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31 Thoughts: Flames not committed to Geoff Ward (yet)
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Photo credit: Candice Ward/USA Today Sports
Ryan Pike
Dec 12, 2019, 10:00 ESTUpdated: Dec 11, 2019, 23:17 EST
Sportsnet’s Elliotte Friedman published his latest weekly edition of 31 Thoughts on Wednesday. Within those 31 thoughts, two pertained to the Calgary Flames – and the potential future plans for interim head coach Geoff Ward.
4. Geoff Ward could retire undefeated, now 6-0 running the bench. While Calgary gave its interim boss a salary raise for the remainder of the season, they have yet to commit to him for the rest of the year. First, after a tumultuous month, the organization just wanted to breathe and see how the players responded. Second, the Flames did not want to be unfair to him by saying, “Hey, it’s yours” in case circumstances changed at a later date. I believe the metaphor being used is, “They’re dating, but not engaged.” Results speak, however, and, right now, Ward’s are excellent. He’s come a long way since assisting Don McKee at the University of Waterloo in 1989.
Let’s dig into this a bit, friends:
GP
CF/60
CA/60
SCF/60
SCA/60
HDCF/60
HDCA/60
Peters
27
52.04
55.00
26.32
25.99
9.06
9.91
Ward
6
55.01
64.89
26.53
29.18
11.63
9.01
First of all, sample size warnings – the Flames surviving fairly one-sided games in Colorado and Arizona this past week really skew the shot rates towards the negative.
That said, the real story here so far is high danger scoring chances: the Flames are much better at generating them and a little bit better at suppressing them. While they’re not exactly setting the world on fire with their shot attempt and overall scoring attempt suppression, they’re maintaining better control of the high rent district. That’s a big reason why they’ve gone 6-0. (Plus improved puck luck.)
5. I’m not sure anyone knew what to expect when Peters was told in Buffalo that he could not be with the team. But everyone noticed an immediate difference, a more relaxed vibe. Winning creates the most happiness. Second is your players getting their cookies. Sean Monahan, who looked lost, has points in all six of those games, and goals in each of the past four. Johnny Gaudreau, looking so much more engaged, has four points. Dillon Dube, Milan Lucic, Zac Rinaldo and Derek Ryan had 16 points before Ward’s ascension and 19 since. A little belief goes a long way.
For clarity’s sake, we’re including the first game in Buffalo (before Peters had officially left) because Ward was running the show. So what can we learn about the team’s performance at an individual level?
Forwards
Peters
Ward
Forwards
GP
Pts
ATOI
GP
Pts
ATOI
Backlund
27
9
18:32
6
4
17:09
Bennett
20
5
13:12
Czarnik
8
3
10:11
Dube
5
1
12:52
6
6
12:35
Frolik
25
3
12:25
6
4
10:49
Gaudreau
27
20
19:46
6
4
17:11
Jankowski
24
0
10:31
5
1
13:02
Lindholm
27
18
19:42
6
5
19:15
Lucic
25
4
12:22
6
4
15:42
Mangiapane
25
9
12:15
6
1
14:15
Monahan
27
19
18:42
6
7
16:10
Quine
9
1
9:48
Rieder
18
1
11:11
6
3
11:08
Rinaldo
3
0
7:54
2
3
9:01
Ryan
27
11
14:14
6
6
16:21
Tkachuk
27
21
18:25
5
6
18:06
There’s the obvious differences in production, but more interesting (to me) is player usage. Forwards getting an increase in their per-game ice time are Jankowski, Lucic, Mangiapane, Rinaldo and Ryan. We’re seeing comparatively less of Backlund, Frolik, Gaudreau and Monahan.
Yes, the depth players are scoring more. But they’re also playing more, too.
Defensemen
Peters
Ward
Defense
GP
Pts
ATOI
GP
Pts
ATOI
Andesson
27
8
19:39
6
2
19:09
Brodie
22
8
19:26
6
2
19:07
Davidson
3
0
13:32
Giordano
27
13
24:36
6
3
23:09
Hamonic
23
4
20:48
4
1
23:29
Hanifin
27
7
21:34
6
1
22:48
Kylington
20
2
13:21
4
1
12:03
Stone
13
2
15:24
4
1
14:53
The wacky offensive totals don’t emerge quite as much for the blueline group, but the deployment changes do. There’s more of Hamonic and Hanifin, and less of Giordano, Stone and Kylington.