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FN Draft Profiles: Ivar Stenberg will likely be out of reach unless Flames trade up
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Photo credit: Nick Wosika-Imagn Images
Mike Gould
Jun 24, 2026, 11:00 EDTUpdated: Jun 24, 2026, 01:18 EDT
After losing the draft lottery last month, the Calgary Flames currently possess the No. 6 overall pick in the 2026 NHL Draft.
By most projections, Ivar Stenberg will be long gone by the time the Flames are on the clock for the first time in Buffalo later this week. But that doesn’t mean it’s not worth keeping tabs on him, especially in the wake of all the trade activity around the NHL on Tuesday. It remains to be seen whether all those deals have any bearing on the possibility of the Flames trading into the top-3 for the first time in club history — and, of course, it also isn’t out of the question that Stenberg could fall lower than his expected spot.
Here’s a look at what Stenberg brings to the table as one of the consensus top prospects in this year’s draft.

What do scouts say about Ivar Stenberg?

Stenberg is one of the oldest players available in this year’s draft class, and he’ll turn 19 before the 2026-27 season even starts, but that doesn’t make his accomplishments this past year any less impressive. He was one of the top players on a Frölunda team that won 30 out of 52 games in the top-tier Swedish Hockey League. He’s a highly skilled playmaker who notably excelled against top competition at the World Juniors, playing an instrumental role in Team Sweden capturing its first gold medal since 2012.
Here’s what Daily Faceoff prospect guru Steven Ellis has to say about Stenberg, who came in at No. 2 on his final draft rankings:
Stenberg’s floor is very, very high, and he proved that at the World Championship. Stenberg has virtually no holes in his game. He’s dynamic in possession, wields a lethal shot and flashes high-end hockey sense. Even though his point production tapered off slightly down the stretch, he still authored one of the most impressive U-19 seasons in recent SHL history and was excellent at the Worlds. Add a stellar gold-medal run with Sweden at the World Juniors to his resume, and his complete profile becomes undeniable. While his ultimate offensive ceiling may not reach McKenna’s pure scoring output, any team hunting for a dominant, 200-foot cornerstone needs to look no further. Realistically, he shouldn’t slip past No. 2 overall, but team needs might change that.
Sportsnet’s Sam Cosentino also ranked Stenberg at No. 2 last week:
A reliable player in all situations, Stenberg projects to produce top-level offence. He competes off the puck and is willing and able to play defensively as well. Stenberg works well along the wall, and he has the ability to change the pace of the game with sharp cutbacks and capable acceleration. He’s a playmaker, but can operate at the net front and score from mid range with ease. Stenberg has proven to be an adaptable player whose game doesn’t change regardless of the size, strength and age of competition. He has a chance to play in the NHL next year.
The Athletic‘s Corey Pronman is one of the few to diverge from the consensus on Stenberg, ranking him at No. 5 in the class:
Stenberg is an electric offensive talent. He’s a high-end puck handler, passer and shooter who can make difficult plays with the puck routinely and is a natural scorer. He isn’t that big or mean, but he works hard and has shown he can win battles against men. His frame and good (but not great) small-guy skating will be concerns on his NHL projection. He could be a top-line winger.
Pronman aside, the vast majority of scouts in the public sphere view Stenberg as a top-two talent in this year’s draft. While he was briefly viewed as a strong candidate to go No. 1 after his dominant World Junior showing, Stenberg is now almost unanimously seen as the clear-cut No. 2 prospect behind Gavin McKenna.

How did Ivar Stenberg perform in 2025-26?

Stenberg had a great 2025-26 season. In 43 games with Frölunda, he collected 11 goals, 22 assists, and 33 points, and he added four assists in six playoff contests with the club. He didn’t score a goal in his last 13 games of the season with Frölunda, but he rebounded while playing with Team Sweden at the World Championships, collecting four goals and eight points in eight games en route to a seventh-place finish.
Of course, many of Stenberg’s shining moments for the season took place at the World Juniors, where he displayed remarkable chemistry with fellow top prospect Viggo Björck — a connection they later rekindled at the Worlds. Stenberg led the Swedes and finished fifth overall with 10 points (four goals, six assists) in seven games at the World Juniors, ending up above the likes of Porter Martone, Anton Frondell, and Tij Iginla on the tournament scoring leaderboard. Sweden wouldn’t have won gold without him.

Would Ivar Stenberg be a fit with the Calgary Flames?

The Flames would undoubtedly love to get their hands on a forward of Stenberg’s calibre at the draft later this week, but after yet another unsuccessful showing at last month’s draft lottery, they likely won’t get their chance. Stenberg is a virtual lock to be selected with a top-2 pick, and after trading William Eklund to the Ottawa Senators on Tuesday, the San Jose Sharks would be hard-pressed to pass on Stenberg with their top selection.
The Sharks have a strong need for a top defence prospect, but they now also have the No. 9 overall pick, and it’s entirely possible that they could opt for Daxon Rudolph, Ryan Lin, or a similar player at that spot. However, it also wouldn’t be out of the realm of possibility for San Jose to go with Chase Reid, arguably the top defender in the class, at No. 2. In that case, Stenberg might start to fall, although it’d take a lot for him to get all the way down to No. 6. The Flames already gave up two first-rounders and a second-rounder to get Simon Nemec on Tuesday; are they really going to part with more draft capital so soon after to move up in this year’s draft?

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