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Adam Fox is staying in school (and that’s completely normal)

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Photo credit:courtesy Calgary Flames/NHL Media
Ryan Pike
6 years ago
Our friends at Postmedia dug up a bit of news that, while not wholly unexpected, is fairly notable. Calgary Flames prospect Adam Fox, a Harvard sophomore and 2016 third round draft pick, has decided to stay in school.
Fox, 20, has had a pair of really nice years since being drafted. He set the defenseman single-season scoring record for the U.S. National Development Program in his draft year. Then he was one of the top scoring defensemen in the entire United States college system in his freshman year – if you look at his age group, nobody was close to him. This season he was again one of the top producing defenders, something that’s even more impressive when you note that Harvard was a worse team this season than it was last season.
He also went to two World Juniors, winning a gold medal in 2017 and a silver medal this year. He’s been a very productive player and will be a huge part of Harvard’s attack next season.
Fox’s decision will probably prompt a lot of fans and onlookers to panic and proclaim things like, “Oh no! He’s going to go to free agency because the Flames have a lot of defensemen in their system!” To that I say this: most college-bound prospects of note (a) stay in college for three years so they can finish up a degree in the off-seasons and (b) sign with the team that drafted them. Almost nobody that’s drafted makes it to free agency.
Here’s a list of college-bound players selected in the first three rounds of the 2013, 2014 and 2015 drafts.
PlayerTeamDraftSchoolYearsSigned?
J.T. CompherCOL2013, 2ndU. Michigan3Yes
Connor HurleyBUF2013, 2ndNotre Dame
U. Minnesota
4TBD
Steven SantiniNJ2013, 2ndBoston College3Yes
Gustaf OlofssonMIN2013, 2ndColorado College1Yes
Zach SanfordWSH2013, 2ndBoston College2Yes
Brett PesceCAR2013, 3rdU. New Hampshire3Yes
Eamon McAdamNYI2013, 3rdPenn State3Yes
John HaydenCHI2013, 3rdYale4Yes
Taylor CammarataNYI2013, 3rdU. Minnesota4No
Jake GuentzelPIT2013, 3rdU. Nebraska-Omaha3Yes
Keaton ThompsonANA2013, 3rdU. North Dakota3Yes
Dylan LarkinDET2014, 1stU. Michigan1Yes
Alex TuchMIN2014, 1stBoston College2Yes
Nick SchmaltzCHI2014, 1stU. North Dakota2Yes
Thatcher DemkoVAN2014, 2ndBoston College3Yes
Joshua JacobsNJ2014, 2ndMichigan State1*Yes
Ryan CollinsCBJ2014, 2ndU. Minnesota3Yes
Jack DoughertyNSH2014, 2ndU. Wisconsin1Yes
Maxim LetunovSTL2014, 2ndU. Connecticut3Yes
Brandon MontourANA2014, 2ndU. Mass-Amherst1Yes
Ryan DonatoBOS2014, 2ndHarvard3Yes
Johnathan MacLeodTBL2014, 2ndBoston University4TBD
Brandon HickeyCGY2014, 3rdBoston University4TBD
Warren FoegeleCAR2014, 3rdU. New Hampshire1*Yes
Jack GloverWPG2014, 3rdU. Minnesota4TBD
Zach WerenskiCBJ2015, 1stU. Michigan1Yes
Kyle ConnorWPG2015, 1stU. Michigan1Yes
Colin WhiteOTT2015, 1stBoston College2Yes
Brock BoeserVAN2015, 1stU. North Dakota2Yes
A.J. GreerCOL2015, 2ndBoston University0*Yes
Jakob Forsbacka-KarlssonBOS2015, 2ndBoston University2Yes
Jordan GreenwayMIN2015, 2ndBoston University3TBD
Jack RoslovicWPG2015, 2ndMiami University1Yes
Jeremy BraccoTOR2015, 2ndBoston College0*Yes
Erik FoleyWPG2015, 3rdProvidence College3TBD
Brent GatesANA2015, 3rdU. Minnesota3TBD
Brendan WarrenARZ2015, 3rdU. Michigan3TBD
Tom NovakNSH2015, 3rdU. Minnesota3TBD
Mike RobinsonSJS2015, 3rdU. New Hampshire1TBD
Matej TomekPHI2015, 3rdU. North Dakota*1TBD
Dennis GilbertCHI2015, 3rdNotre Dame3TBD
(This list actually downplays the college players signing trend a bit, because Jack Eichel and Noah Hanifin were drafted out of college and signed immediately.)
More high-end prospects have signed and jumped to the Canadian Hockey League than hit free agency. As many high-end prospects have flunked out of college and dropped back to the USHL than have opted for free agency. And the only prospect taken in the first three rounds that went to free agency, Taylor Cammarata, was not signed by any NHL organization.
In recent Flames history, most college prospects have played three seasons and signed (Johnny Gaudreau and Jon Gllies) or four seasons and signed (Bill Arnold and Mark Jankowski). Typically the only players that make it to free agency are the late round gambles, the John Gilmours of the world.
Everybody chill.

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