U20) |
33 | Zach Dean | C | CAN | 1/4/2003 | L | Gatineau (QMJHL) |
34 | Dylan Duke | C | USA | 3/4/2003 | L | US National Development Program (USHL) |
35 | Stanislav Svozil | D | CZE | 1/17/2003 | L | HC Kometa Brno (Czech Extraliga) HC Prerov (Czech 1.Liga) |
36 | Jack Bar | D | CAN | 10/24/2002 | R | Chicago (USHL) |
37 | William Stromgren | LW | SWE | 6/7/2003 | L | MODO Hockey (Allsvenskan/J20/J18) Ornskoldsvik HF (HockeyEttan) |
38 | Tyler Boucher | LW | USA | 1/16/2003 | R | US National Development Program (USHL) |
39 | Logan Stankoven | C | CAN | 2/26/2003 | R | Kamloops (WHL) |
40 | Daniil Chayka | D | RUS | 10/22/2002 | L | CSKA Moskva (KHL) Zvezda Moskva (VHL) Krasnaya Armiya Moskva (MHL) |
41 | Red Savage | C | USA | 5/15/2003 | L | US National Development Program (USHL) |
42 | Brett Harrison | C | CAN | 6/7/2003 | L | KOOVEE (Mestis/U20) |
43 | Benjamin Gaudreau | G | CAN | 1/11/2003 | – | Sarnia (OHL) [no games played] |
44 | Aleksi Heimosalmi | D | FIN | 5/8/2003 | R | Assat (U20) |
45 | Jackson Blake | RW | USA | 8/3/2003 | R | Chicago (USHL) Eden Prairie (USHS) |
46 | Olen Zellweger | D | CAN | 9/10/2003 | L | Everett (WHL) |
47 | Shai Buium | D | USA | 3/26/2003 | L | Sioux City (USHL) Shattuck St. Mary’s (USHS) |
48 | Samuel Helenius | C | FIN | 11/26/2002 | L | JYP (Liiga) |
49 | Tristan Broz | LW | USA | 10/10/2002 | L | Fargo (USHL) |
50 | Vincent Iorio | D | CAN | 11/14/2002 | R | Brandon (WHL) |
51 | Chase Stillman | RW | CAN | 3/19/2003 | R | Esbjerg (Denmark U20) |
52 | Connor Roulette | C | CAN | 5/13/2003 | L | Seattle (WHL) |
53 | Anton Olsson | D | SWE | 1/26/2003 | L | Malmo (SHL/J20 Nationell) |
54 | Samu Salminen | C | FIN | 4/9/2003 | L | Jokerit (U20) |
55 | Lorenzo Canonica | C | SWI | 9/3/2003 | L | Shawinigan (QMJHL) Lugano (U20 Elit) |
56 | Wyatt Johnston | C | CAN | 5/14/2003 | R | Windsor (OHL) [no games played] |
57 | Brent Johnson | D | USA | 3/20/2003 | R | Sioux Falls (USHL) |
58 | Aidan Hreschuk | D | USA | 2/19/2003 | L | US National Development Program (USHL) |
59 | Ville Koivunen | LW | FIN | 6/13/2003 | L | Karpat (U20) |
60 | Alexander Kisakov | LW | RUS | 11/1/2002 | L | MHK Dynamo Moskva (MHL) |
61 | Roman Schmidt | D | USA | 2/27/2003 | R | US National Development Program (USHL) |
62 | Evan Nause | D | CAN | 1/20/2003 | L | Quebec (QMJHL) |
63 | Jack Peart | D | USA | 5/15/2003 | L | Fargo (USHL) Grand Rapids (USHS) |
The second round group is pretty good, though some players have question marks. Daniil Chayka (40) has been in the first round grouping on some rankings, but he didn’t do much at the World Juniors and I’ve heard some questions about his consistency. Logan Stankoven (39) could slide into the first round given his playing style – he plays big – but some share my quibbles about his size (he’s 5’8″) and how transferable his game is to the higher levels.
The projected third round (64-95)
No | Player | Pos. | Nation | DOB | Sh. | Team |
64 | Scott Morrow | D | USA | 11/1/2002 | R | Fargo (USHL) Shattuck St. Mary’s (USHS) |
65 | Prokhor Poltapov | RW | RUS | 2/1/2003 | L | Krasnaya Armiya Moskva (MHL) CSKA Moscow (U17/U18) |
66 | Cameron Whynot | D | CAN | 5/5/2003 | L | Halifax (QMJHL) |
67 | Ayrton Martino | LW | CAN | 9/28/2002 | L | Omaha (USHL) |
68 | Liam Dower Nilsson | C | SWE | 4/14/2003 | L | Frolunda HC (SHL/J20 Nationell/J18 Region) Hanhals IF (HockeyEttan) |
69 | Oliver Kapanen | C | FIN | 7/29/2003 | R | KalPa (U20) JoKP (Mestis) |
70 | Colton Dach | C | CAN | 1/4/2003 | L | Saskatoon (WHL) |
71 | Marcus Almquist | C | DEN | 9/13/2003 | R | HV71 (J20 Nationell/J18 Region) Rodovre (Denmark) |
72 | Ryder Korczak | C | CAN | 9/23/2002 | R | Moose Jaw (WHL) |
73 | Josh Doan | RW | USA | 2/1/2002 | R | Chicago (USHL) |
74 | Ilya Fedotov | LW | RUS | 3/19/2003 | R | Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod (KHL/U18) Chaika Nizhny Novgorod (MHL) |
75 | Ethan del Mastro | D | CAN | 1/15/2003 | L | Mississauga (OHL) [no games played] |
76 | Hugo Gabrielsson | D | SWE | 10/24/2002 | L | Frolunda HC (J20 Nationell) Halmsted Hammers HC (HockeyEttan) |
77 | Ty Gallagher | D | USA | 3/6/2003 | R | US National Development Program (USHL) |
78 | Cole Huckins | C | CAN | 5/14/2003 | L | Acadie-Bathurst (QMJHL) |
79 | Matthew Knies | C | USA | 10/17/2002 | L | Tri-City (USHL) |
80 | Liam Gilmartin | LW | USA | 1/7/2003 | L | US National Development Program (USHL) |
81 | Olivier Nadeau | RW | CAN | 1/15/2003 | R | Shawinigan (QMJHL) |
82 | Matvei Petrov | LW | RUS | 3/12/2003 | R | MHK Krylia Sovetov Moskva (MHL) |
83 | Kirill Kirsanov | D | RUS | 9/19/2002 | L | SKA St. Petersburg (KHL) SKA-Neva St. Petersburg (VHL) SKA-1946 St. Petersburg (MHL) |
84 | David Gucciardi | D | CAN | 10/9/2002 | L | Youngstown (USHL) Waterloo (USHL) |
85 | Justin Janicke | LW | USA | 6/30/2003 | L | US National Development Program (USHL) |
86 | Joshua Roy | C | CAN | 8/6/2003 | L | Saint John (QMJHL) Sherbrooke (QMJHL) |
87 | Jack O’Brien | C | USA | 5/14/2003 | L | Lincoln (USHL) Portland (WHL) |
88 | Riley Kidney | C | CAN | 3/25/2003 | L | Acadie-Bathurst (QMJHL) |
89 | Viljami Marjala | LW | FIN | 1/29/2003 | L | Quebec (QMJHL) |
90 | Tristan Lennox | G | CAN | 10/21/2002 | – | Saginaw (OHL) [no games played] |
91 | Jimi Suomi | D | FIN | 3/1/2003 | L | Jokerit (U20) |
92 | Ryan Ufko | D | USA | 5/7/2003 | R | Chicago (USHL) |
93 | Sean Tschigerl | C | CAN | 4/11/2003 | L | Whitecourt (AJHL) Calgary (WHL) |
94 | Victor Stjernborg | C | SWE | 5/22/2003 | L | Vaxjo Lakers (SHL/J20 Nationell) |
95 | Cole Jordan | D | CAN | 9/21/2002 | L | Moose Jaw (WHL) |
Scott Morrow (64) is kind of a polarizing player, perhaps even more than Chayka (40). Morrow’s been in the first round mix on some rankings, but I have concerns about his higher-end sample size – I get nervous about taking high school players too early. Marcus Almquist (71) is one of my favourite sleeper players; he’s great offensively but he’s small (strike one) and a good chunk of his season was played in Danish pro hockey (strike two), which could cause him to slide down many rankings. Sean Tschigerl (93) is another personal favourite, as he really blossomed for the Hitmen this season in a year where they desperately needed a player like him to step up.
The projected fourth round (96-127)
No | Player | Pos. | Nation | DOB | Sh. | Team |
96 | Nolan Allan | D | CAN | 4/28/2003 | L | Prince Albert (WHL) La Ronge (SJHL) |
97 | Danila Klimovich | C | BEL | 1/9/2003 | R | Dinamo-Molodechno (Belarus) Minskie Zubry (Belarus Vysshaya) |
98 | Dmitri Katelevsky | LW | RUS | 1/17/2003 | L | Ak Bars Kazan (KHL) Bars Kazan (VHL) Irbis Kazan (MHL) |
99 | Kyle Masters | D | CAN | 4/9/2003 | R | Red Deer (WHL) |
100 | Topias Vilen | D | FIN | 4/1/2003 | L | Pelicans (Liiga) Peliitat (Mestis) |
101 | Ryker Evans | D | CAN | 12/13/2001 | L | Regina (WHL) |
102 | Vladislav Lukashevich | D | RUS | 5/23/2003 | L | Loko Yaroslavl (MHL) |
103 | Trevor Wong | C | CAN | 5/4/2003 | L | Kelowna (WHL) |
104 | Artyom Grushnikov | D | RUS | 3/20/2003 | L | Hamilton (OHL) [no games played] |
105 | Kirill Gerasimyuk | G | RUS | 8/22/2003 | – | SKA-Neva St. Petersburg (VHL) SKA-Varyagi im. Morozova (MHL) |
106 | Hunter Strand | C | USA | 11/13/2002 | L | Tri-City (USHL) |
107 | Dmitri Zugan | C | RUS | 11/23/2002 | L | CSKA Moskva (KHL) Krasnaya Armiya Moskva (MHL) |
108 | Aleksi Malinen | D | FIN | 5/26/2003 | L | JYP (Liiga/U20) |
109 | Joel Nystrom | D | SWE | 5/14/2002 | R | Farjestad BK (SHL/J20 Nationell) |
110 | William von Barnekow | LW | SWE | 11/12/2002 | L | Malmo (SHL/J20 Nationell) Tyringe SoSS (HockeyEttan) |
111 | Manix Landry | C | CAN | 11/23/2002 | L | Gatineau (QMJHL) |
112 | Jack Matier | D | CAN | 4/8/2003 | R | Ottawa (OHL) [no games played] |
113 | Thomas Milic | G | CAN | 4/14/2003 | – | Seattle (WHL) |
114 | Francesco Arcuri | C | CAN | 6/13/2003 | L | Steel Wings Linz (AlpsHL) |
115 | Oscar Plandowski | D | CAN | 5/18/2003 | R | Charlottetown (QMJHL) |
116 | Robert Orr | C | CAN | 9/1/2003 | L | Halifax (QMJHL) |
117 | Niko Huuhtanen | RW | FIN | 6/26/2003 | R | Tappara (U20) |
118 | Jakub Brabenec | C | CZE | 9/11/2003 | L | HC Kometa Brno (Czech Extraliga) SK Horacka Slavia Trebic (Czech 1.Liga) |
119 | William Trudeau | D | CAN | 10/11/2002 | L | Charlottetown (QMJHL) |
120 | Peter Reynolds | C | CAN | 1/20/2003 | L | Saint John (QMJHL) |
121 | Ryan Winterton | RW | CAN | 9/4/2003 | R | Hamilton (OHL) [no games played] |
122 | Jiri Tichacek | D | CZE | 1/30/2003 | L | Rytiri Kladno (Czech 1.Liga/U20) |
123 | Aku Koskenvuo | G | FIN | 2/26/2003 | – | HIFK (U20) |
124 | Justin Robidas | C | CAN | 3/13/2003 | R | Val-d’Or (QMJHL) |
125 | Tyson Galloway | D | CAN | 1/20/2003 | L | Calgary (WHL) |
126 | Jayden Grubbe | C | CAN | 1/12/2003 | R | Red Deer (WHL) |
127 | Dmitri Kostenko | D | RUS | 9/25/2002 | R | Lada Togliatti (VHL) Ladia Togliatti (MHL) |
Scouting pals rave about Joel Nystrom (109), as he’s an overage defender who really blossomed offensively. He could go earlier than I have him ranked. Kirill Gerasimyuk (105) had a rough Under-18s and there may be some sample size questions regarding him against higher-end talent, but he played well otherwise. Aku Koskenvuo (123) is another mid-to-late round goaltending option for teams that may be nervous about taking goalies early and doesn’t mind a project.