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The 2019 Playoff Chase: Flames on a slide
Matthew Tkachuk
Photo credit: Sergei Belski/USA Today Sports
Ryan Pike
Feb 15, 2019, 12:00 ESTUpdated: Feb 15, 2019, 04:33 EST
The Calgary Flames have won just once since the All-Star Break. But despite all that, they’ve managed to stay near the top of the Western Conference. The Flames are sliding, but the playoff chase remains incredibly tight.

Chasing a playoff spot

Team
Pts
W
ROW
Pct.
Chances
FLAMES
75
34
34
.658
100%
Jets
75
34
34
.647
100%
Sharks
75
34
34
.647
100%
Predators
73
34
33
.608
99.8%
Golden Knights
66
31
29
.559
93.8%
Blues
63
29
29
.563
91.2%
Stars
63
29
29
.553
84.6%
Wild
59
27
26
.518
38.4%
Canucks
59
26
23
.500
22.4%
(Playoff spot odds throughout these tables via Sports Club Stats.)
The Flames will clinch a playoff berth when the ninth place team (currently Vancouver) cannot pass them mathematically. They’re 16 points up on them right now.
The Athletic’s projections right now have the playoff cutline in the Western Conference at around 87 points, so six or seven Flames wins should be about enough to clinch.

Chasing a divisional title

Team
Pts
W
ROW
Pct.
Chances
FLAMES
75
34
34
.658
56.1%
Sharks
75
34
34
.647
43.5%
Golden Knights
66
31
29
.559
0.2%
Canucks
57
25
23
.491
0.0%
It’s super tight at the top of the Pacific Division, though both the Flames and Sharks have a nine-point cushion on Vegas. The Flames are ahead of San Jose based on the points percentage tiebreaker – they have a game in hand on the Sharks.

Chasing top spot in the West

Team
Pts
W
ROW
Pct.
Chances
FLAMES
75
34
34
.658
47.8%
Jets
75
34
34
.647
36.4%
Sharks
75
34
34
.647
13.4%
Predators
73
34
33
.608
2.2%
It’s a three-way tie at the top of the West! The Flames have the points percentage tiebreaker on both Winnipeg and San Jose, while the Jets have three out of a possible four points head-to-head with the Sharks.

Chasing a Presidents’ Trophy

The Flames are 15 points back of Tampa Bay, so we’re retiring this for awhile.